Lovegirl, me vuelvo pa tu tierra o que, que Emily nos supo a poco a mi hijo y a mi... gran año el 2005...
Y si es verdad, si toca Caiman, Haiti o similares el saldo sera peor, en Mexico... lo disfrute muy bien el huracán, y no sentí peligro en ningún momento.

IT APPEARS THAT THE EASTERLY SHEAR THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING DEAN IS
BEGINNING TO DECREASE.  THE GLOBAL MODELS FORECAST A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR STEADY STRENGTHENING AND THE AVAILABLE INTENSITY
GUIDANCE BRINGS DEAN TO A HURRICANE IN 36-48 HOURS...AND NEAR THE
MAJOR HURRICANE THRESHOLD BY DAY 5. 

THE WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED BASED ON THE QUIKSCAT DATA.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      15/0300Z 12.0N  42.3W    45 KT
 12HR VT     15/1200Z 12.2N  44.8W    50 KT
 24HR VT     16/0000Z 12.4N  48.2W    55 KT
 36HR VT     16/1200Z 12.8N  51.7W    60 KT
 48HR VT     17/0000Z 13.4N  55.2W    70 KT
 72HR VT     18/0000Z 14.5N  61.0W    80 KT
 96HR VT     19/0000Z 16.0N  66.5W    90 KT
120HR VT     20/0000Z 17.5N  71.5W   100 KT

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

Extraído de la discusión nº7 del NHC:

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120HR VT     20/0000Z 17.5N  71.5W   100 KT

DEAN está cogiendo carrerilla................ :<<O

  Categoria 3 en 96 horas 

DEAN SHOULD ENCOUNTER WARMER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ALONG THE
FORECAST TRACK...AND THE VERTICAL SHEAR IS FORECAST TO BE LIGHT
DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD.  THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE CALLS FOR
STEADY STRENGTHENING...AND SO DOES THE INTENSITY FORECAST IN BEST
AGREEMENT WITH THE ICON CONSENSUS.  GIVEN THE FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS AND WARM WATER...THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT DEAN COULD BE
NOTABLY STRONGER THAN FORECAST BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.