Cazatormentas
Foro de Meteorología => Seguimiento de huracanes, tifones y ciclones => Mensaje iniciado por: DanieleRmItaly en Septiembre 11, 2009, 17:50:20 pm
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Negli ultimi giorni si prospettava una tempesta sulle coste libiche, e cosi' è stato.
Da ieri sera, sul golfo di Sidra, immensi sistemi convettivi si sono alternati.
Uno in particolare ha assunto rotazione gia' da ieri, divenendo depressione su un mare di +27.5°C, con un l'outflow roteante a raggiera molto simile a quello di una tempesta tropicale.
I quantitativi precipitativi sono altissimi e i venti superano i 40 knts.
La vastita' del sistema stanotte, era sufficiente per alluvionare quasi un intera regione.
L'aria secca aspirata dal nord Africa pero', come spesso accade, ostacola una buona convezione centrale del ciclone.
Difatti il centro ciclonico sta per essere diviso dal sistema temporalesco e questo non potra' far evolvero il ciclone in un Medicanes ammeno che non intervengano altri fattori o nuove convezioni centrli.
Storm warning METAREA III :
CYCLONIC LOW WITH CENTRE 1010 OVER SOUTH SIDRA IS MOVING
SLOWLY NORTHEAST AND DEEPENING
SIDRA
EAST NORTHEAST 6 TO 7 LOCALLY 7 TO 8 VERY SOON OVER SOUTH PARTS
CYCLONIC 6 TO 7 TEMPORARILY LOCALLY 8 LATER NORTH NORTHWEST 6 LOCALLY
7. POOR LOCALLY VERY POOR. STRONG THUNDERSTORM
SOUTHWEST KRITIKO
CYCLONIC 6 LOCALLY 7 SOON 8 LATER FROM THE WEST NORTHWEST. POOR
LOCALLY VERY POOR.MODERATE LOCALLY POOR OVER WEST PARTS LOCALLY VERY POOR.LOCALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER WEST PARTS
SOUTHWEST KRITIKO
CYCLONIC 6 LOCALLY 7 SOON 7 LATER FROM THE WEST NORTHWEST. POOR
LOCALLY VERY POOR. THUNDERSTORM LOCALLY STRONG
SOUTH IONIO
EAST NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 AND SOUTH OF 36.00 LOCALLY 7 SOON NORTH
NORTHEAST DECREASING LATER. POOR. THUNDERSTORM LOCALLY STRONG
Storm warning:
All channels. On receipt. In Greek and English for N.Ionian Sea, S. Ionian Sea, Sidra, South S-W Kritiko and South E-S Kritiko
Navigational warning:
All channels on request and at 0500, 1100, 1730, 2330
09/09/2009
(http://img200.imageshack.us/img200/6858/medicanes.png) (http://img200.imageshack.us/i/medicanes.png/)
(http://img143.imageshack.us/img143/9707/mediterraneaninvest.png) (http://img143.imageshack.us/i/mediterraneaninvest.png/)
(http://img195.imageshack.us/img195/9855/mediterraneantropicalcy.jpg) (http://img195.imageshack.us/i/mediterraneantropicalcy.jpg/)
(http://img2.imageshack.us/img2/9610/rjmamedicanes.gif) (http://img2.imageshack.us/i/rjmamedicanes.gif/)
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10/09/2009
Storm warning METAREA III :
CYCLONIC LOW WITH CENTRE 1008 OVER NORTH SIDRA IS MOVING
SLOWLY NORTHEAST AND DEEPENING
Crete, Aegean Sea, W-Turkey and the east coast of Greece:
A cyclonic vortex below 3km moves along a weak baroclinic zone towards the NE, crossing Crete and it decays to the east later-on. Crete could see serious flash flooding, if this scenario verifies.
Slow moving storms are possible also over NW and W-Turkey with a flash flood risk. Latest SST data of the Mediterranean reveals temperatures of +25-30°C west of Crete, decreasing to roughly 25°C around Crete and even lower values over the central and eastern Aegean Sea but then increase again over the far eastern Mediterranean.
Cyprus and the far eastern Mediterranean:
Capped conditions persist probably well into the night, but global models still indicate isolated thunderstorms around Cyprus and northeastwards after midnight. Shear and instability all favor supercells with large hail, severe wind gusts and intense rain.
SIDRA
EAST NORTHEAST 6 TO 7 LOCALLY 7 TO 8 VERY SOON OVER SOUTH PARTS
CYCLONIC 6 TO 7 TEMPORARILY LOCALLY 8 LATER NORTH NORTHWEST 6 LOCALLY
7. POOR LOCALLY VERY POOR. STRONG THUNDERSTORM
SOUTHWEST KRITIKO
CYCLONIC 6 LOCALLY 7 SOON 8 LATER FROM THE WEST NORTHWEST. POOR
LOCALLY VERY POOR.MODERATE LOCALLY POOR OVER WEST PARTS LOCALLY VERY POOR.LOCALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER WEST PARTS
SOUTHWEST KRITIKO
CYCLONIC 6 LOCALLY 7 SOON 7 LATER FROM THE WEST NORTHWEST. POOR
LOCALLY VERY POOR. THUNDERSTORM LOCALLY STRONG
SOUTH IONIO
EAST NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 AND SOUTH OF 36.00 LOCALLY 7 SOON NORTH
NORTHEAST DECREASING LATER. POOR. THUNDERSTORM LOCALLY STRONG
Storm warning:
All channels. On receipt. In Greek and English for N.Ionian Sea, S. Ionian Sea, Sidra, South S-W Kritiko and South E-S Kritiko
Navigational warning:
All channels on request and at 0500, 1100, 1730, 2330
(http://img151.imageshack.us/img151/9864/mediterraneanstorm.jpg) (http://img151.imageshack.us/i/mediterraneanstorm.jpg/)
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11/09/2009
Storm warning METAREA III :
CYCLONE WITH CENTRE 1006 OVER SOUTHWEST KRITIKO IS MOVING
SLOWLY NORTHEAST AND DEEPENING
(http://img17.imageshack.us/img17/6240/medicanes2.jpg) (http://img17.imageshack.us/i/medicanes2.jpg/)
IS. CRETA:
(http://img14.imageshack.us/img14/4083/viewlive1jcreta.jpg) (http://img14.imageshack.us/i/viewlive1jcreta.jpg/)
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today: warm core cyclone developed like a Tropical Storm over warm waters of the western Mediterranean sea..
(http://img12.imageshack.us/img12/1258/medicanes1.jpg) (http://img12.imageshack.us/i/medicanes1.jpg/)
(http://img17.imageshack.us/img17/3138/medicanes0.png) (http://img17.imageshack.us/i/medicanes0.png/)
(http://img27.imageshack.us/img27/8915/medicanes1.png) (http://img27.imageshack.us/i/medicanes1.png/)
(http://img7.imageshack.us/img7/5553/medicanestc.jpg) (http://img7.imageshack.us/i/medicanestc.jpg/)
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Thanks a lot, one more time, Danielle :o :o :o
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Realmente impresionante, vaya estructura :o