Cazatormentas
Foro de Meteorología => Seguimiento de huracanes, tifones y ciclones => Mensaje iniciado por: Gale en Junio 17, 2011, 09:01:21 am
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Tenemos nuevo INVEST, cerca de donde se originó el que llegó a ser huracán de categoría 4 ADRIAN...
92E INVEST:
A BROAD AREA LOW PRESSURE...LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...HAS NOT BEEN PRODUCING CONCENTRATED
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR THE LAST DAY OR SO.
HOWEVER...THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS SLOWLY BECOMING BETTER
DEFINED...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS STILL APPEAR GENERALLY
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
Adjunto última imagen infrarroja con el attach del foro (sólo visible para usuarios registrados).
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Nivel rojo para el 92E ;)
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH
OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM APPEARED TO BE
BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED EARLIER THIS EVENING...SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE NOT REMAINED CONCENTRATED NEAR THE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION...AND RECENT SATELLITE DATA SUGGEST THAT THIS CENTER IS
NOT YET WELL DEFINED. HOWEVER...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COULD STILL FORM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A HIGH
CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
NEAR 10 MPH. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO THROUGH SUNDAY.
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Yo creo que estamos cerca del segundo sistema aqui en el pacifico. Ya, el CNH le da un 80% :D :D
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Lanzado el aviso de formación tropical para la 92E :P
WTPN21 PHNC 181830
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.7N 94.9W TO 14.2N 100.4W
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT IM-
AGERY AT 181200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 12.8N 95.0W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 05
KNOTS.
(http://img689.imageshack.us/img689/61/ep92201120110618181842.gif) (http://img689.imageshack.us/i/ep92201120110618181842.gif/)
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Parece que Beatriz no tardará en salir
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Y, de momento, la previsión la lleva a impactar de lleno en México, justamente entre Guadalajara y Valladolid y en categoría de huracán :-X :-X
(http://img402.imageshack.us/img402/6537/previ.gif)
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Amanece en el Pacifico oriental y esta es la primera imagen visible del sistema. Pedazo de masacote tormentoso que tiene en todo su centro :o :o :o
(http://img39.imageshack.us/img39/7933/beatrizo.jpg)
Creo, que con este aspecto no tardara en catalogarse como Beatriz, sino lo es ya ;)
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NHC comienza el seguimiento de la 93E
INVEST 93E
20kts-1007mb
(http://img32.imageshack.us/img32/7593/201107060900goes11ir93e.jpg) (http://img32.imageshack.us/i/201107060900goes11ir93e.jpg/)
Uploaded with ImageShack.us (http://imageshack.us)
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De momento, solo un 30% de posibildiades de desarrollo
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE JUL 5 2011
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
1. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME A LITTLE MORE
CONCENTRATED IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED
ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED GRADUAL
DEVELOPMENT...AND THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT
MOVES WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
NNNN
(http://img708.imageshack.us/img708/5391/twoepac.gif) (http://img708.imageshack.us/i/twoepac.gif/)
Uploaded with ImageShack.us (http://imageshack.us)
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Sube al 50% la 93E
----------------------------------------
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED JUL 6 2011
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
1. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
CENTERED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO IS GRADUALLY
BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE
FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...AND THERE IS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT AROUND 10 MPH.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
(http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/5391/twoepac.gif) (http://img155.imageshack.us/i/twoepac.gif/)
Uploaded with ImageShack.us (http://imageshack.us)
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... y sigue subiendo como la espuma 8) 70% ya
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED JUL 6 2011
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
1. A LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
ACAPULCO MEXICO HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT AND THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...70
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
NNNN
(http://img402.imageshack.us/img402/5391/twoepac.gif) (http://img402.imageshack.us/i/twoepac.gif/)
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Otra más por esta parte 8)
(http://img843.imageshack.us/img843/5391/twoepac.gif) (http://img843.imageshack.us/i/twoepac.gif/)
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN JUL 17 2011
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
1. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED JUST TO THE WEST OF COSTA RICA IS
PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE ADJACENT PACIFIC WATERS. SOME SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS
IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF
CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS IN ASSOCIATION WITH
THIS LARGE DISTURBANCE.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
NNNN
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Corresponde a la 94E
INVEST 94E
20kts-1009mb
(http://img221.imageshack.us/img221/4536/201107171145goes13ir94e.jpg) (http://img221.imageshack.us/i/201107171145goes13ir94e.jpg/)
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Sube al 60% 8)
(http://img691.imageshack.us/img691/5391/twoepac.gif) (http://img691.imageshack.us/i/twoepac.gif/)
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SUN JUL 17 2011
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
1. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH OF THE BORDER OF EL SALVADOR
AND GUATEMALA HAS INCREASED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 MPH.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
NNNN
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Por el pacífico dos sistemas en observación ::)
(http://img31.imageshack.us/img31/7501/twoepacw.gif) (http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/31/twoepacw.gif/)
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI JUL 29 2011
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
1. A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF ACAPULCO MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWER
ACTIVITY. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...THEY COULD BECOME MORE FAVORABLE DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
2. A SMALL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 825 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS PRODUCING LIMITED SHOWER
ACTIVITY. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE SHOULD BE SLOW TO
OCCUR DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD OR WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART/BLAKE
NNNN
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INVEST 95E
25kts-1009mb
(http://img713.imageshack.us/img713/6310/201107301100goes11ir95e.jpg) (http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/713/201107301100goes11ir95e.jpg/)
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Tenemos a la 95 E con el 40% ya 8)
1. SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATE THAT SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
HAS INCREASED AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO
MEXICO. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE...
SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 MPH DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
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NHC tiene en observación otra perturbación, aún no ha sido nombrada como INVEST
(http://img6.imageshack.us/img6/5391/twoepac.gif) (http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/6/twoepac.gif/)
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON AUG 1 2011
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
EUGENE...LOCATED ABOUT 435 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO
MEXICO.
1. DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE NEAR THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY
CONDUCIVE...SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
NNNN
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Tenemos a la 97E con el 70% 8)
(http://img811.imageshack.us/img811/3931/epac1.gif) (http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/811/epac1.gif/)
1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
LOCATED ABOUT 225 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO HAVE CHANGED
LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. HOWEVER...
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TODAY. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO
10 MPH.
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INVEST 97E
25kts-1006mb
(http://img148.imageshack.us/img148/1079/201108070600goes11xir1k.jpg) (http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/148/201108070600goes11xir1k.jpg/)
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Nada, que lo bajan al 60% :P
1. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
ACAPULCO MEXICO IS PRODUCING A DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS JUST OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN
MEXICO. ALTHOUGH A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD STILL FORM LATER
TODAY...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS APPEAR TO HAVE BECOME A LITTLE LESS
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
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Parece que el sistema no termina de carburar y lo bajan al 50%
1. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
CENTERED ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO HAS
BECOME LESS ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS JUST OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
PARTICULARLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM NOW HAS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH.
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Aunque la han bajado al 20%, JTWC lanza aviso de formación tropical de la 97E
1. SHOWERS ACTIVITY HAS DECREASED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LESS CONDUCIVE FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AS
A RESULT...THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH.
(http://img191.imageshack.us/img191/3244/ep97201120110803225000.gif) (http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/191/ep97201120110803225000.gif/)
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Algo por esta zona en seguimiento 8)
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU AUG 11 2011
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
1. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS FORMED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF EL
SALVADOR. THIS LOW IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...AND ANY DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD.
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
NNNN
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INVEST 98E
25kts-1008mb
(http://img6.imageshack.us/img6/956/201108131400goes11ir98e.jpg) (http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/6/201108131400goes11ir98e.jpg/)
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Dos áreas en seguimiento. La del 30% corresponde a la 98E 8)
(http://img193.imageshack.us/img193/5753/1313235610.gif) (http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/193/1313235610.gif/)
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SAT AUG 13 2011
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
1. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 1075 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF
ORGANIZATION. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR A SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD OR
WESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH.
2. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS LOCATED ABOUT 500
MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF
ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT
MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
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Lanzado aviso de formación tropical para la 98E 8)
(http://img199.imageshack.us/img199/1060/ep98201120110813154658.gif) (http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/199/ep98201120110813154658.gif/)
El JTWC se sube al carro
WTPN21 PHNC 131600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.5N 121.8W TO 12.8N 129.0W
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 17 TO 22 KNOTS. METSAT IM-
AGERY AT 131200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 12.3N 122.3W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS.
.. y es que está con el 70%
1. FIRST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
CENTERED ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COULD BE FORMING. IF THIS DEVELOPING TREND CONTINUES...ADVISORIES
WILL BE INITIATED LATER TODAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH.
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Sube la 98E al 80% ;)
(http://img638.imageshack.us/img638/158/1313257352.gif) (http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/638/1313257352.gif/)
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Nueva INVEST pegadita a la costa. Corresponde a la 99E con un 30% 8)
99E.INVEST.25kts.1008mb.11.4N.94.1W
(http://img651.imageshack.us/img651/9503/201108152015goes13ir99e.jpg) (http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/651/201108152015goes13ir99e.jpg/)
(http://img832.imageshack.us/img832/5528/ep201199model.gif) (http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/832/ep201199model.gif/)
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Así está el pacífico ahora:
3 sistemas, el de color naranja corresponde a la 99E y la TD 06E. Nuevo sistema con un 10%
(http://img717.imageshack.us/img717/9025/1313440685.gif) (http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/717/1313440685.gif/)
8)
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Nueva INVEST 8)
INVEST 90E
20kts-1009mb
(http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/7580/201108161015goes13ir90e.jpg) (http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/812/201108161015goes13ir90e.jpg/)
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Así está el pacífico ahora
(http://img84.imageshack.us/img84/7831/1313516499.gif) (http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/84/1313516499.gif/)
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Con un 20% se lanza aviso de formación tropical de la 91E, pegada a costas mexicanas.
(http://img402.imageshack.us/img402/3931/epac1.gif) (http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/402/epac1.gif/)
1. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS DEVELOPED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 325 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO
MEXICO. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LARGE DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10
TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
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EL aviso ;)
(http://img811.imageshack.us/img811/9683/ep91201120110606194435.gif) (http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/811/ep91201120110606194435.gif/)
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INVEST 92E
25kts-1004mb
(http://img18.imageshack.us/img18/1103/201108241900goes11ir92e.jpg) (http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/18/201108241900goes11ir92e.jpg/)
NHC la tiene al 0% :P
1. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS DIMINISHED IN ASSOCIATION WITH
A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS[/b].
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INVEST 99E
20kts-1008mb
(http://img143.imageshack.us/img143/5203/201110071429f18visgoes1.jpg) (http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/143/201110071429f18visgoes1.jpg/)
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INVEST 99E
20kts-1008mb
(http://img143.imageshack.us/img143/5203/201110071429f18visgoes1.jpg) (http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/143/201110071429f18visgoes1.jpg/)
Guau!! Un nuevo invest, más JOVA e IRWIN... si que hay actividad en el Pacífico!!