Los modelos tienden a subir la zona de golpeo.

mi pronostico seria que llegara cerca entre la frontera de honduras y nicaragua y tomara despues un rumbo noroeste para luego seguir al golfo de mexico retomando el rumbo oeste noroeste
saludos

Los modelos tienden a subir la zona de golpeo.

será por la onda delante de nicaragua,que le impide a felix el paso al sur??


http://www.ineter.gob.ni/pronostico-web/nota%20informativa/nota%20informativa.htm
NOTA INFORMATIVA  N° 3
FECHA      : Domingo 02  de septiembre de 2007

2-     Por la posición, desplazamiento, y desarrollo que está presentando este  HURACÁN, continuamos en vigilancia. Se espera que las precipitaciones que podrían ocurrir en nuestro país, en las próximas 12 horas sean generadas por los remanentes  de la Onda Tropical N°29.

Recordemos a Isidore en el 2002, se encontraba en la misma posicion en la que se encuentra felix actualmente y por un frente Isidore se Empeso a Mover muy herraticamente y empeso a costiar Yucatan y toco tierra inesperadamente, ese dia la gente de Merida Yucatan, se encontrraba en plenas actividades cuando empeso el huracan...no les habian havisado....
y no hay que olvidar a Mitch que debasto honduras

  deberían cambiarlo ...ya es categoria 3

 weather.gov      
Hurricane FELIX Public Advisory

000
WTNT31 KNHC 021747
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FELIX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   8A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062007
200 PM AST SUN SEP 02 2007

...FELIX STRENGTHENS INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND FOR GRAND
CAYMAN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS
DISCONTINUED ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR THE ISLANDS OF
ARUBA...BONAIRE...AND CURACAO.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED
BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 13.4
NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.2 WEST OR ABOUT 490 MILES...790 KM...SOUTHEAST
OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.

FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...205
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  FELIX IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...
AND FELIX COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT
DAY OR SO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.

THE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED THAT THE MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE HAS FALLEN TO 964 MB...28.47 INCHES.

FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH
POSSIBLE MAXIMUM ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OVER THE NETHERLANDS
ANTILLES...THE PARAGUANA PENINSULA OF NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA AND
THE GUAJIRA PENINSULA OF NORTHERN COLOMBIA.

REPEATING THE 200 PM AST POSITION...13.4 N...71.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

Actualizado, Deltaforce Gracias por el apunte

GRAN HURACÁN FELIX - CATEGORÍA 3