Tropical Moisture Affecting Houston

There are several tropical waves moving across the Atlantic but, overall, the tropics are fairly quiet right now. No development is expected over the next 24 hours. Still, the southern part of the United States would argue that the tropics aren't necessarily dormant.

There is one tropical wave located and tilted from 14 north and 25 west to 4 north and 29 west, moving to the west at 15 knots. On the southern end of this wave, there is some shower activity. Earlier today, this wave brought some showers to the Cape Verde Islands.

Another tropical wave is located in the eastern Caribbean. This wave axis is also tilted, and there have been showers much of the afternoon on the Windward Islands. Guadeloupe has been getting wet, and this wave will bring enhanced shower activity to the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico through tonight.

Another tropical wave in the central Caribbean was located along 75 north from southwestern Haiti to northern Columbia. Jamaica will have increased showery spells as well as this wave passes by.

Meanwhile, tropical moisture continues to funnel northward into Louisiana and East Texas. Showers and thunderstorms have been fueled by this moisture, and the trend will continue Tuesday. With increase moisture content, showers and thunderstorms that do move on through places like Houston will create the possibility of localized flooding with rainfall exceeding 4 inches in some places in a 24-hour span.

by AccuWeather

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT WED JUN 27 2007


...TROPICAL WAVES...


A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 37W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED S OF 10N
WITHIN 150 NM W AND WITHIN 180 NM E OF THE WAVE AXIS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 74W S OF 24N MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. UPPER
DIFFLUENCE BETWEEN AN UPPER TROUGH NEAR THE BAHAMAS AND AN UPPER
RIDGE OVER THE NE CARIBBEAN IS ENHANCING CONVECTION IN THE
STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS. SUBSIDENCE OVER THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN IS SUPPRESSING CONVECTION WITH ONLY TRADE WIND
CUMULUS NOTED. A SURGE IN LOW LEVEL TRADE WIND FLOW ACCOMPANIES
THIS WAVE AS WELL AS A LARGE AREA OF SAHARAN DUST...WHICH HAS
ITS WESTERN EDGE ALONG 73W AND EXTENDS E ACROSS THE WINDWARDS.

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM NICARAGUA TO THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
ALONG 84/85W MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. SCATTERED CONVECTION IS NOTED
ACROSS NICARAGUA AND NEAR WESTERN CUBA.


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWDAT+shtml/271056.shtml?

lean por favor lo que he sacado del blog de jeff master:
Actualización tropical atlántica
Las nubes y las duchas se asociaron a una onda tropical de que va hacia el oeste-mudanza sobre las Bahamas, cerca de la costa del este de la Florida, demostración ningunas muestras de la organización. Con esquileo del viento en 20-30 nudos, no estoy contando con ningún desarrollo de este disturbio. La mejor ocasión siguiente del desarrollo en el Atlántico puede ser lunes, cuando un frente frío empujará de la costa del este de los E.E.U.U. Tendremos que mirar el área entre la Florida y Carolina del Norte cuando el restos de la parada delantera hacia fuera sobre la corriente de golfo. También, el norte justo del área de Panamá en el sudoeste el Caribe necesita ser mirado sábado que comienza, cuando los valores del esquileo del viento se pronostican para caer debajo de 5 nudos.
el sabado parece que empezara a haber fiesta en el mar caribe .ojala y una onda tropical se acerque a esa zona ya que podra encontrar condiciones relativamente favorables para la formacion de una depresion tropical.
el mar caribe ya se encuentra caliente.
saludos beer

Las traducciones automáticas son una penita  ,

habrá que mirar pués entre Florida y Carolina, a ver los restos esos de "la parada delantera hacia fuera sobre la corriente del golfo"  :DDD

Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion

000
AXNT20 KNHC 281103
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU JUN 28 2007

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...
WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1045 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 46W/47W S OF 20N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE
WAVE IS MOVING UNDER THE DIFFLUENT AREA E OF A MID ATLC UPPER
TROUGH. SCATTERED CONVECTION IS NOTED S OF 9N WITHIN 180 NM E OF
THE WAVE. A LARGE AREA OF SAHARAN DUST ACCOMPANIES THE WAVE.

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W S OF 27N IS MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. THIS
WAVE IS IN DIFFLUENT AREA ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER CYCLONE. THE
UPPER CYCLONE HAS MOVED W INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO...AND IS STILL
ENHANCING CONVECTION OVER ITS E SEMICIRCLE. EAST OF THE WAVE...
AN UPPER RIDGE IS CRESTING ALONG 76W WHICH IS CONTRIBUTING TO
UPPER DIFFLUENCE ALONG 80W FROM 20N TO 27N. 

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 94W S OF 23N IS MOVING W AT 15 KT. THE WAVE
IS MOVING W NEARLY IN PHASE WITH AN UPPER CYCLONE CENTERED NEAR
21N92W WITH ITS UPPER CYCLONIC FLOW EXTENDING NE TO 24N82W.
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH WAVE IS MAINLY OVER CENTRAL AMERICA.

...THE ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS ALONG 9N14W 7N35W 10N54W 9N62W. ASSOCIATED CLOUDS AND
CONVECTION ARE ALONG AND SLIGHTLY S OF THE ITCZ AXIS. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE AXIS BETWEEN 23W AND 34W BECOMING
WIDELY SCATTERED BETWEEN 43W AND 48W WHERE CONVECTION IS
ENHANCED E OF THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 46/47W DESCRIBED ABOVE.   

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...
UPPER CYCLONES ARE CENTERED NEAR 28N84W AND 21N92W. RIDGING FROM
AN ANTICYCLONE OVER TEXAS DOMINATES THE NW GULF AND UPPER RIDGING
EXTENDS E FROM MEXICO INTO THE SW PORTION. AS A RESULT...NLY FLOW
ALOFT OVER THE GULF W OF 90W...AND ELY FLOW ALOFT OVER THE AREA
E OF 90W.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER CYCLONE IS W OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. AN UPPER RIDGE
EXTENDS NW FROM COLOMBIA TO A CREST NEAR 17N83W. AS A RESULT
STRONG SW UPPER FLOW W OF 75W AND WLY FLOW E OF 75W. ABUNDANT
DEBRIS MOISTURE IS NOTED W OF 80W AND S OF 15N BETWEEN 80W AND
70W. DRY UPPER AIR IS INDICATED N OF 15N E OF 80W AND OVER THE
ENTIRE AREA E OF 70W. FAST MOVING TRADE WIND CUMULUS IS NOTED
OVER THE CARIBBEAN E OF 80W. 

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
UPPER RIDGING DOMINATES THE SUBTROPICAL ATLC W OF 67W. BETWEEN
65W AND 45W AN UPPER TROUGH IS THE DOMINANT FEATURE WITH A WELL
DEFINED UPPER CYCLONE NEAR 25N48W. DRY UPPER AIR ACCOMPANIES THE
TROUGH...WITHIN 440 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 30N44W 11N63W. AN
UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS INTO THE ATLC ALONG 31N13W TO 24N24W...AND
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS W OF AFRICA ALONG 17N TO 18N21W. BERMUDA
HIGH DOMINATES THE LOW LEVELS OF THE SUBTROPICS E OF THE BAHAMAS.

 

PERSPECTIVAS DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO


NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT JUEVES 28 DE JUNIO DE 2007


PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

NUBOSIDAD Y AGUACEROS EXTENDIENDOSE A TRAVES DE LAS BAHAMAS...
PARTES DE LA PENINSULA DE LA FLORIDA...Y LAS AGUAS ADYACENTES DEL
ATLANTICO ESTAN ASOCIADOS CON UNA ONDA TROPICAL Y UNA VAGUADA EN LOS
ALTOS NIVELES. NO HAY SENALES DE ORGANIZACION Y LOS VIENTOS EN LOS
NIVELES ALTOS SOLO ESTAN MARGINALMENTE FAVORABLES. POR LO TANTO
DESARROLLO...SI ALGUNO...DEBE SER LENTO EN OCURRIR. ESTE SISTEMA
PODRIA PRODUCIR LLUVIAS LOCALMENTE FUERTES A TRAVES DE PARTES DE LAS
BAHAMAS Y LA FLORIDA DURANTE EL PROXIMO O LOS PROXIMOS DIAS A MEDIDA
QUE SE MUEVE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL NOROESTE.

EN EL RESTO DEL AREA...NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

 
PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/SJUTWOSP+shtml/281520.shtml

 G:

Especial atención, a la onda tropical que señalo en la imagen de satélite, ya que podría darnos una sorpresilla.


Saludos.

Le veo más posibilidades a la que señalo en la imagen, que a la que dice el NHC.

PERSPECTIVAS DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO


NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT VIERNES 29 DE JUNIO DE 2007


PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...

NUBOSIDAD Y AGUACEROS EXTENDIENDOSE A TRAVES DE LAS BAHAMAS...
PARTES DE LA PENINSULA DE LA FLORIDA...ESTAN ASOCIADOS CON UN AREA
DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA JUSTO FUERA DE LA COSTA SUROESTE DE LA
FLORIDA. LOS VIENTOS EN LOS ALTOS NIVELES NO SON FAVORABLE PARA UN
DESARROLLO SIGNIFICATIVO. SE PRONOSTICA QUE ESTE SISTEMA SE MOVERA
CERCA DE LA PENINSULA DE LA FLORIDA Y PODRIA PRODUCIR LLUVIAS
LOCALMENTE FUERTES A TRAVES DE PARTES DE LAS BAHAMAS Y LA FLORIDA
DURANTE EL PROXIMO O LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

EN EL RESTO DEL AREA...NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

 
PRONOSTICADOR BROWN


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/SJUTWOSP+shtml/290910.shtml