Según el NRL, tenemos a GENE con
60 KT de vientos sostenidos y 978 milibares... Ahora mismo, la imagen en modo IR no permite ver el ojo, pero usando otros sensores, descubrimos que sí existe:
Debe de estar muy cerca de alcanzar la categoría 1 de huracán, en la escala de Saffir-Simpson.
Datos que extraigo del JTWC:
ZCZC 230
WTPS11 NFFN 301200
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A11 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADIJan 30/1305 UTC 2008 UTC.
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE GENE CENTRE [970HPA] CAT 3 NEAR 18.6S 172.4E
AT 301200 UTC. POSITION FAIR BASED ON MTSAT EIR. CYCLONE MOVING WEST
ABOUT 5 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS
CLOSE TO THE CENTRE. EXPECT WINDS OVER 63 KNOTS WITHIN 20 MILES OF
CENTRE. EXPECT WINDS OVER 47 KNOTS WITHIN 40 MILES OF CENTRE. EXPECT
WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 120 MILES OF CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN
SEMI-CIRCLE AND WITHIN 100 MILES ELSEWHERE.
COLD TOPS OVER LLCC HAS ENABLED INTENSIFICATION WITHIN THE LAST 12
HOURS. OUTFLOW GOOD TO EAST BUT RESTRICTED ELSEWHERE. STEERING STILL
INFLUENCED BY MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
WEAKEN TO ALLOW POLEWARD MOVEMENT IN NEXT 48HRS. CIMSS SHOWING
MODERATE SHEAR OVER SYSTEM BUT DECREASING SHEAR ALONG FORECAST TRACK.
DVORAK ANALYSIS, EMBEDDED CENTRE GIVES DT=5.0, BUT DVORAK BASED ON
MET=4.5 AND PT=4.5, THUS T4.5/4.5/D1.0/24HRS.
GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS
SHOWS FURTHER INTENSIFICATION AND TAKES THE CYCLONE WEST-SOUTHWEST
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE TURNING POLEWARD. FORECAST:
12HRS VALID AT 310000 UTC NEAR 19.4S 170.8E MOV WSW 9KT WITH 80KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE.
24HRS VALID AT 311200 UTC NEAR 19.8S 169.3E MOV WSW 6KT WITH 90KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE.OUTLOOK:
36HRS VALID AT 010000 UTC NEAR 20.3S 168.4E MOV WSW 5KT WITH 90KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE.
48HRS VALID AT 011200 UTC NEAR 21.0S 167.9E MOV SW 5KT WITH 80KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE.
Por lo que su pico de intensidad podría llegar a los 90 KT.............................. Y por lo comentado en el análisis, GENE correspondería con un categoría 1 en la escala de Saffir-Simpson.