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Autor Tema: Siguimiento sistemas INVEST en el Pacífico Noreste ciclónico, temporada 2012  (Leído 862 veces)

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Siguimiento sistemas INVEST en el Pacífico Noreste ciclónico, temporada 2012
« en: Mayo 11, 2012, 19:20:44 pm »
Ya tenemos el primero, que puede dar lugar a un arranque temprano de la temporada evil

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Re:Siguimiento sistemas INVEST en el Pacífico Noreste ciclónico, temporada 2012
« Respuesta #1 en: Mayo 12, 2012, 11:14:21 am »
Se está organizando con rapidez... :o :o :o

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Re:Siguimiento sistemas INVEST en el Pacífico Noreste ciclónico, temporada 2012
« Respuesta #2 en: Junio 18, 2012, 14:57:07 pm »
Citar
A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 270 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST
OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LARGE
DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY EASTWARD.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODS
AND MUDSLIDES WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN AND
SOUTH-CENTRAL MEXICO FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
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Re:Siguimiento sistemas INVEST en el Pacífico Noreste ciclónico, temporada 2012
« Respuesta #3 en: Junio 19, 2012, 00:33:31 am »
El CNH sube el nivel al invest 95 a alerta roja (60%) Pongo el boletin del CNH ;)

1. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 260 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO
MEXICO IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
ARE FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES
SLOWLY EASTWARD.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  REGARDLESS
OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN
MEXICO FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
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Re:Siguimiento sistemas INVEST en el Pacífico Noreste ciclónico, temporada 2012
« Respuesta #4 en: Julio 22, 2012, 20:17:36 pm »
Vamos  8)

Tenemos a la 90E, con lo que volvemos a empezar  ;D

INVEST 90E

25kts-1008mb

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Re:Siguimiento sistemas INVEST en el Pacífico Noreste ciclónico, temporada 2012
« Respuesta #5 en: Julio 22, 2012, 20:18:52 pm »
... y un 80% de posiblidades de desarrollo



TAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN JUL 22 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED ABOUT 725 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS
INCREASED AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED NEAR THE SURFACE CENTER
TODAY...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A
HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
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Re:Siguimiento sistemas INVEST en el Pacífico Noreste ciclónico, temporada 2012
« Respuesta #6 en: Agosto 06, 2012, 20:04:09 pm »
INVEST 92E

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Re:Siguimiento sistemas INVEST en el Pacífico Noreste ciclónico, temporada 2012
« Respuesta #7 en: Agosto 06, 2012, 20:05:33 pm »
La 92E tiene una probabilidad del 50% de desarrollarse

Citar
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON AUG 6 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE AREA
LOCATED ABOUT 670 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO HAVE
CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION THIS MORNING.  HOWEVER...
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND
THIS LOW COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
NNNN
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Re:Siguimiento sistemas INVEST en el Pacífico Noreste ciclónico, temporada 2012
« Respuesta #8 en: Agosto 08, 2012, 16:10:00 pm »
INVEST 93E

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Re:Siguimiento sistemas INVEST en el Pacífico Noreste ciclónico, temporada 2012
« Respuesta #9 en: Agosto 08, 2012, 16:13:04 pm »
40% le otorga el NHC

Citar
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED AUG 8 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON
TROPICAL STORM GILMA...LOCATED ABOUT 645 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO HAVE
CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.
HOWEVER...DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE AND IT COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THIS
SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE AS IT MOVES LITTLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

 8)
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Re:Siguimiento sistemas INVEST en el Pacífico Noreste ciclónico, temporada 2012
« Respuesta #10 en: Agosto 13, 2012, 23:25:15 pm »
INVEST 95E

25kts-1008mb

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Re:Siguimiento sistemas INVEST en el Pacífico Noreste ciclónico, temporada 2012
« Respuesta #11 en: Agosto 13, 2012, 23:26:11 pm »
10 % de momento le otorga NHC

Citar
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON AUG 13 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM HECTOR...LOCATED ABOUT 365 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

1. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR
PUERTO ESCONDIDO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM APPEARS LESS LIKELY DUE TO LAND
INTERACTION. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
NNNN
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