Cazatormentas
Foro de Meteorología => Seguimiento de huracanes, tifones y ciclones => Mensaje iniciado por: Eker en Julio 14, 2010, 22:08:18 pm
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Lo cierto es que el NHC no ha confirmado nada aún, la mantiene con un 70% de posibilidades de desarrollo. Por el contrario, la FNMOC la nombra ya como 06E y el JTWC lanza la alerta de formación tropical. Por el momento voy dejando datos de esta depresión, repito, no hecha oficial por el NHC
DEPRESIÓN TROPICAL 06E
30kts-1006mb
(http://img686.imageshack.us/img686/3861/201007141945goes13vis1k.jpg)
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Esto es lo que comentan, JTWC y NHC respectivamente:
WTPN21 PGTW 141930
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
155 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.7N 106.1W TO 16.0N 111.1W
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT IM-
AGERY AT 141800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 14.7N 106.7W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS.
-----------------------------------------------------------
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
1100 AM PDT WED JUL 14 2010
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY AROUND
A SMALL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED ABOUT 350 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE
GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
DISTURBANCE AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH...AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM AS EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON OR
TONIGHT. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER MUSHER
NNNN
8)
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Poco ha tardado el NHC. Ya lo ha hecho oficial
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 142034
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062010
200 PM PDT WED JUL 14 2010
...NEW DEPRESSION FORMS WELL OFFSHORE THE MEXICAN COAST...
...NO THREAT TO LAND...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...14.9N 107.2W
ABOUT 340 MI...550 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 580 MI...935 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES