Cazatormentas
Foro de Meteorología => Seguimiento de huracanes, tifones y ciclones => Mensaje iniciado por: Eker en Enero 20, 2010, 17:31:38 pm
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Antes, un poco de información ;)
Periodo de actividad:
Todo el año
Agencias que lo monitorizan:
Agencia de Meteorología Japonesa, Tokio (JMA) (http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/)
Centro de Alerta de Tifones, Guam (JTWC) (http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC)
Una vez se desarrollen y pasen a TD (depresión tropical) o mayor, se abrirá un tópic específico ;).
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INVEST 94W
15kts-1010mb
(http://i47.tinypic.com/2yziovt.jpg)
:O*
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Otra INVEST que aparece por esa zona
INVEST 95W
15kts-1010mb
(http://i46.tinypic.com/mw9jx3.jpg)
:O*
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95W tiene un buen aspecto, aunque parece ser que no ha adquirido giro ciclónico
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Nueva INVEST 90P, justo detrás de NISHA ;)
INVEST 90P
15kts-1010mb
(http://img402.imageshack.us/img402/3248/abpwsair.jpg)
:O*
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INVEST 93P por esa zona, al ladito de OLI, hacia el E ;)
15kts-1010mb
(http://img534.imageshack.us/img534/2017/sm201002021152goes11xir.jpg)
(http://img534.imageshack.us/img534/3248/abpwsair.jpg)
:O*
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El JTWC lanza alerta de formación tropical, proveniente de la INVEST 93P ;)
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
175 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.5S 145.2W TO 25.8S 145.5W
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IM-
AGERY AT 022330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 17.4S 145.0W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT
13 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.0S
146.0W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.4S 145.0W, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM EAST
OF BORA BORA. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
PERSISTENT CENTRAL CONVECTION OVER AN INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EVIDENT IN THE 021925Z ASCAT PASS.
ADDITIONALLY, THE CIMSS 850 MB VORTICITY PRODUCT INDICATES THE
SYSTEM'S VORTICITY SIGNATURE HAS SEPARATED FROM THAT OF TC 12P (OLI)
AND BECOME MORE SYMMETRIC OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. FINALLY, THE
SYSTEM IS LOCATED OVER FAVORABLE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, HAS
SUFFICIENT DIVERGENT OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A WELL-
DEVELOPED MONSOON TROUGH THAT IS SERVING TO INCREASE THE LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE AND INDUCE VORTICITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. DUE TO THE RECENT ORGANIZATION OF THE
LLCC AS WELL AS THE SYSTEM'S ISOLATION FROM TC 12P, THE POTENTIAL
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.
(http://i46.tinypic.com/11rtzma.jpg)
:O*
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Pués aunque el JTWC aya lanzado la alerta de formación tropical no creo que llegue a ser Mas aya de una D.T
ademas hay cizalladura fuerte por esa zona y la 93P esta Muy cerca de Oli
(http://i48.tinypic.com/2ql7i1s.jpg)
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JTWC lanza aviso de formación tropical de la INVEST 98P, la cual se encuentra detrás de PAT ;)
INVEST 98P
25kts-1002mb
(http://i45.tinypic.com/1687afc.jpg)
(http://i48.tinypic.com/311ncpc.jpg)
:O*
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Aparece una INVEST detrás de la INVEST 98P ;)
INVEST 99P
15kts-1010mb
(http://i49.tinypic.com/2yyea0g.jpg)
:O*
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INVEST 96 P
15kts-1010mb
(http://i47.tinypic.com/jfc6zm.jpg)
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Por allí aparece una INVEST
INVEST 92P
15kts-1010mb
(http://i47.tinypic.com/258uvc9.jpg)
El JTWC comenta algo sobre este sistema
AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 11.5S 165.5W,
APPROXIMATELY 345 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS FLARING, DEEP CONVECTION AS
WELL AS THE POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT OF A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC). A 060409Z SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE DOES SHOW WEAK
CONVECTIVE BANDING, INDICATING LOW LEVEL ORGANIZATION WITHIN AN AREA
OF STRONG LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH POINT-SOURCE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
NEAR 1004 MB. DUE TO THE FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
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Nueva INVEST por esa zona
INVEST 93P
15kts-1010mb
(http://i50.tinypic.com/1zcemut.jpg)
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Otra INVEST. Esta cuenca no para :P
INVEST 94P
15kts-1010mb
La imagen está un poco entrecortada :-\
(http://i46.tinypic.com/ru37sg.jpg)
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Nueva INVEST por esa zona.
INVEST 97P
15kts-1010mb
(http://img97.imageshack.us/img97/4929/201003100119trmmxtmi85h.jpg)
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INVEST 98P
15kts-1010mb
(http://img37.imageshack.us/img37/8245/201003100249trmmxtmi85h.jpg)
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El JTWC lanza aviso de formación tropical de la INVEST 97P
(http://i39.tinypic.com/qxj9qs.jpg)
...THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD...
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Y también lanza aviso de formación tropical de la INVEST 98 P :P
(http://i44.tinypic.com/rbkw7n.jpg)
...DUE TO INCREASED CONSOLIDATION OF THE LLCC AND DECREASING SURFACE
PRESSURE OBSERVATIONS NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER, THE POTENTIAL FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS GOOD...
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Características de ambas INVESTS :
INVEST 97P: SST favorable y baja cizalladura, entorno a los 10 kts. Ambiente favorable para su intensificación. 8). Con este ambiente, no es de extrañar que se forme un gran ciclón.
INVEST 98P: SST favorable y cizalladura de 20 kts. Ambiente favorable para su intensificación. 8)
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La INVEST 98P va por el mismo camino que su hermano, la 97P o 19P 8)
(http://i43.tinypic.com/14t96j7.jpg)
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Dos nuevas INVEST por esta zona
INVEST 97W (al N-NNE del ciclón ULUI)
15kts-1010mb
(http://i42.tinypic.com/2qtwe4o.jpg)
INVEST 98W
15kts
(http://i44.tinypic.com/idxahd.jpg)
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Pues el JTWC lanza aviso de formación tropical :P de la 98W
FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
210 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 4.3N 146.7E TO 7.1N 138.7E WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF
NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA
ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 202030Z
INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 4.6N 145.6E. THE
SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS.
20kts-1007mb
(http://img265.imageshack.us/img265/3994/201003210957gms6xir1kmb.jpg)
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Aparece una nueva INVEST
INVEST 92S
15kts-1010mb
(http://img231.imageshack.us/img231/7933/201003260900meteo7xvis1.jpg)
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Otra
INVEST 93S
15kts-1010mb
(http://img683.imageshack.us/img683/8080/201003291233f17xvis1kmh.jpg)
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Y otra
INVEST 95P
15kts-1010mb
(http://i42.tinypic.com/eqe7x2.jpg)
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INVEST 95P
95P INVEST 100331 1200 19.2S 170.8E SHEM 15 1010
95P INVEST 100331 0600 19.2S 171.1E SHEM 15 1010
95P INVEST 100331 0000 19.2S 171.5E SHEM 15 1010
(http://img151.imageshack.us/img151/5682/84842832.jpg)
(http://img51.imageshack.us/img51/980/21217767.jpg)
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La 95P sigue por ahí
15kts-1010mb
(http://i40.tinypic.com/2mhvb4m.jpg)
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Aparece una nueva INVEST al NNE de la isla de Papúa Nueva Guinea (Indonesia)
INVEST 99W
15kts-1010mb
(http://i42.tinypic.com/r0dzdw.jpg)
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El JTWC le ha echado el ojo al sistema
THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.4N
148.6E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.0N 147.1E, APPROXIMATELY 475 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND INFRARED (IR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS
BEEN RAPIDLY CONSOLIDATING OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS, HOWEVER DEEP
CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO DECREASE AROUND THE WELL DEFINED LLCC.
RECENT AMSU-B CROSS SECTIONS INDICATE A WEAK WARM CORE SYSTEM IS
DEVELOPING. IN ADDITION, THE AMSU AND IR TRACK WINDS INDICATE
SURFACE WINDS ARE BETWEEN 15 TO 20 KNOTS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES A NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC IS
PROVIDING EASTERLY DIVERGENT FLOW OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. BASED ON THE RECENT
CONSOLIDATION OF THE LLCC WITH WINDS BETWEEN 15 TO 20 KNOTS, THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR.
(http://i41.tinypic.com/s0zukp.jpg)
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INVEST 99W
99W INVEST 100406 1200 6.1N 146.6E WPAC 15 kts 1009 mb
99W INVEST 100406 0600 5.8N 147.6E WPAC 15 kts 1009 mb
99W INVEST 100406 0000 5.6N 148.1E WPAC 15 kts 1010 mb
99W INVEST 100405 1800 5.5N 148.6E WPAC 15 kts 1010 mb
99W INVEST 100405 1200 5.3N 149.1E WPAC 15 kts 1010 mb
(http://img638.imageshack.us/img638/5483/45258261.jpg)
(http://img21.imageshack.us/img21/2732/59778018.jpg)
(http://img169.imageshack.us/img169/2893/70048052.jpg)
(http://img146.imageshack.us/img146/291/62691364.jpg)
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INVEST 99W
99W INVEST 100407 0000 6.9N 144.3E WPAC 20 kts 1007 mb
99W INVEST 100406 1800 6.4N 145.4E WPAC 20 kts 1007 mb
99W INVEST 100406 1200 6.1N 146.6E WPAC 15 kts 1009 mb
99W INVEST 100406 0600 5.8N 147.6E WPAC 15 kts 1009 mb
99W INVEST 100406 0000 5.6N 148.1E WPAC 15 kts 1010 mb
99W INVEST 100405 1800 5.5N 148.6E WPAC 15 kts 1010 mb
99W INVEST 100405 1200 5.3N 149.1E WPAC 15 kts 1010 mb
(http://img530.imageshack.us/img530/157/23837449.jpg)
(http://img256.imageshack.us/img256/9812/33200849.jpg)
(http://img37.imageshack.us/img37/4164/87221133.jpg)
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La INVEST 99W sigue por ahí
20kts-1007mb
(http://i41.tinypic.com/5vpq8g.jpg)
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Hola Eker:
El sistema del foro no me deja contestarte a lo que me preguntas porque tengo que tener mas de 200 post para poder enviar mensajes.
Mandame un mensaje interno con tu dirrecion de mail y te contesto por mail
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INVEST 99W
99W INVEST 100408 0000 7.6N 140.0E WPAC 20 kts 1007 mb
99W INVEST 100407 1800 7.7N 141.1E WPAC 20 kts 1007 mb
99W INVEST 100407 1200 7.8N 142.1E WPAC 20 kts 1007 mb
99W INVEST 100407 0600 7.5N 143.1E WPAC 20 kts 1007 mb
99W INVEST 100407 0000 6.9N 144.3E WPAC 20 kts 1007 mb
99W INVEST 100406 1800 6.4N 145.4E WPAC 20 kts 1007 mb
99W INVEST 100406 1200 6.1N 146.6E WPAC 15 kts 1009 mb
99W INVEST 100406 0600 5.8N 147.6E WPAC 15 kts 1009 mb
99W INVEST 100406 0000 5.6N 148.1E WPAC 15 kts 1010 mb
99W INVEST 100405 1800 5.5N 148.6E WPAC 15 kts 1010 mb
99W INVEST 100405 1200 5.3N 149.1E WPAC 15 kts 1010 mb
(http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/2696/93247652.jpg)
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Invest 99W
99W INVEST 100410 0000 7.5N 134.1E WPAC 15 1010
99W INVEST 100409 1800 7.6N 135.0E WPAC 15 1010
99W INVEST 100409 1200 7.4N 135.9E WPAC 20 1007
99W INVEST 100409 0600 7.1N 137.0E WPAC 20 1007
99W INVEST 100409 0000 6.9N 137.8E WPAC 20 1007
99W INVEST 100408 1800 6.9N 138.3E WPAC 20 1007
99W INVEST 100408 1200 7.1N 138.8E WPAC 20 1007
99W INVEST 100408 0600 7.1N 139.0E WPAC 20 1007
99W INVEST 100408 0000 7.6N 140.0E WPAC 20 1007
99W INVEST 100407 1800 7.7N 141.1E WPAC 20 1007
99W INVEST 100407 1200 7.8N 142.1E WPAC 20 1007
99W INVEST 100407 0600 7.5N 143.1E WPAC 20 1007
99W INVEST 100407 0000 6.9N 144.3E WPAC 20 1007
99W INVEST 100406 1800 6.4N 145.4E WPAC 20 1007
99W INVEST 100406 1200 6.1N 146.6E WPAC 15 1009
99W INVEST 100406 0600 5.8N 147.6E WPAC 15 1009
99W INVEST 100406 0000 5.6N 148.1E WPAC 15 1010
99W INVEST 100405 1800 5.5N 148.6E WPAC 15 1010
99W INVEST 100405 1200 5.3N 149.1E WPAC 15 1010
(http://img689.imageshack.us/img689/390/17560092.jpg)
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Nueva INVEST muy cerca de la isla de Sumatra (Indonesia). Concretamente al oeste
INVEST 97S
15kts-1010mb
(http://i44.tinypic.com/ety8fp.jpg)
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97S.INVEST
Al sur de la Isla de Java (Indonesia) y cerca de Christmas Island (Australia)
97S INVEST 100412 0000 9.2S 104.0E SHEM 15 kts 1010 mb
97S INVEST 100411 1800 7.9S 103.2E SHEM 15 kts 1010 mb
97S INVEST 100411 1200 6.4S 102.4E SHEM 15 kts 1010 mb
(http://img228.imageshack.us/img228/6686/30023130.jpg)
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97S.INVEST
(http://img202.imageshack.us/img202/6024/22465838.jpg)
(http://img704.imageshack.us/img704/7209/58686922.jpg)
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Nueva INVEST por esta zona. Se encuentra al norte de la isla de Papúa Nueva Guinea.
INVEST 90W
15kts-1010mb
(http://i43.tinypic.com/rvwwom.jpg)
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El JTWC comenta algo sobre la 90W
THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.0N
132.6E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.0N 126.4E, APPROXIMATELY 610 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF MANILA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
A MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH A WEAK SURFACE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC) EMBEDDED WITHIN A LARGER SCALE EASTERLY WAVE.
CONVECTION REMAINS SPORADIC NEAR THE LLCC, BUT A RECENT 260029Z
ASCAT PASS INDICATED WEAK EASTERLY WINDS WERE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP
ALONG THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE LLCC. WITH CENTRAL WINDS OF 20 KNOTS.
THE LLCC IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50 NM FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST
OF MINDANAO. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN ANTICYCLONE LOCATED
OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA THAT EXTENDS INTO THE PHILIPPINE SEA IS
CREATING A WEAK UPPER LEVEL CONVERGENT REGION OVER THE LLCC AND IS
ENHANCING A STRONG EASTERLY FLOW SOUTH OF THE LLCC. VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (VWS) OVER THE AREA REMAINS LOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. BASED ON PERSISTENT CONVECTION, LOW
VWS, FAVORABLE SURFACE CONDITIONS, BUT CLOSE PROXIMITY TO LAND, THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR.
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Nueva INVEST por esta zona, concretamente al N de Nueva Zelanda. Buena pinta la que tiene, pero mirando sus vientos y presión es una Tormenta tropical
INVEST 94P
35kts-996mb
(http://i41.tinypic.com/30vdgdd.jpg)
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Curiosísimo ese vórtice! :o :o :o :o Tiene encima una cizalladura bestial, aunque su aspecto es muy interesante! No entiendo cómo se queda sin nombrar, siendo tan perfecto ??? ???
(http://img4.imageshack.us/img4/7509/2010sh944kmirimg2010051.gif)
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En la zona norte de Nueva Zelanda tienen activos avisos por vientos... Pero no encuentro ninguna discusión que dé luz sobre la naturaleza "oficial" de esa baja presión, que parece claramente tropical, al menos subtropical.
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Imagen de alta resolución, by NASA.
(http://img249.imageshack.us/img249/1015/crefl2143a2010130030500.jpg)
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Mmmm.... interesantísimo sistema... 8)
Como era de esperar con la cizalladura de 30-35 kts y SST entorno a los 20ºC, poco ha podido hacer. Se ha desplazado hacia el S y se encuentra al W de Nueva Zelanda.
30kts-1000mb
(http://i43.tinypic.com/xdwi2h.jpg)
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Nueva INVEST
INVEST 95S
25kts-1004mb
(http://i39.tinypic.com/3346y4x.jpg)
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La 95S sube de intensidad
20kts-1007mb
(http://i40.tinypic.com/ru1axd.jpg)
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Nueva INVEST
INVEST 93W
15kts-1008mb
(http://img193.imageshack.us/img193/2007/201005261957mtsatir93wi.jpg)
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El JTWC lanza también alerta de formación tropical de la 93W
INVEST 93W
20kts-1006mb
(http://i46.tinypic.com/2ro27p5.jpg)
FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
085 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 20.0N 115.0E TO 22.1N 118.0E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IM-
AGERY AT 262330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 20.4N 115.3E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT
04 KNOTS.
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Estaba la cosa estancada, pero hay dos nuevas INVESTS
INVEST 94W
15kts-1010mb
(http://img713.imageshack.us/img713/3558/201007121032mtsat2ir94w.jpg)
Arriba a la izquierda se ve a CONSON
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INVEST 95W
15kts-1010mb
No pongo sat. porque ya la han quitado :-\
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Dos nuevas INVESTS por la zona
La 97W está por el sur de Japón
INVEST 97W
15kts-1010mb
(http://i31.tinypic.com/4ptbo1.jpg)
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Y la 98W está causando problemas de nuevo por las islas Filipinas
INVEST 98W
15kts-1010mb
(http://img203.imageshack.us/img203/7797/201007161501mtsat2ir98w.jpg)
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Nueva INVEST
INVEST 99W
15kts-1010mb
(http://img594.imageshack.us/img594/4725/201007211901mtsat2ir99w.jpg)
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Vuelta a empezar. Nueva INVEST al sur de Japón
INVEST 90W
15kts-1010mb
(http://img7.imageshack.us/img7/7231/201007231132mtsat2ir90w.jpg)
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Nueva INVEST
INVEST 91W
20kts-1007mb
(http://img837.imageshack.us/img837/8071/201007251501mtsat2ir91w.jpg)
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Pongo algunas INVESTS que han ido apareciendo y que no he ido puesto porque no he estado estos días por el foro.
28 de Julio
Nueva INVEST en esta zona del Pacífico. Concretamente tenemos a la 92W pululando al sur de Japón.
INVEST 92W
15kts-1010mb
(http://img819.imageshack.us/img819/7130/201007271732mtsat2ir92w.jpg)
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29 de Julio
Nueva INVEST por la zona.
INVEST 93W
15kts-1010mb
(http://img832.imageshack.us/img832/9097/201007291714mtsat2ir93w.jpg)
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Dos nuevas
INVEST 96W
15kts-1010mb
(http://img444.imageshack.us/img444/8901/201008041601mtsat2ir96w.jpg)
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INVEST 97W
15kts-1010mb
(http://img823.imageshack.us/img823/8079/201008041601mtsat2ir97w.jpg)
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El JTWC lanza aviso de formación tropical de la 96W, situada al NE de Luzón
WTPN21 PGTW 070200
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
A 200 NM RADIUS OF 19.2N 125.1E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CY-
CLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO
BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 070000Z INDICATES THAT A
CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 125.1E. THE SYSTEM IS
MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS.
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Nueva INVEST por esta zona
INVEST 99W
15kts-1010mb
(http://img815.imageshack.us/img815/8754/201008081732mtsat2ir99w.jpg)
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INVEST 91W
15kts-1010mb
(http://img94.imageshack.us/img94/4358/201008141732mtsat2ir91w.jpg)
-
INVEST 92W
15kts-1010mb
(http://img199.imageshack.us/img199/4443/201008160901mtsat2vis92.jpg)
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INVEST 93W
20kts-1007mb
(http://img15.imageshack.us/img15/8383/201008201501mtsat2ir93w.jpg)
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El JTWC lanza aviso de formación tropical de esta perturbación
WTPN21 PGTW 200430
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.4N 109.2E TO 17.8N 105.5E
WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 200400Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION
CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 109.0E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-
WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS.
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Al E de la 93W tenemos a esta otra perturbación
INVEST 94W
20kts-1007mb
(http://img337.imageshack.us/img337/1797/201008201501mtsat2ir94w.jpg)
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INVEST 96W
15kts-1010mb
(http://img841.imageshack.us/img841/9932/201008231732mtsat2ir96w.jpg)
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Dos nuevas INVEST por esta zona, una por Taiwan
INVEST 92W
20kts-1007mb
(http://img843.imageshack.us/img843/8230/201008291501mtsat2ir92w.jpg)
-
INVEST 93W
15kts-1010mb
(http://img291.imageshack.us/img291/2471/201008291501mtsat2ir93w.jpg)
De momento, las dos sin aviso de formación tropical
-
INVEST 94W
15kts-1004mb
(http://img836.imageshack.us/img836/7531/201008301901mtsat2xir1k.jpg)
-
Empezamos de nuevo ;)
INVEST 90W
15kts-1010mb
(http://img832.imageshack.us/img832/8876/201009051714mtsat2ir90w.jpg)
-
Dos nuevas
INVEST 93W
15kts-1010mb
(http://img641.imageshack.us/img641/7076/201009131901mtsat2ir93w.jpg)
-
INVEST 94W
20kts-1007mb
(http://img688.imageshack.us/img688/5903/201009131901mtsat2ir94w.jpg)
-
INVEST 92W
15kts-1010mb
(http://img696.imageshack.us/img696/3995/201009282001mtsat2xir1k.jpg)
-
Creo que es la misma ;)
INVEST 92W
15kts-1010mb
(http://img687.imageshack.us/img687/4093/201010031301mtsat2xir1k.jpg)
-
INVEST 98W
15kts-1010mb
(http://img337.imageshack.us/img337/6909/201010111730gms6xir1kmb.jpg)
-
INVEST 99W
15kts-1010mb
(http://img340.imageshack.us/img340/6909/201010111730gms6xir1kmb.jpg)
-
INVEST 90W
15kts-1010mb
(http://img508.imageshack.us/img508/6909/201010111730gms6xir1kmb.jpg)
-
INVEST 91W
15kts-1010mb
(http://img143.imageshack.us/img143/6909/201010111730gms6xir1kmb.jpg)
-
JTWC lanza aviso de formación tropical de la 90W
WTPN21 PGTW 120900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.3N 143.1E TO 14.4N 138.6E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 22 KNOTS. METSAT IM-
AGERY AT 120830Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 12.3N 142.8E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS.
-
INVEST 98W
30kts-1000mb
(http://img209.imageshack.us/img209/982/201010211830gms6xir1kmb.jpg)
-
JTWC lanza aviso de formación tropical de la 98W
WTPN22 PGTW 210300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 18.8N 160.4E TO 24.3N 153.2E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 24 KNOTS. METSAT IM-
AGERY AT 210230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 19.2N 159.9E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 14
KNOTS.
-
INVEST 90W
15kts-1010mb
(http://img839.imageshack.us/img839/7276/201011051857mtsat1rir90.jpg)
-
INVEST 91W
15kts-1010mb
(http://img830.imageshack.us/img830/9736/201011051857mtsat1rir91.jpg)
-
INVEST 92W
15kts-1010mb
(http://img146.imageshack.us/img146/5630/201011081857mtsat1rir92.jpg)
-
INVEST 90W
20kts-1005mb
(http://img547.imageshack.us/img547/7679/201011121257mtsat1rir90.jpg)
Situada al E de Vietnam, el JTWC lanza el aviso de formación tropical
WTPN21 PGTW 112030
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
A 145 NM RADIUS OF 13.8N 112.7E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL
CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO
BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 112000Z INDICATES THAT A
CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 112.7E. THE SYSTEM IS
MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS.
-
Tiempito sin actividad 8)
INVEST 95S
15kts-1010mb
(http://img405.imageshack.us/img405/8612/201011262100meteo7ir95s.jpg)
-
INVEST 96P
15kts-1010mb
(http://img26.imageshack.us/img26/8747/201011262030mtsat1rvis9.jpg)
-
INVEST 97P
15kts-1010mb
(http://img32.imageshack.us/img32/8747/201011262030mtsat1rvis9.jpg)
-
INVEST 94W
15kts-1010mb
(http://img217.imageshack.us/img217/384/201011262030mtsat1rir94.jpg)
-
El JTWC lanza aviso de formación tropical de un sistema situado al W de Australia 8)
INVEST 91S
30kts-1000mb
(http://img51.imageshack.us/img51/2748/201012152130meteo7ir91s.jpg)
-
Aquí el aviso
WTXS21 PGTW 150600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 17.6S 110.4E TO 20.6S 111.7E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IM-
AGERY AT 150000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 18.1S 110.6E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS.
-
Pues el aviso ha sido cancelado y por ahí sigue, ya entrando en Australia
25kts-1004mb
(http://img401.imageshack.us/img401/4072/201012161800meteo7ir91s.jpg)
-
Y por el norte de Australia, otra invest.
INVEST 92S
15kts-1010mb
(http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/4179/201012161730mtsat1rir92.jpg)
-
Hay un par de ellas
INVEST 93S
15kts-1010mb
(http://img222.imageshack.us/img222/3910/201012262032mtsat2ir93s.jpg)
-
INVEST 98W
15kTs-1010mb
(http://img151.imageshack.us/img151/5092/201012271301mtsat2ir98w.jpg)
-
El JTWC comenta algo sobre la 98W, y le otorga pocas posibilidades de formación de ciclón tropical
THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.4N 109.5E
IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.9N 107.9E, APPROXIMATELY 345 NM WEST OF
BRUNEI. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN
ILL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH SHALLOW, DISORGANIZED
CONVECTION. A 271344Z ASCAT PASS SHOWS A WEAK 10-15 KNOT CIRCULATION
CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS EQUATORWARD OF
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE TO HIGH EASTERLY
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THESE ARE SUPPORTED BY
NEARBY SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. DUE TO A LACK OF CONVECTIVE
ORGANIZATION AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS POOR.
-
Nuevas INVESTS
INVEST 97S
15kts-1010mb
(http://img835.imageshack.us/img835/6316/201012291800meteo7ir97s.jpg)
-
INVEST 98S
15kts-1010mb
(http://img832.imageshack.us/img832/4816/201012291632mtsat2ir98s.jpg)