Juasss... HONDO aún sigue vivo
ZCZC 237
WTIO30 FMEE 121226 CCA
............... CORRECTIVE ..............
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNIONTROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER : 34/10/20072008
1.A FILLING DEPRESSION 10 (EX-HONDO)2.A POSITION 2008/02/12 AT 1200 UTC :
24.3S / 84.8E
(TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FOUR DECIMAL
EIGHT
DEGREES EAST)
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1007 HPA / 900 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW
1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2008/02/13 00 UTC: 23.5S/83.2E, MAX WIND=025KT , FILLING UP.
24H: 2008/02/13 12 UTC: 22.7S/81.9E, MAX WIND=025KT , FILLING UP.
36H: 2008/02/14 00 UTC: 22.0S/80.7E, MAX WIND=025KT , FILLING UP.
48H: 2008/02/14 12 UTC: 21.6S/79.7E, MAX WIND=020KT , FILLING UP.
60H: 2008/02/15 00 UTC: 21.6S/78.9E, MAX WIND=015KT , DISSIPATING.
72H: 2008/02/15 12 UTC: DISSIPATED.
2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
HONDO'S CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION REMAINS RATHER WELL DEFINED, FULLY
EXPOSED
IN THE NORTHWEST OF THE VERY RESIDUAL CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY.
HONDO HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARDS OVER THE LAST HOURS, ALONG THE
NORTHEASTERN EDGE OF THE BUILDING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE.
THIS IS THE LAST WARNING RELATED TO THIS SYSTEM,
WHICH REMAINS
CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.=NNNN
LA discusión comenta que la circulación horaria de HONDO permanece bastante bien definida, completamente expuesta en el norte de la actividad convectiva residual.... También que es el último aviso relacionado con este sistema, que permanece en exhaustivo seguimiento por si hubiera signos de regeneración (yo no veo posibilidad alguna de que eso ocurra)
Time Lat Lon Wind(mph) Storm type
-------------------------------------------------------------
12 GMT 02/04/08 13.1S 79.9E 35 Tropical Depression
00 GMT 02/05/08 13.5S 80.3E 50 Tropical Storm
12 GMT 02/05/08 13.7S 80.9E 75 Category 1
00 GMT 02/06/08 14S 81.0E 85 Category 1
12 GMT 02/06/08 14.2S 81.8E 105 Category 2
18 GMT 02/06/08 14.4S 82.0E 140 Category 4
06 GMT 02/07/08 14.7S 82.7E 140 Category 4
18 GMT 02/07/08 15S 82.9E 145 Category 4
06 GMT 02/08/08 15.1S 83.5E 140 Category 4
18 GMT 02/08/08 15.6S 84.4E 130 Category 3
06 GMT 02/09/08 16.6S 85.4E 140 Category 4
18 GMT 02/09/08 18.2S 86.4E 125 Category 3
06 GMT 02/10/08 20.3S 86.6E 115 Category 3
18 GMT 02/11/08 21.6S 86.5E 80 Category 1
06 GMT 02/11/08 23S 86.2E 50 Tropical Storm
18 GMT 02/11/08 24.4S 85.4E 45 Tropical Storm
06 GMT 02/12/08 24.6S 85.1E 40 Tropical Storm