Una pena... probablemente el A nos joda la trayectoria no? Siempre tiene que darnos cosas malas el anticiclon

la discussion del noaa

000
WTNT44 KNHC 060838
TCDAT4
HURRICANE EPSILON DISCUSSION NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM EST TUE DEC 06 2005

I HAVE RUN OUT OF THINGS TO SAY...AND THIS ONE WILL BE SHORT.
EPSILON CONTINUES ON STEADY STATE WITH A RING OF DEEP CONVECTION
WHICH INTERMITTENTLY SURROUNDS THE LARGE EYE. INITIAL INTENSITY
REMAINS AT 65 KNOTS BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED.

EPSILON IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS. AS THE RIDGE BUILDS TO THE
NORTH...THE CYCLONE SHOULD TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST WITH A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...AND CONTINUE ON THIS TRACK UNTIL
DISSIPATION IN 120 HOURS OR SOONER. THIS IS THE SOLUTION PROVIDED
BY MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS.  ONLY THE GFDL KEEPS EPSILON AS A
HURRICANE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND THE TRACK BEYOND 3 DAYS
CHANGED BACK TO THE NORTHEAST.

FORECASTER AVILA

El amigo avila comentando que la matoria de modelos dan una direccion suroeste y disipandose en 120 h, pero hay un modelo que lo sigue dejando como huracan y que lo mandaria al Noreste  esta ultima posibilidad mola mas no?  tormentoso
Fijaros en el gfdl... , el rojo.

Y el amarillo lo manda a la hemisferio sur!!!

buena animacion gale 

Ahora me parece mas feo que nunca

El señor Avila ha vuelto a discutir:

000
WTNT44 KNHC 060838
TCDAT4
HURRICANE EPSILON DISCUSSION NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM EST TUE DEC 06 2005

I HAVE RUN OUT OF THINGS TO SAY...AND THIS ONE WILL BE SHORT.
EPSILON CONTINUES ON STEADY STATE WITH A RING OF DEEP CONVECTION
WHICH INTERMITTENTLY SURROUNDS THE LARGE EYE. INITIAL INTENSITY
REMAINS AT 65 KNOTS BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED.

EPSILON IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS. AS THE RIDGE BUILDS TO THE
NORTH...THE CYCLONE SHOULD TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST WITH A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...AND CONTINUE ON THIS TRACK UNTIL
DISSIPATION IN 120 HOURS OR SOONER. THIS IS THE SOLUTION PROVIDED
BY MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS.  ONLY THE GFDL KEEPS EPSILON AS A
HURRICANE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND THE TRACK BEYOND 3 DAYS
CHANGED BACK TO THE NORTHEAST.

FORECASTER AVILA

Lo de rojo es que Avila dice "no tengo muchas cosas que decir y voy a ser escueto"
En el resto viene a decir que el ciclon deberia tomar rumbo suroeste e ir incrementando su velocidad de desplazamiento para disiparse en 120 horas, y que esto es una solucion basada en los modelos, vamos que el personalmente no tiene ni idea de adonde va a tirar, incluso deja ver el hecho de que algun modelo (el GFDL) lo situa dentro de 3 dias direccion noreste de nuevo y como huracan todavia!!

datos de epsilon en el noaa

ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL292005
0900Z TUE DEC 06 2005
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.9N  33.9W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 185 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE 100SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 250SE 400SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.9N  33.9W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.1N  33.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 32.1N  34.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 30.5N  35.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 29.0N  36.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 28.0N  37.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 25.0N  40.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 23.0N  41.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.9N  33.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA