Buscas algun articulo o informacion? usa nuestro buscador
Síguenos también en:



Facebook


Autor Tema: Tormenta Tropical MACA 01C - Pacífico Central y paso al Oeste  (Leído 432 veces)

Desconectado Gale

  • Webmaster - Admin
  • Tornado F5 (Dedo de Dios)
  • ******
  • Mensajes: 45.768
    • Cazatormentas.Net
Me atrae esta cuenca oceánica...

Central North Pacific Names:
List 1
Akoni (ah-KOH-nee)
Ema (EH-mah)
Hone (HOH-neh)
Iona (ee-OH-nah)
Keli (KEH-lee)
Lala (LAH-lah)
Moke (MOH-keh)
Nolo (NOH-loh)
Olana (oh-LAH-nah)
Pena (PEH-nah)
Ulana (oo-LAH-nah)
Wale (WAH-leh)
 List 2
Aka (AH-kah)
Ekeka (eh-KEH-kah)
Hene (HEH-neh)
Iolana (ee-OH-lah-nah)
Keoni (keh-ON-ee)
Lino (LEE-noh)
Mele (MEH-leh)
Nona (NOH-nah)
Oliwa (oh-LEE-vah)
Pama (PAH-mah)
Upana (oo-PAH-nah)
Wene (WEH-neh)
 List 3
Alika (ah-LEE-kah)
Ele (EH-leh)
Huko (HOO-koh)
Iopa (ee-OH-pah)
Kika (KEE-kah)
Lana (LAH-nah)
Maka (MAH-kah)
Neki (NEH-kee)
Omeka (oh-MEH-kah)
Pewa (PEH-vah)
Unala (oo-NAH-lah)
Wali (WAH-lee)
 List 4
Ana (AH-nah)
Ela (EH-lah)
Halola (hah-LOH-lah)
Iune (ee-OO-neh)
Kilo (KEE-lo)
Loke (LOH-keh)
Malia (mah-LEE-ah)
Niala (nee-AH-lah)
Oho (OH-hoh)
Pali (PAH-lee)
Ulika (oo-LEE-kah)
Walaka (wah-LAH-KAH)

 
Según la lista de nombres según la agencia a la que le corresponde esta cuenca, le corresponde el nombre de MAKA. ;)

« Última modificación: Agosto 16, 2009, 11:52:02 am por Gale »

Desconectado Gale

  • Webmaster - Admin
  • Tornado F5 (Dedo de Dios)
  • ******
  • Mensajes: 45.768
    • Cazatormentas.Net
Re: Tormenta Tropical MACA 01C - Pacífico Central
« Respuesta #1 en: Agosto 11, 2009, 19:44:18 pm »
Adjunto boletín del Centro de Huracanes del Pacífico Central:

000
WTPA43 PHFO 111455
TCDCP3

TROPICAL STORM MAKA DISCUSSION NUMBER   3
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012009
500 AM HST TUE AUG 11 2009

I HAVE UPGRADED DEPRESSION ONE-C TO TROPICAL STORM MAKA. CLOUD TOPS
HAVE COOLED AND INCREASED IN AREA AND THE SYSTEM APPEARS BETTER
ORGANIZED. SUBJECTIVE DVORAK FIXES HAD CI NUMBERS OF 2.0 TO 2.5.
CIMSS ADT AT 0430 UTC GAVE A CI OF 2.2...AND CIMSS AND CIRA AMSU MSW
VALUES RANGED FROM 40 TO 46 KT. THERE IS A FAIR AMOUNT OF
UNCERTAINTY WITH BOTH THE POSITION AND INTENSITY FOR THIS SYSTEM BUT
IT DOES APPEAR THE SYSTEM HAS REACHED TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY.
 
A 1027 MB HIGH LIES ABOUT 1700 MILES NORTH OF MAKA...WITH THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE HIGH TO A COL AROUND 26N 160E.
MAKA SHOULD MOVE WEST NORTHWEST ALONG THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE RIDGE
FOR THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. THE TRACK MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT
DURING THIS PERIOD. AFTER 48 HOURS THE MODELS SHOW A MUCH GREATER
SPREAD. I EXPECT MAKA TO CURVE NORTHWEST TOWARD THE WEAKNESS IN THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE TRACK REMAINS NEARLY THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS
TRACK EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT SHIFT TO THE LEFT AT 120 HOURS...CLOSER TO
THE HWRF.
 
ANY GENERALLY WEST NORTHWEST TRACK WILL KEEP ONE-C OVER 28 DEGREE
CELSIUS SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...THEN IT
WILL MOVE OVER COOLER WATER. THE SHEAR FORECAST IS MORE PROBLEMATIC.
SHEAR IS CURRENTLY WEAK...BUT THERE IS MUCH STRONGER SHEAR FURTHER
NORTH. THIS FORECAST ASSUMES THAT SHEAR WILL REMAIN WEAK ENOUGH TO
ALLOW GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION WITH MAKA REACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH
AT 120 HOURS. AS USUAL...THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE
INTENSITY FORECAST.
 
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      11/1500Z 14.2N 172.2W    35 KT
 12HR VT     12/0000Z 14.6N 173.7W    40 KT
 24HR VT     12/1200Z 15.2N 175.7W    45 KT
 36HR VT     13/0000Z 15.8N 177.5W    50 KT
 48HR VT     13/1200Z 16.5N 178.9W    55 KT
 72HR VT     14/1200Z 18.1N 178.6E    60 KT
 96HR VT     15/1200Z 20.1N 176.7E    60 KT
120HR VT     16/1200Z 22.4N 174.5E    65 KT
 
$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON


Parece que tendremos un huracán ¿o es tifón en esta cuenca?.............

Desconectado deltaforce

  • Tornado F1
  • *
  • Mensajes: 2.186
  • Ofra - Santa Cruz de Tenerife
Re: Tormenta Tropical MACA 01C - Pacífico Central
« Respuesta #2 en: Agosto 11, 2009, 21:19:26 pm »
Adjunto boletín del Centro de Huracanes del Pacífico Central:

000
WTPA43 PHFO 111455
TCDCP3

TROPICAL STORM MAKA DISCUSSION NUMBER   3
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012009
500 AM HST TUE AUG 11 2009

I HAVE UPGRADED DEPRESSION ONE-C TO TROPICAL STORM MAKA. CLOUD TOPS
HAVE COOLED AND INCREASED IN AREA AND THE SYSTEM APPEARS BETTER
ORGANIZED. SUBJECTIVE DVORAK FIXES HAD CI NUMBERS OF 2.0 TO 2.5.
CIMSS ADT AT 0430 UTC GAVE A CI OF 2.2...AND CIMSS AND CIRA AMSU MSW
VALUES RANGED FROM 40 TO 46 KT. THERE IS A FAIR AMOUNT OF
UNCERTAINTY WITH BOTH THE POSITION AND INTENSITY FOR THIS SYSTEM BUT
IT DOES APPEAR THE SYSTEM HAS REACHED TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY.
 
A 1027 MB HIGH LIES ABOUT 1700 MILES NORTH OF MAKA...WITH THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE HIGH TO A COL AROUND 26N 160E.
MAKA SHOULD MOVE WEST NORTHWEST ALONG THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE RIDGE
FOR THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. THE TRACK MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT
DURING THIS PERIOD. AFTER 48 HOURS THE MODELS SHOW A MUCH GREATER
SPREAD. I EXPECT MAKA TO CURVE NORTHWEST TOWARD THE WEAKNESS IN THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE TRACK REMAINS NEARLY THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS
TRACK EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT SHIFT TO THE LEFT AT 120 HOURS...CLOSER TO
THE HWRF.
 
ANY GENERALLY WEST NORTHWEST TRACK WILL KEEP ONE-C OVER 28 DEGREE
CELSIUS SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...THEN IT
WILL MOVE OVER COOLER WATER. THE SHEAR FORECAST IS MORE PROBLEMATIC.
SHEAR IS CURRENTLY WEAK...BUT THERE IS MUCH STRONGER SHEAR FURTHER
NORTH. THIS FORECAST ASSUMES THAT SHEAR WILL REMAIN WEAK ENOUGH TO
ALLOW GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION WITH MAKA REACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH
AT 120 HOURS. AS USUAL...THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE
INTENSITY FORECAST.
 
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      11/1500Z 14.2N 172.2W    35 KT
 12HR VT     12/0000Z 14.6N 173.7W    40 KT
 24HR VT     12/1200Z 15.2N 175.7W    45 KT
 36HR VT     13/0000Z 15.8N 177.5W    50 KT
 48HR VT     13/1200Z 16.5N 178.9W    55 KT
 72HR VT     14/1200Z 18.1N 178.6E    60 KT
 96HR VT     15/1200Z 20.1N 176.7E    60 KT
120HR VT     16/1200Z 22.4N 174.5E    65 KT
 
$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON


Parece que tendremos un huracán ¿o es tifón en esta cuenca?.............


creo que sera CICLON
<br /><br /><br /> Eneko/20minutos.es.

Desconectado Gale

  • Webmaster - Admin
  • Tornado F5 (Dedo de Dios)
  • ******
  • Mensajes: 45.768
    • Cazatormentas.Net
Re: Tormenta Tropical MACA 01C - Pacífico Central
« Respuesta #3 en: Agosto 14, 2009, 17:48:39 pm »
Pues está pasando desapercibido este ciclón, e incluso el Centro de Huracanes del Pacífico Central ya no lo considera, quizás porque se haya salido de su jurisdicción... El caso es que otras agencias, como la NRL, sí que lo ubican en esa cuenca oceánica, como depresión tropical, y ojo, porque va a adentrarse en un área con un OHC bien bueno.

Desconectado Gale

  • Webmaster - Admin
  • Tornado F5 (Dedo de Dios)
  • ******
  • Mensajes: 45.768
    • Cazatormentas.Net
Re: Tormenta Tropical MACA 01C - Pacífico Central
« Respuesta #4 en: Agosto 14, 2009, 17:51:08 pm »
14/1430 UTC   13.3N    175.1E       T2.0/2.0         MAKA -- West Pacific

Bien, efectivamente, ha pasado a la cuenca del Pacífico Oeste ;)

Desconectado Gale

  • Webmaster - Admin
  • Tornado F5 (Dedo de Dios)
  • ******
  • Mensajes: 45.768
    • Cazatormentas.Net
Re: Tormenta Tropical MACA 01C - Pacífico Central y Oeste
« Respuesta #5 en: Agosto 16, 2009, 11:51:40 am »
Curioso este MACA......... Casi desaparece mientras pasaba del Pacífico Central al Pacífico Oeste, se recupera, y ahora es tormenta tropical con previsión de convertirse en tifón :P

Desconectado deltaforce

  • Tornado F1
  • *
  • Mensajes: 2.186
  • Ofra - Santa Cruz de Tenerife
Re: Tormenta Tropical MACA 01C - Pacífico Central y paso al Oeste
« Respuesta #6 en: Agosto 16, 2009, 12:01:17 pm »
45kts-992mb



estaba previsto que se vuelva a convertir en un cat 1 o cat 2 despues de rodear la islita esa  ;D




<br /><br /><br /> Eneko/20minutos.es.

Desconectado deltaforce

  • Tornado F1
  • *
  • Mensajes: 2.186
  • Ofra - Santa Cruz de Tenerife
Re: Tormenta Tropical MACA 01C - Pacífico Central y paso al Oeste
« Respuesta #7 en: Agosto 16, 2009, 12:07:31 pm »
si sigue la linea recta,va derecho a Tokio
<br /><br /><br /> Eneko/20minutos.es.

 



Buscas algun articulo o informacion? usa nuestro buscador