Cazatormentas
Foro de Meteorología => Seguimiento de huracanes, tifones y ciclones => Mensaje iniciado por: aso 111 en Julio 11, 2006, 13:02:48 pm
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aviso del nhc sobre una tormenta tropical al este del pacifico
000
WTPZ23 KNHC 110841
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032006
0900 UTC TUE JUL 11 2006
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 111.3W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 111.3W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 111.0W
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 14.2N 112.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 14.8N 113.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.2N 115.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 15.8N 117.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 17.0N 121.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 17.5N 124.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 17.5N 128.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 111.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
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(http://img157.imageshack.us/img157/7530/084529wsm3vs.gif)
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su corta vida
03 GMT 07/11/06 12.5N 110.6W 35 1007 Tropical Depression
09 GMT 07/11/06 13.7N 111.3W 40 1005 Tropical Storm
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aviso nº 3 del nhc
WTPZ23 KNHC 111449
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032006
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
1500 UTC TUE JUL 11 2006
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 112.6W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 10NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 112.6W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 112.2W
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 14.3N 113.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 14.8N 115.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.5N 117.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.0N 119.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 65NE 65SE 55SW 55NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.9N 122.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 17.2N 126.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 17.0N 129.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 112.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER ROTH/KIMBERLAIN
se mantiene
03 GMT 07/11/06 12.5N 110.6W 35 1007 Tropical Depression
09 GMT 07/11/06 13.7N 111.3W 40 1005 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 07/11/06 13.9N 112.6W 40 1005 Tropical Storm
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otro aviso del noaa:
000
WTPZ23 KNHC 112050
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032006
2100 UTC TUE JUL 11 2006
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 113.0W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 113.0W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 112.6W
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 14.9N 114.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 5NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.0N 117.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 5SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 65SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 16.6N 120.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 40SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 85NE 85SE 75SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.2N 123.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 17.4N 127.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 17.2N 130.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 113.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/ROTH
parece que se esta debilitando
21 GMT 07/11/06 14.4N 113.0W 60 996 Tropical Storm
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Huracán BUD - Categoría 2 -
85 kts - 972 mb
(http://img96.imageshack.us/img96/5840/pacficoeste6zf.jpg)
(http://img98.imageshack.us/img98/2541/pacficoestetrayectoria8bf.jpg)
Ciclón raro donde los haya, apenas tiene masa nubosa pero ya ha alcanzado la Categoría 2.
Parece que quiera dirigirse a Hawaii, pero todavía está muy lejos de estas islas.
Saludos.
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su vida
03 GMT 07/11/06 12.5N 110.6W 35 1007 Tropical Depression
09 GMT 07/11/06 13.7N 111.3W 40 1005 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 07/11/06 13.9N 112.6W 40 1005 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 07/11/06 14.4N 113.0W 60 996 Tropical Storm
22 GMT 07/11/06 14.2N 113.1W 75 987 Category 1 Hurricane
03 GMT 07/12/06 14.6N 114.1W 90 975 Category 1 Hurricane
09 GMT 07/12/06 15.0N 115.3W 100 972 Category 2 Hurricane
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aviso nº 7 del nhc:
000
WTPZ23 KNHC 120845
TCMEP3
HURRICANE BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032006
0900 UTC WED JUL 12 2006
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 115.3W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 200SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 115.3W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 114.7W
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.7N 117.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.6N 119.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 17.5N 121.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.5N 124.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 25SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 19.5N 128.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 19.5N 132.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 19.0N 136.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 115.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
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parece que se esta reforzando aun mas
21 GMT 07/12/06 16.3N 117.5W 105 970 Category 2 Hurricane
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Huracán BUD - Categoría 3 -
110 kts - 953 mb
(http://img152.imageshack.us/img152/8320/pacficoeste4fy.jpg)
BUD me recuerda mucho al Huracán VINCE, muy parecida la forma (poca nubosidad).
Está a tan solo 1 kts de ser Categoría 3.
Saludos.
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Huracán BUD - Categoría 3 -
105 kts - 956 mb
(http://img325.imageshack.us/img325/4981/pacficoeste1ya.jpg)
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Where is BUD? :DDD :DDD
95 kts - 966mb
(http://img377.imageshack.us/img377/7892/pacficoeste9ou.jpg)
Este Huracán es raro, raro, raro...
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parece que solo reacciona con el sol ;D ;D
su vida
03 GMT 07/11/06 12.5N 110.6W 35 1007 Tropical Depression
09 GMT 07/11/06 13.7N 111.3W 40 1005 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 07/11/06 13.9N 112.6W 40 1005 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 07/11/06 14.4N 113.0W 60 996 Tropical Storm
22 GMT 07/11/06 14.2N 113.1W 75 987 Category 1 Hurricane
03 GMT 07/12/06 14.6N 114.1W 90 975 Category 1 Hurricane
09 GMT 07/12/06 15.0N 115.3W 100 972 Category 2 Hurricane
15 GMT 07/12/06 15.7N 116.2W 100 972 Category 2 Hurricane
21 GMT 07/12/06 16.3N 117.5W 105 970 Category 2 Hurricane
03 GMT 07/13/06 17.1N 118.9W 115 960 Category 3 Hurricane
09 GMT 07/13/06 17.5N 120.5W 125 953 Category 3 Hurricane
15 GMT 07/13/06 17.9N 122.0W 115 962 Category 3 Hurricane
21 GMT 07/13/06 18.4N 123.3W 110 966 Category 2 Hurricane
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Ha llegado a categoria 3, osea, a gran huracan... :-X
Ahi van, 2 huracanes juntos !
(http://www.osei.noaa.gov/IOD/OSEIiod.jpg)
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parece que a perdido fuerza
03 GMT 07/14/06 18.9N 124.6W 100 972 Category 2 Hurricane
09 GMT 07/14/06 19.5N 125.9W 80 983 Category 1 Hurricane
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Tormenta Tropical BUD
55 kts - Namb
(http://img185.imageshack.us/img185/4056/pacficoeste4xz.jpg)
BUD se dirige a Hawaii, pero parece que llegará hecho añicos.
Saludos.
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esta a punto de desaparecer
09 GMT 07/15/06 20.4N 131.4W 35 1006 Tropical Depression
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D.E.P.