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Huracán BUD - categoría 3 (Pac. E).

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aso 111:
aviso del nhc sobre una tormenta tropical al este del pacifico


000
WTPZ23 KNHC 110841
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032006
0900 UTC TUE JUL 11 2006

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 111.3W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 111.3W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 111.0W

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 14.2N 112.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 14.8N 113.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.2N 115.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 15.8N 117.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 17.0N 121.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 17.5N 124.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 17.5N 128.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 111.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

aso 111:

aso 111:
su corta vida

03 GMT 07/11/06  12.5N 110.6W     35       1007     Tropical Depression
09 GMT 07/11/06  13.7N 111.3W     40       1005     Tropical Storm

aso 111:
aviso nº 3 del nhc

WTPZ23 KNHC 111449
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032006
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
1500 UTC TUE JUL 11 2006

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 112.6W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  10NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 112.6W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 112.2W

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 14.3N 113.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 14.8N 115.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.5N 117.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.0N 119.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 65NE  65SE  55SW  55NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.9N 122.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 17.2N 126.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 17.0N 129.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 112.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROTH/KIMBERLAIN


se mantiene

03 GMT 07/11/06  12.5N 110.6W     35       1007     Tropical Depression
09 GMT 07/11/06  13.7N 111.3W     40       1005     Tropical Storm
15 GMT 07/11/06  13.9N 112.6W     40       1005     Tropical Storm

aso 111:
otro aviso del noaa:

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 112050
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032006
2100 UTC TUE JUL 11 2006

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 113.0W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 113.0W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 112.6W

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 14.9N 114.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW   5NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.0N 117.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   5SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  65SW  45NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 16.6N 120.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 85NE  85SE  75SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.2N 123.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 17.4N 127.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 17.2N 130.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 113.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/ROTH

parece que se esta debilitando

21 GMT 07/11/06  14.4N 113.0W     60        996     Tropical Storm

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