Podría tener tiempo de alcanzar el estatus de tormenta tropical y convertirse en DANIELE antes que la 93L... Cito el último TWO del CNH:

000
WTNT45 KNHC 110234
TCDAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE DISCUSSION NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052010
1100 PM EDT TUE AUG 10 2010

SATELLITE IMAGERY AND WSR-88D RADAR DATA SHOW THAT THE DEPRESSION
HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS.  THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS KEPT AT 30 KT IN ACCORD WITH A DVORAK ESTIMATE
FROM TAFB.  THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE TRAVERSING VERY WARM...
NEAR 30 DEG C...WATERS.  DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE...HOWEVER...INDICATES
THAT THE UPPER-LEVEL FLOW WILL BE ONLY MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR
INTENSIFICATION WITH MODERATE EASTERLY SHEAR PREDICTED TO DEVELOP
OVER THE CYCLONE AS IT MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF.  THE LATEST
GFDL MODEL RUN HAS BACKED OFF SOMEWHAT FROM ITS PREVIOUS INTENSITY
FORECAST AND IS NOW CLOSER TO THE STATISTICAL DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE.
THE OFFICIAL WIND SPEED FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS
ONE AND IS CLOSE TO THE NUMERICAL INTENSITY CONSENSUS...ICON.

THE CENTER HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO LOCATE BUT BASED ON THE LATEST
SATELLITE FIXES AND CONTINUITY...THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO
BE 320/4.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE TRACK
FORECAST FROM THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE.  THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
BE STEERED BY A DEEP LAYER EASTERLY FLOW SOUTH OF A MID- TO
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. THIS FLOW REGIME SHOULD CAUSE THE
CYCLONE TO TURN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED AS IT APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.  THEREAFTER...A
TURN TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM MOVES AROUND THE
NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      11/0300Z 26.2N  84.2W    30 KT
 12HR VT     11/1200Z 27.3N  85.7W    30 KT
 24HR VT     12/0000Z 28.4N  87.5W    35 KT
36HR VT     12/1200Z 29.2N  89.2W    40 KT
 48HR VT     13/0000Z 29.7N  90.3W    35 KT...INLAND
 72HR VT     14/0000Z 31.0N  91.0W    30 KT...INLAND
 96HR VT     15/0000Z 33.5N  89.0W    20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120HR VT     16/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/KIMBERLAIN

Oju, que dirección mas rara cogería esta depresion, sobretodo la prevision del GFS (Linea roja)

Veo que no se ha comentado nada por aquí, pero desde hace más de 2 días varios modelos han resucitado a la 05L debido a su inesperado regreso a las aguas del GOM. De hecho a estas horas luce un buen aspecto, y con condiciones óptimas para su desarrollo: bajísima cizalladura, anticilón potente en altura, aguas de 30 grados... Su único hándicap es que pasará poco tiempo en aguas del Golfo antes de su segundo impacto en las costas de EEUU





1. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FIVE...IS LOCATED OVER SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA.  THIS SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT AND IT COULD EMERGE OVER THE GULF WATERS BY EARLY
MONDAY...WHERE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME
DEVELOPMENT.  THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS

Nivel rojo tiene este sistema... De todos modos, en la útima imagen no se le ve muy sano que digamos...

No, pero ya me gustaría pillar eso por aquí esta noche...  evil

Cita de: Fox en Agosto 17, 2010, 00:23:44 am

Cita de: Gale en Agosto 16, 2010, 22:18:38 pm

Nivel rojo tiene este sistema... De todos modos, en la útima imagen no se le ve muy sano que digamos...

No, pero ya me gustaría pillar eso por aquí esta noche...  evil

Quién sabe.............. A ver si te das una vuelta por Salobreña... oño...

Primero que me arreglen el coche que se me ha jodido esta noche, y después ya veremos.