Progreso de HONDO desde ayer
DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
23/0830 UTC 20.2S 56.5E T2.5/2.5 HONDO -- South Indian Ocean 23/0230 UTC 19.9S 57.4E T1.5/1.5 HONDO -- South Indian Ocean
22/1900 UTC 19.1S 58.9E T1.0/1.0 HONDO -- South Indian Ocean
22/1430 UTC 18.8S 59.0E TOO WEAK HONDO -- South Indian Ocean
2.5 equivale a 35 KT y una presión no inferior a 997 hPa por la región geográfica en la que se ubica.
NRL-Navy le da
50 KT y 985 mb de presión mínima en su centro
Suficiente de sobras para darle nombre... Sin embargo siguen llamándolo HONDO
Quizá las reglas en esta cuenca oceánica son distintas, Torre??
REMARKS:
231500Z POSITION NEAR 20.8S 55.3E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (HONDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LA REUNION, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT
09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SMALL SYSTEM INTENSIFIED
SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, THE LOW LEVELS ARE
NOW BEING DISTORTED BY THE SURROUNDING ISLANDS AS SOME OF THE
CONVECTION HAS WANED. SATELLITE-DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATES
RANGE BETWEEN 40 TO 50 KNOTS, AND SUPPORT AN INITIAL INTENSITY
ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS, THE CYCLONE IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF
THE LOW- TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTH
AND EAST.
INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MOVEMENT OVER COOLER
WATER WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM LEADING TO DISSIPATION
OVER WATER BY TAU 36. OVERALL, THE OBJECTIVE AIDS REMAIN IN GOOD
AGREEMENT AS THE FORECAST HAS NOT CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY SINCE
THE PREVIOUS WARNING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z
IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z AND 241500Z.//
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Los boletines de aviso siguen haciendo incapié en que el ambiente alrededor de HONDO se hace cada vez menos favorable