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Autor Tema: Gran Huracán OMAR 15L - categoría 3 - (Atlántico - Mar Caribe)  (Leído 3367 veces)

Desconectado AngelAldair94

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Pues eso...Otro sistema en el Mar Caribe, y lo peor es que parece que se irá directito hacia Haití y Republica Dominicána. En estos momentos sostiene vientos de 20 KTS. El NHC mantiene el rango de formación en NARANJA. Parece ser que este sistema es el que esta haciendo que 97L se diriga hacia el norte....
« Última modificación: Octubre 16, 2008, 06:35:22 am por Gale »

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Re: Sistema Tropical 98L - Mar Caribe
« Respuesta #1 en: Octubre 12, 2008, 20:35:15 pm »
Los pronósticos le dan bastantes posibilidades de que evolucione a depresión tropical hacia el miércoles, cuando debe estar cerca de Puerto Rico. Veremos su evolución. De momento esta es su historia:

 Time                    Lat   Lon    Wind(mph) Pressure   Storm type
-------------------------------------------------------------
18 GMT 10/11/08  12.5N  64.9W     20        1006       Invest
00 GMT 10/12/08  13.3N  65.0W     20        1007       Invest
06 GMT 10/12/08  14.0N  64.0W     20        1007       Invest
12 GMT 10/12/08  14.0N  67.0W     20        1007       Invest
18 GMT 10/12/08  15.1N  67.7W     25        1006       Invest
"Escápate de tu tiempo
al tiempo que no transcurre.
Pon tu mirada por
encima de tu yo, tu día, tu orden...
Yo-Día-Orden-Caos"

(José Val del Omar)

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Desconectado Gale

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Re: Sistema Tropical 98L INVEST, futuro OMAR? (Atlántico - Mar Caribe)
« Respuesta #2 en: Octubre 13, 2008, 12:48:38 pm »
Alerta roja de formación de ciclón tropical sobre este sistema, según el Centro Nacional de Huracanes de Florida...

THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES
SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO RICO HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION
OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.  UPPER-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS...
WHICH HAVE BEEN HINDERING DEVELOPMENT...ARE FORECAST TO TEMPORARILY
DIMINISH WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...
AND THIS SYSTEM HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TODAY OR TONIGHT AS IT
MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.  REGARDLESS OF WHETHER OR NOT THE SYSTEM
BECOMES A TROPICAL CYCLONE...HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW
WILL AFFECT PUERTO RICO...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PORTIONS OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  IN SOME AREAS THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS.  FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA...PLEASE CONSULT STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE

Según reza el boletín, el sistema no está consiguiendo progresar debido a los vientos en altura, que son desfavorables, pero que está previsto mejoren y se tornen favorables para las 12 o 24 próximas horas, por lo que la formación de una depresión tropical puede ser inminente...

Desconectado AngelAldair94

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Re: Sistema Tropical 98L INVEST, futuro OMAR? (Atlántico - Mar Caribe)
« Respuesta #3 en: Octubre 13, 2008, 13:04:53 pm »
Pues parece que este sistema sera una amenaza para el caribe occidental. Habra que estar atentos en JAMAICA...

Desconectado Gale

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Re: Depresión Tropical 15L, futuro OMAR? (Atlántico - Mar Caribe)
« Respuesta #4 en: Octubre 13, 2008, 15:51:51 pm »
El NRL ya la considera depresión tropical. Además, el Centro Nacional de Huracanes de Florida, en su último boletín sobre este sistema, comenta que una depresión tropical podría estar formándose ya. Por esto mismo, subiremos nosotros también su estatus.

Desconectado Gale

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Re: Depresión Tropical 15L, futuro OMAR? (Atlántico - Mar Caribe)
« Respuesta #5 en: Octubre 13, 2008, 16:55:59 pm »
Ya es oficial.... Primer boletín de discusión del Centro Nacional de Huracanes de Florida:

000
WTNT45 KNHC 131441
TCDAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN DISCUSSION NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
1100 AM EDT MON OCT 13 2008

THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA HAS
DEVELOPED ENOUGH CIRCULATION AND DEEP CONVECTION TO BE CLASSIFIED
AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. NORMALLY...I WOULD WAIT FOR THE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WHICH IN FACT IS SCHEDULE FOR THIS AFTERNOON TO
START ADVISORIES...BUT IN THIS CASE...THERE ARE DATA SUPPORTING THE
PRESENCE OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION.  THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CAN BE
DEPICTED ON THE CURACAO RADAR...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS..CLOUD WIND
VECTORS AND ON THE LATEST QUIKSCAT PASS THIS MORNING. INITIAL
INTENSITY IS 30 KNOTS BASED ON DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS AND QUIKSCAT.
THE DEPRESSION IS NOT EMBEDDED IN THE BEST ENVIRONMENT FOR
STRENGTHENING SINCE THERE IS SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR...BUT IS FAVORABLE
ENOUGH TO ALLOW THE CYCLONE TO REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY IN 12
TO 24 HOURS. THEREAFTER...THE SHEAR IS FORECAST TO INCREASE SOME
MAKING THE INTENSITY FORECAST HIGHLY UNCERTAIN. AT THIS TIME...THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A BLEND OF THE STATISTICAL MODEL SHIPS AND THE
DYNAMICAL MODELS GFDL AND HWRF. IN FACT...THE GFDL AND HWRF
FORECAST THE DEPRESSION TO BE A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES NEAR
PUERTO RICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS EMBEDDED WITHIN LIGHT STEERING CURRENTS AND IS
DRIFTING NORTHWESTWARD. SINCE NO CHANGE IN STEERING IS EXPECTED FOR
A DAY OR TWO...NO SIGNIFICANT MOTION IS ANTICIPATED DURING THAT
PERIOD. THEREAFTER...GLOBAL MODELS DEVELOP A LARGE AND STRONG MID-
LATITUDE TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THIS
TROUGH AND RECURVE. THIS TRACK SHOULD BRING THE CYCLONE VERY CLOSE
TO PUERTO RICO BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS AND OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC
THEREAFTER. THIS TRACK IS VERY CLOSE TO THE MODEL CONSENSUS AND
ALSO IS HEAVILY BIASED TOWARD THE GFDL AND HWRF MODELS.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      13/1500Z 14.8N  69.6W    30 KT
 12HR VT     14/0000Z 15.1N  70.0W    35 KT
 24HR VT     14/1200Z 15.5N  70.0W    45 KT
 36HR VT     15/0000Z 16.0N  69.0W    50 KT
 48HR VT     15/1200Z 17.0N  67.5W    55 KT
 72HR VT     16/1200Z 20.0N  63.5W    65 KT
 96HR VT     17/1200Z 24.0N  59.5W    65 KT
120HR VT     18/1200Z 30.0N  55.0W    65 KT

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

Las conclusiones que pueden extraerse después de leerlo, es que OMAR será una realidad en menos de dos días, y que tiene serias posibilidades de aumentar de fuerza hasta convertirse en huracán, así que veremos a ver qué ocurre finalmente...

Desconectado AngelAldair94

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Re: Depresión Tropical 15L, futuro OMAR? (Atlántico - Mar Caribe)
« Respuesta #6 en: Octubre 13, 2008, 21:03:39 pm »
Muy rara trayectoria... Tal vez esa trayectoria sera provocada por 99L!

Desconectado Gale

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Re: Tormenta Tropical OMAR 15L (Atlántico - Mar Caribe)
« Respuesta #7 en: Octubre 14, 2008, 19:02:31 pm »
OMAR ya es una realidad... El Centro Nacional de Huracanes la acaba de ascender de estatus...

000
WTNT45 KNHC 141505
TCDAT5
TROPICAL STORM OMAR DISCUSSION NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
1100 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2008

SATELLITE AND RADAR DATA INDICATE THE DEPRESSION HAS CONTINUED TO
BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND CLOUD TOPS HAVE COOLED SIGNIFICANTLY
WITH SOME TOPS TO -86C NEAR THE CENTER
. OUTFLOW HAS ALSO IMPROVED
IN ALL QUADRANTS AND IS LESS RESTRICTED TO THE NORTHWEST NOW. THE
INITIAL ADVISORY OF 35 KT IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS T2.5/35 KT
SATELLITE ESTIMATE FROM TAFB AND SAB FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS...PLUS
SEVERAL BELIEVABLE 30-34 KT QUIKSCAT WIND VECTORS NOTED IN THE
NORTHWEST QUADRANT AROUND 1036Z THIS MORNING. THUS...TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FIFTEEN HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM OMAR
.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 115/02. OMAR HAS BEEN DRIFTING SOUTH
TO SOUTHEASTWARD THE PAST 12 HOURS...AND CURRENTLY SHOWS NO SIGN OF
CHANGING THAT MOTION. HOWEVER...ALL OF THE AVAILABLE MODEL GUIDANCE
INDICATES THAT A BROAD DEEP MID-LATITUDE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL
AND WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO DROP SOUTHWARD AND GRADUALLY
PICK UP OMAR AND NUDGE IT TO THE EAST DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS...
AND THEN ACCELERATE IT TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER THAT. THE LATEST
TREND IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUPPORTS THIS SCENARIO AS A PIECE OF
SHORTWAVE ENERGY ALONG 70W LONGITUDE CAN BE SEEN DIGGING DUE SOUTH.
NHC MODEL GUIDANCE IS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED CROSS-WISE...BUT THERE ARE
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES IN THE FORWARD SPEED AND JUST HOW SOON OMAR
GETS PICKED UP BY THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
TRACK HAS BEEN SHIFTED TO THE EAST OR RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK
...MAINLY DUE TO THE MORE EASTWARD INITIAL POSITION...BUT NOT AS FAR
EAST OR AS FAST AS THE MODEL CONSENSUS.

RECENT DEVELOPMENT OF A CDO-LIKE AREA OF CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION
SUGGESTS THAT OMAR MAY BE STARTING A PERIOD OF RAPID STRENGTHENING.

IN ADDITION...A LARGE MASS OF CONVECTION IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE
THAT HAS BEEN DISRUPTING INFLOW INTO THE CIRCULATION CENTER HAS
WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR MORE CONVECTIVE
FORCING TO OCCUR NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. THE IMPROVING OUTFLOW
PATTERN AND A FORECAST OF DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF LESS
THAN 10 KT FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS FURTHER SUPPORTS A FORECAST OF
STEADY INTENSIFICATION OF AT LEAST ONE T-NUMBER PER DAY FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTER THAT...SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AHEAD
OF THE LARGE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO GREATER
THAN 20 KT...SO THE INTENSIFICATION TREND SHOULD SLOW DOWN BY DAY 2
AND BEYOND. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE
PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS A BLEND OF THE SHIPS...GFDL...AND HWRF
MODELS.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      14/1500Z 14.0N  69.0W    35 KT
 12HR VT     15/0000Z 14.7N  68.3W    45 KT
 24HR VT     15/1200Z 15.8N  67.3W    55 KT
 36HR VT     16/0000Z 17.3N  65.6W    60 KT
 48HR VT     16/1200Z 19.1N  63.6W    65 KT
 72HR VT     17/1200Z 23.8N  60.0W    65 KT
 96HR VT     18/1200Z 28.0N  58.0W    65 KT
120HR VT     19/1200Z 33.0N  55.0W    65 KT

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


Parece ser que se está intensificando con rapidez............ Y al menos pronostican su llegada a la categoría 1 de huracán... No parece que vaya a entrar en el Caribe.

Desconectado Huracan_Castillo

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Re: Tormenta Tropical OMAR 15L (Atlántico - Mar Caribe)
« Respuesta #8 en: Octubre 14, 2008, 19:43:01 pm »
Hay otro tormenta zurda?? Creo que es algo atipico pero ya habia sucedido antes.

http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at199912.asp

Desconectado AngelAldair94

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Re: Tormenta Tropical OMAR 15L (Atlántico - Mar Caribe)
« Respuesta #9 en: Octubre 14, 2008, 21:43:22 pm »
Segun el NRL MONTEREY, OMAR ya tiene 60 kts!

Desconectado Lisandro89

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Re: Tormenta Tropical OMAR 15L (Atlántico - Mar Caribe)
« Respuesta #10 en: Octubre 15, 2008, 05:33:39 am »
Nuevo huracan Omar - 65kt - 979mb

Hay modelos que llevan a omar a intensificarse y en 24hs ser un huracan categoria 4... mientras tanto los del NHC son mas conservadores y elevan el pico a 90kt... pero para mi lo supera!  :)

Para mi podria ser un wilma... lastima q omar tiene 20 nudos y wilma tenia 3 nudos... ahi esta la diferencia clave..

Es impresionante!  :cold:  :cold:  :cold:

Imagenes:












Saludos! ;)
« Última modificación: Octubre 15, 2008, 05:36:34 am por Lisandro89 »

Desconectado Gale

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Re: Huracán OMAR 15L - categoría 1 - (Atlántico - Mar Caribe)
« Respuesta #11 en: Octubre 15, 2008, 06:43:58 am »
Juer, Lisandro !! El pepinazo que ha pegado ha sido de impresión !!

000
WTNT45 KNHC 150251
TCDAT5
HURRICANE OMAR DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
1100 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2008

THERE HAVE BEEN NO ADDITIONAL RECONNAISSANCE DATA THIS EVENING...
HOWEVER SATELLITE AND RADAR OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT OMAR HAS
BECOME A HURRICANE. A NEARLY COMPLETE EYEWALL HAS BEEN SEEN AT TIMES
ON THE CURACAO RADAR
...AND OMAR HAS BEEN MAINTAINING A LARGE AREA
OF VERY COLD CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER ALL DAY.  DVORAK
CLASSIFICATIONS FROM TAFB AND SAB AT 00Z WERE BOTH T4.0...OR 65 KT.
IN ADDITION... THE CIMSS ADT IS RUNNING AROUND T4.5...AND A RECENT
AMSU INTENSITY ESTIMATE WAS 66 KT. BASED ON THESE DATA...THE
ADVISORY INTENSITY IS SET AT 65 KT.  GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
THAT THE SHEAR WILL NOT CHANGE MUCH OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS OR
SO...AND ALL THE OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE FORECASTS OMAR TO STRENGTHEN TO
A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE BEFORE IT EXITS THE CARIBBEAN.  IT SHOULD
ALSO BE NOTED THAT THE SHIPS RAPID INTENSITY GUIDANCE INDICATES A
60% CHANCE OF 30 KT OR MORE STRENGTHENING OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
.
THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS NOT QUITE THAT AGGRESSIVE...BUT IS A
LITTLE HIGHER THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND VERY CLOSE TO THE ICON
INTENSITY CONSENSUS.

BASED ON THE RADAR IMAGERY THE INITIAL MOTION IS 050/5.  THERE HAS
BEEN NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK OR REASONING.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A LARGE UPPER TROUGH DIGGING
SOUTHWARD OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...AND MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN
EXCELLENT AGREEMENT THAT THIS TROUGH WILL GRADUALLY ACCELERATE THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF THE CARIBBEAN.  THE HWRF AND
GFDL CONTINUE TO LIE ALONG THE LEFT SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE
ENVELOPE...WITH THE ECMWF AND UKMET ON THE RIGHT...BUT THE MODEL
SPREAD IS NOT LARGE.  THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE
CONSENSUS OF THIS TIGHTLY PACKED MODEL CLUSTER.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      15/0300Z 14.3N  68.1W    65 KT
 12HR VT     15/1200Z 15.1N  67.1W    75 KT
 24HR VT     16/0000Z 16.7N  65.4W    85 KT
 36HR VT     16/1200Z 19.1N  63.3W    90 KT
 48HR VT     17/0000Z 21.9N  61.1W    90 KT
 72HR VT     18/0000Z 27.0N  58.0W    80 KT
 96HR VT     19/0000Z 33.0N  54.0W    70 KT
120HR VT     20/0000Z 41.0N  44.0W    60 KT

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

Desconectado AngelAldair94

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Re: Huracán OMAR 15L - categoría 1 - (Atlántico - Mar Caribe)
« Respuesta #12 en: Octubre 15, 2008, 12:37:24 pm »
El huracan se dirige al NE rumbo a las antillas. Una trayectoria que jamas he visto de un Huracan en el Caribe!

Desconectado Gale

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Re: Huracán OMAR 15L - categoría 1 - (Atlántico - Mar Caribe)
« Respuesta #13 en: Octubre 15, 2008, 15:46:36 pm »
Todavía no ha sufrido muchos cambios en su intensidad, al contrario de lo que se esperaba ayer...

000
WTNT45 KNHC 150842
TCDAT5
HURRICANE OMAR DISCUSSION NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
500 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2008

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTS THAT THERE HAS BEEN
NO APPRECIABLE STRENGTHENING OF OMAR OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS.  AN
ELLIPTICAL AND PARTIALLY OPEN EYE WAS OBSERVED BUT THE INNER CORE
IS NOT YET WELL-DEFINED.  THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS NOT FALLEN AND
MAXIMUM SFMR-OBSERVED SURFACE WIND SPEEDS HAVE BEEN NEAR 65
KT...WHICH IS USED FOR THE ADVISORY INTENSITY.  SATELLITE IMAGES
SHOW THAT OMAR CONTINUES TO GENERATE VERY DEEP CONVECTION WITH A
LARGE AREA OF CLOUD TOPS COLDER THAN -80 DEG C.  UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW IS WELL-ESTABLISHED OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE AND
RESTRICTED TO THE WEST...AS WESTERLY SHEAR CONTINUES TO IMPACT THE
HURRICANE. HOWEVER...THE SHEAR IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE STRONG ENOUGH
TO PREVENT STRENGTHENING.  THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS THE
SAME AS THE PREVIOUS ONE AND A LITTLE ABOVE THE MODEL CONSENSUS.
BY DAY 5...GLOBAL MODELS DEPICT THE CYCLONE INTERACTING WITH A
STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC SO THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST SHOWS OMAR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL BY THAT TIME
.   

INITIAL MOTION IS AROUND 050/6.  THERE HAS NOT BEEN MUCH CHANGE TO
THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK OR REASONING.  A MID-LEVEL TROUGH TO
THE NORTH OF THE HURRICANE ALONG WITH A RIDGE TO THE EAST IS
CREATING A SOUTHWESTERLY STEERING CURRENT AND OMAR IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE NORTHEASTWARD WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.
THE FORWARD MOTION SLOWS A LITTLE AROUND DAY 3 AS THE TROUGH LIFTS
OUT AHEAD OF OMAR.  THE SYSTEM SHOULD ACCELERATE AGAIN NEAR THE END
OF THE PERIOD AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE MAIN BRANCH OF THE MID-LATITUDE
WESTERLIES.  DYNAMICAL TRACK PREDICTION MODELS ARE TIGHTLY
CLUSTERED...ESPECIALLY FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS AND THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE MODEL CONSENSUS ALBEIT A LITTLE SLOWER.
THIS IS SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...BUT MORE OR
LESS ALONG THE SAME TRAJECTORY.

ALTHOUGH THE OFFICIAL FORECAST KEEPS THE CENTER EAST OF PUERTO
RICO...A DEVIATION TO THE LEFT OF THE CURRENT MOTION COULD REQUIRE
CHANGING THE HURRICANE WATCH TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THAT
ISLAND
.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      15/0900Z 14.6N  67.7W    65 KT
 12HR VT     15/1800Z 15.8N  66.5W    75 KT
 24HR VT     16/0600Z 18.0N  64.5W    85 KT
 36HR VT     16/1800Z 20.8N  62.2W    90 KT
 48HR VT     17/0600Z 23.8N  60.2W    90 KT
 72HR VT     18/0600Z 29.0N  57.0W    80 KT
 96HR VT     19/0600Z 35.0N  51.0W    70 KT
120HR VT     20/0600Z 43.0N  37.0W    60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

Ojo a los picos de intensidad, y al proceso de extratropicalización al final del periodo............


Desconectado Gale

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Re: Huracán OMAR 15L - categoría 1 - (Atlántico - Mar Caribe)
« Respuesta #14 en: Octubre 15, 2008, 18:44:38 pm »
Ojito con OMAR, que podría traernos sorpresas a Europa. Sólo lo comento esto como una remota posibilidad, viendo la actual salida del GFS (12 UTC). OMAR bordearía todo el anticiclón de las Azores, precisamente pasando cerca de esta archipiélago, para poner rumbo a Europa sin terminar de ser absorbido por ningún frente o vaguada, al contrario de lo que rezan las predicciones de los meteorólogos del CNH de Florida, que le pronostican una transición extratropical.

¿Un caso decidido a parecerse, aunque sea de lejos, al ya lejano GORDON?

 



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