ZCZC MIATWOEP ALLTTAA00 KNHC DDHHMMTROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKNWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL1100 AM PDT SAT MAY 25 2013FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..1. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OFMANZANILLO MEXICO IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS ANDTHUNDERSTORMS. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TOOCCUR AS IT MOVES LITTLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THISSYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICALCYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.2. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILESWEST-SOUTHWEST OF NICARAGUA HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATIONDURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEMIS POSSIBLE AS IT DRIFTS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT COUPLEOF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING ATROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.3. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED BETWEEN THE ABOVEMENTIONED SYSTEMS...ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCOMEXICO. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS ALSO POSSIBLEDURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT DRIFTS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ORNORTHWESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OFBECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THENEXT 48 HOURS.$$FORECASTER CANGIALOSINNNN
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1. SATELLITE DATA AND SHIP REPORTS INDICATE A NEARLY STATIONARY LOWPRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTH OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICOIS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER DEFINED. ALTHOUGH ASSOCIATED SHOWERACTIVITY DECREASED EARLIER TODAY...SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THATTHUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BEEN REDEVELOPING NEAR THE CENTER DURINGTHE PAST FEW HOURS. IF THIS RECENT DEVELOPMENT TREND CONTINUES...THEN THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL STORMCOULD OCCUR TUESDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...90PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURSBEFORE IT MOVES NORTHWARD AND REACHES THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO.IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING WOULD BEREQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO...ANDINTERESTS IN THAT AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OFTHIS SYSTEM. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELYOVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO AND WESTERN CENTRAL AMERICA DURINGTHE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.