Buenos días:

Lo que pasa es que es un modelo aislado Normalmente, el sistema debe moverse por la zona de mayor densidad de líneas, que indican un conseso modelístico Es decir, rumbo norte-noroeste.

Joe Gale, le quitas la ilusión a cualquiera eh??  :DDD :DDD :DDD  Bueno, se que es el único que lo trae hacia Canarias pero................................. De todas formas hay cambio en los modelos como era de eperar.



Y así es la 90L

PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
TRADUCCION EMITIDA POR SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
200 AM EDT JUEVES 25 DE AGOSTO DE 2011

LAS IMAGENES DEL SATELITE INDICAN QUE AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS EN
ASOCIACION CON UN AREA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA COMO A 350 MILLAS
AL OESTE SUROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE SUR ESTA MOSTRANDO
MEJOR ORGANIZACION Y UNA DEPRESION TROPICAL PODRIA ESTAR FORMANDO.
DE CONTINUAR LAS TENDENCIAS ACTUALES...SE PODRIAN INICIAR LA EMICION
DE ADVERTENCIAS MAS TARDE ESTA MANANA. ESTE SISTEMA TIENE UNA
PROBABILIDAD ALTA...90 POR CIENTO...DE QUE SE CONVIERTA EN CICLON
TROPICAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS MIENTRAS SE MUEVE HACIA EL
OESTE U OESTE NOROESTE ENTRE 10 A 15 MPH.

EN EL RESTO DEL AREA...NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

$$

PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN

El paseo del 90L visto por GFS en modo lluvias...

hay una nueva minuscula INVEST ( 91L ) 30kts-1013mb..entre Irene y lo que era la INVEST 98L



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Esta es la onda que dará origen a José, o eso dicen TODOS los modelos globales.

Los modelos lo acercan al Caribe, pero no parece que vaya a sumergirse en él...

Con este último caso, parece que me han leído

000
ABNT20 KNHC 280907
TWOAT

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
510 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

SPECIAL OUTLOOK ISSUED TO UPDATE DISCUSSION OF THE LOW NEAR BERMUDA

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
IRENE...LOCATED ABOUT 15 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ATLANTIC CITY
NEW JERSEY.

A TROPICAL WAVE CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS WAVE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD AT 10 MPH.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

UPDATED...SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE SMALL LOW PRESSURE
AREA LOCATED ABOUT 160 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA HAS
INCREASED THIS MORNING.  WHILE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE
FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO
BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE TODAY BEFORE CONDITIONS BECOME EVEN LESS
FAVORABLE.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
GENERALLY NORTHWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.  REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS COULD AFFECT
BERMUDA TODAY...AND INTERESTS ON BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/CANGIALOSI

92L sube al 40%

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED A
FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS ARE
GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS WAVE DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS