Ahí sigue este sistema y esta a Nada de ser una depresion tropical



30 kts - 1000 mb








Posible trayectoria:

No me habia dado cuenta

GENE sube como la espuma, y con el inconveniente de navegar entre tierra 

TROPICAL CYCLONE GENE CENTRE [985HPA] CATEGORY 2 WAS LOCATED NEAR 18
DECIMAL 1 SOUTH 177 DECIMAL 3 EAST AT 281200 UTC.
POSITION FAIR.
REPEAT POSITION 18.1 SOUTH 177.3 EAST AT 281200 UTC.
CYCLONE MOVING SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS.
CYCLONE INTENSIFYING.
EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 50 KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE INCREASING
TO 60 KNOTS IN THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS.
EXPECT WINDS OVER 47 KNOTS WITHIN 25 MILES CENTRE.
EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 90 MILES OF CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN
SEMICIRCLE AND 70 MILES OF CENTRE ELSEWHERE.
TROPICAL CYCLONE GENE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON ITS SOUTHWESTERLY
TRACK AT LEAST FOR THE NEXT 18 HOURS BEFORE IT MOVES NORTHWEST.

FORECAST POSITION NEAR 18.8S 175.0E AT 290000 UTC
AND NEAR 19.0S 173.1E AT 291200 UTC.

ALL VESSELS WITHIN 300 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE ARE REQUESTED TO
SEND REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS TO RSMC NADI. VOS REPORTING SHIPS USE
NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER VESSELS FAX PLUS 679 6720190 OR EMAIL NADITCC
AT MET DOT GOV DOT FJ.

THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 074. THE NEXT GALE WARNING
WILL BE ISSUED AT 281900UTC

Tambien intenta desarrollar ojo, lo que sería dificil de comprender al estar pasando por tierra. Pero creo que la epxlicación está en que el centro del Ciclón está bordeando la costa N de la isla de Suva

Se dirigira a Australia o girara hacía el sur

 :O* 45kts-989mb

Se ve muy bien Ya ha dejado las islas FIJI

Brutales, las cantidades de lluvia que ha dejado 'GENE' en las islas FIJI:


© 1995 - 2007 Fiji Meteorological Service

Por otro lado, ahora que el ciclón se aleja de este archipiélago, parece que se está debilitando... Y así lo confirma el boletín de discusión del Servicio Meteorológico de FIJI:

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A6 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI
Jan 29/0839 UTC 2008 UTC.

TROPICAL CYCLONE GENE CENTRE [985HPA] CAT 2 NEAR 18.5S 175.5E AT
290600 UTC. POSITION FAIR BASED ON MTSAT EIR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION
AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE OBSERVATION. CYCLONE MOVING SOUTHWEST ABOUT 8
KNOTS AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON THIS PATH FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS. MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS CLOSE TO
THE CENTRE. EXPECT WINDS OVER 47 KNOTS WITHIN 25 MILES OF CENTRE.
EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 90 MILES OF CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN
SEMI-CIRCLE AND WITHIN 70 MILES ELSEWHERE.

CONVECTION IS DISSIPATING AS QUICKLY AS IT DEVELOPS WITH CLOUD TOPS
WARMING ABOUT THE WESTERN FLANK. SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE
SHEAR ALONG THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN FLANK. STEERING INFLUENCED BY A
SOUTHWESTERLY DEEP LAYER MEAN FLOW OVER AREA WITH A MID-LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF TC GENE. THIS SUPPORTS THE
LATEST MODEL RUNS DRIVING THE CYCLONE ALONG A SOUTHWESTERLY TRACK FOR
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON 0.95 WRAP ON LOG10
SPIRAL YIELDING DT=3.5, MET AND PAT AGREE, THUS T3.5/3.5/D1.0/24HRS.


FORECAST:
12HRS VALID AT 291800 UTC NEAR 18.7S 174.1E MOV SW 10KT WITH 50KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE.
24HRS VALID AT 300600 UTC NEAR 18.9S 172.0E MOV SW 10KT WITH 45KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE.

OUTLOOK:
36HRS VALID AT 301800 UTC NEAR 19.5S 170.5E MOV WSW 8KT WITH 45KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE.
48HRS VALID AT 310600 UTC NEAR 20.0S 169.2E MOV WSW 7KT WITH 40KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE.

THE NEXT SPECIAL ADVISORY FOR VANUATU ON TC GENE WILL BE ISSUED
AROUND 291430 UTC.

Parece que 'GENE' ya ha dado de sí todo lo que ha podido...

Según Wunderground, vida de GENE:

Time             Lat   Lon    Wind(mph)   Storm type

-------------------------------------------------------------
18 GMT 01/27/08  15.3S 179.4W    40       Tropical Storm
18 GMT 01/28/08  15.3S 179.4W    40       Tropical Storm
06 GMT 01/28/08  17.3S 178.5E    50       Tropical Storm
18 GMT 01/28/08  17.8S 176.0E    50       Tropical Storm
06 GMT 01/29/08  18.5S 175.1E    50       Tropical Storm