Cazatormentas
Foro de Meteorología => Seguimiento de huracanes, tifones y ciclones => Mensaje iniciado por: deltaforce en Diciembre 12, 2007, 11:48:41 am
-
25kts-1004mb
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1986227015.jpg) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1986227015.html)
-
:O* 30kts 1000mb
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1763116727.jpg) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1763116727.html)
-
:O*
(http://img180.imageshack.us/img180/7823/xxirnm592by96s12dicbs2.gif) (http://imageshack.us)
-
Este sistema tiene categoría de tormenta tropical, aunque en la zona no se les llame así :P
-
Tropical Storm Public Advisory
980
wtxs31 pgtw 130900
msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor hi//
subj/tropical cyclone warning//
ref/a/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor hi/122221z Dec 07//
ampn/tropical cyclone formation alert//
rmks/
1. Tropical cyclone 06s warning nr 001
01 active tropical cyclone in southio
Max sustained winds based on one-minute average
---
warning position:
130600z --- near 14.7s 68.8e
movement past six hours - 230 degrees at 11 kts
position accurate to within 060 nm
position based on center located by satellite
present wind distribution:
Max sustained winds - 035 kt, gusts 045 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
repeat posit: 14.7s 68.8e
---
forecasts:
12 hrs, valid at:
131800z --- 14.9s 68.4e
Max sustained winds - 040 kt, gusts 050 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
radius of 034 kt winds - 045 nm northeast quadrant
045 nm southeast quadrant
045 nm southwest quadrant
045 nm northwest quadrant
vector to 24 hr posit: 260 deg/ 03 kts
---
24 hrs, valid at:
140600z --- 15.0s 67.8e
Max sustained winds - 045 kt, gusts 055 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
radius of 034 kt winds - 055 nm northeast quadrant
055 nm southeast quadrant
055 nm southwest quadrant
055 nm northwest quadrant
vector to 36 hr posit: 270 deg/ 03 kts
---
36 hrs, valid at:
141800z --- 15.0s 67.2e
Max sustained winds - 050 kt, gusts 065 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
radius of 034 kt winds - 065 nm northeast quadrant
065 nm southeast quadrant
065 nm southwest quadrant
065 nm northwest quadrant
vector to 48 hr posit: 260 deg/ 03 kts
---
extended outlook:
48 hrs, valid at:
150600z --- 15.1s 66.5e
Max sustained winds - 055 kt, gusts 070 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
radius of 050 kt winds - 030 nm northeast quadrant
030 nm southeast quadrant
030 nm southwest quadrant
030 nm northwest quadrant
radius of 034 kt winds - 065 nm northeast quadrant
065 nm southeast quadrant
065 nm southwest quadrant
065 nm northwest quadrant
---
remarks:
130900z position near 14.7s 68.7e.
Tropical cyclone (tc) 06s (noname) located approximately 490 nm
south-southwest of Diego Garcia, has tracked southwestward at 11
knots over the past 06 hours.
Tc 06s has consolidated over the past
06 hours, reaching an intensity of 35 knots. The current intensity
is based on satellite Dvorak estimates of 35 knots from pgtw and
knes, 30 knots from fmee and a 130107z Quikscat image showing 40 knot
winds around the low level circulation center (LLCC).
The system is
currently tracking generally west-southwestward under competing
steering influences of subtropical ridging to the southeast and low
to mid-level near equatorial ridging to the north.
The available
dynamic model aids are in general agreement with a westward track,
however, this forecast favors the WBAR solution.
This warning super-
sedes and cancels ref a, navpacmetoccen 122221zdec2007 tropical
cyclone formation alert (wtxs21 pgtw 122230). Maximum significant
wave height at 130600z is 12 feet. Next warnings at 132100z and
140900z.//
35kts 996mb
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1691422937.jpg) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1691422937.html)
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1380196457.gif) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1380196457.html)
(http://img261.imageshack.us/img261/8662/glsstolgay06s13diczp0.png) (http://imageshack.us)
-
Jeudi, 13 décembre 2007, 10h17 (UTC+4)
http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/#
BULLETIN DU 13 DECEMBRE A 10H30 LOCALES:
******************************************
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1505035240.jpg) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1505035240.html)
(http://img254.imageshack.us/img254/8613/zoomderniere0406s13dicor5.png) (http://imageshack.us)
NATURE DU SYSTEME DEPRESSIONNAIRE TROPICAL
PRESENT SUR LE SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN
PERTURBATION TROPICALE 0420072008
PRESSION ESTIMEE AU CENTRE : 1000 HPA.
POSITION LE 13 DECEMBRE A 10 HEURES LOCALES: 14.6 SUD / 68.6 EST
(QUATORZE DEGRES SIX SUD ET SOIXANTE-HUIT DEGRES SIX EST).
DISTANCE DES COTES REUNIONNAISES: 1530 KM A L'EST-NORD-EST
DEPLACEMENT: SUD-OUEST A 12 KM/H.
VOICI LES INTENSITES ET POSITIONS PREVUES DE CE SYSTEME DEPRESSIONNAIRE AU COURS DES PROCHAINS JOURS
DEPR. TROPICALE, CENTRE POSITIONNE DANS 24H PAR 15S/68.2E
TEMP. TROP. MODEREE, CENTRE POSITIONNE DANS 48H PAR 15.6S/67.4E
FORTE TEMP. TROP., CENTRE POSITIONNE DANS 72H PAR 16.3S/64.8E
-
35kts 996mb
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1292332543.jpg) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1292332543.html)
-
esta siendo afectada por la cizalladura :'( :'( :'(
-
35 kts - 996 mb
(http://img526.imageshack.us/img526/7425/hemisferiosurhn3.jpg)
Se dirige hacia isla La Reunión.
-
35 kts - 996 mb
(http://img142.imageshack.us/img142/7765/06cp9.jpg)
(http://img142.imageshack.us/img142/7294/57129252gp5.gif)
Saludos
-
se dirige a madagascar no?
-
35kts - 998mb
a ver si llega hasta madagascar
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1935649876.jpg) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1935649876.html)
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1960879042.gif) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1960879042.html)
-
:O* es la 06S no 06P !!!!!!!!!!!!!!! ;)
(http://img159.imageshack.us/img159/7048/sinlatest06s15dicav9.gif) (http://imageshack.us)
-
:O* es la 06S no 06P !!!!!!!!!!!!!!! ;)
(http://img159.imageshack.us/img159/7048/sinlatest06s15dicav9.gif) (http://imageshack.us)
Eso es verdad.
-
Tracking Info For Tropical Cyclone 06s
Time Lat Lon Wind(mph) Storm type
-------------------------------------------------------------
06 GMT 12/13/07 14.7S 68.8E 40 Tropical Storm
12 GMT 12/13/07 14.2S 69.5E 40 Tropical Storm
12 GMT 12/14/07 14.2S 69.3E 35 Tropical Depression
00 GMT 12/15/07 14.9S 68.9E 40 Tropical Storm
12 GMT 12/15/07 15.6S 67.5E 40 Tropical Storm
35kts 998mb
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1027857449.jpg) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1027857449.html)
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1835360653.gif) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1835360653.html)
-
las condiciones ambientales por esa zona no son del todos favorables para la formacion o crecimiento de un ciclon tropical.
-
:O* 35kts - 996mb
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1004827499.jpg) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1004827499.html)
-
ahora se ve mucho mejor ::) ::) ::) :o
-
35kts-996mb
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1412322480.jpg) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1412322480.html)
remarks:
161500z position near 17.1s 64.2e.
Tropical cyclone (tc) 06s (noname) located approximately 570 nm
east-northeast of La Reunion, has tracked west-southwestward at
08 knots over the past 06 hours.
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1878789800.gif) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1878789800.html)
Recent multispectral satellite
imagery reveals a partially exposed low level circulation center
(LLCC) also evident in a 160916z AMSR-E microwave satellite pass.
The remaining deep convection associated with tc 06s has been
displaced to the west of the LLCC by strong vertical wind shear
induced by the peripheral flow of a near-equatorial ridge aloft.
Despite the strong vertical shear, good poleward outflow has allowed
the storm to maintain tc strength with Dvorak intensity estimates
of 2.5/2.5 from pgtw, knes, and fmee.
The storm continues to track
west-southwestward under the influence of low to mid-level subtropical
ridging to the south and east of the system.
The offsetting conditions
of favorable poleward outflow and unfavorable strong vertical shear will
allow the system to maintain tc strength till tau 24. After tau 24, a
decrease in available ocean heat content and the strong vertical wind
shear will over take the system and result in dissipation over the
water.
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1131718422.gif) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1131718422.html)
Overall, model guidance remains in good agreement with current forecast
reasoning. Maximum significant wave height at 161200z is 12 feet.
-
pues las islas reunion se han salvado....esta vez ;D
(http://img114.imageshack.us/img114/7162/zoomderniere0416dec06suu4.png) (http://imageshack.us)
-
:O* :O* no veo muy claro que las islas de reunion se van a salvar, como apuntan algunos modelos...... ???
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1466789378.jpg) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1466789378.html)
-
parece que La 06S se empìeza a organizar mejor ::) ::) ::). Parece que va derechito a madagascar evil
podria ser la primer visita beer
saludos
-
Ha tomado nombre......... Pero está hecha trizas.......... Se la ve muy desgastada G:
-
Es una depresion tropical en fase de disipacion. >:(
-
:O* 30kts - 1000mb
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1433402407.jpg) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1433402407.html)
-
Creo que las aguas estan Frescas, pos eso se desintegro el ciclon :-X
-
ahi sigue rondando :D :D :D
30 kts - 100mb
(http://img180.imageshack.us/img180/120/celinapg6.jpg) (http://imageshack.us)
-
30 kts - 1000 mb
(http://img515.imageshack.us/img515/467/celina3bo4.jpg) (http://imageshack.us)
Se ve mucho mejor ::) ::) ::)
saludos
-
Celina esta muriendo :O* quizas ni llegue como remanente a Madagascar :-\
saludos beer
-
:O* :( 25kts-1004mb
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1044269992.jpg) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1044269992.html)
-
Ha tocado tierra :( :( :(