.. jejeje, se que esto va a traer cola, pero como lo he leido por esos blogs del mundo pues os lo comento.
Por lo que se ve, el "Forecast team at Colorado State University (CSU)"
ha dado su pronostico para la temporada de huracanes 2006....y yo tambien me pregunto como vosotros, como van a pronosticar algo a meses vista ? pues eso, os pego la info en ingles, si alguien tiene problemas que lo comente.
Get ready for another tough hurricane season in 2006. If the forecast team at Colorado State University (CSU) founded by Dr. Bill Gray (now headed by Dr. Phil Klotzbach) is correct, we are in for another much more active than usual hurricane season, with 17 named storms and 9 hurricanes. The average Atlantic season has only 11 named storms and 6 hurricanes. In their forecast for the upcoming hurricane season released today, the CSU team also projects that the U.S. will be at high risk from strikes by intense hurricanes again, with an 81% chance of a strike by a Category 3, 4, or 5 hurricane. However, the forecast notes that the from a purely statistical point of view, the number of landfalling hurricanes and major hurricanes in the U.S. should decrease in 2006 from what we have seen during 2005 and 2004. They note:
It is rare to have two consecutive years with such a strong simultaneous combination of high amounts of major hurricane activity together with especially favorable steering flow currents. The historical records and the laws of statistics indicate that the probability of seeing another two consecutive hurricane season like 2004-2005 is very low. Even though we expect to see the current active period of Atlantic major hurricane activity to continue for another 15-20 years, it is statistically unlikely that the coming 2006 and 2007 hurricane seasons, or the seasons which follow, will have the number of major hurricane US landfall events as we have seen in 2004-2005.
Aun no ha terminado de haber huracanes , estamos con epsilon y ya auguran la 2006 un tanto dura. Ahi queda eso
si os quedais con ganas de saber en que se basan, luego os lo pego
SAludos