Cazatormentas
Foro de Meteorología => Seguimiento de huracanes, tifones y ciclones => Mensaje iniciado por: Gale en Junio 08, 2009, 14:30:30 pm
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Vamos a seguir las evoluciones de este sistema por aquí, ya que el NHC le dadel 30 al 50% de posibilidades de desarrollo.
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Parte de Centro Nacional de Huracanes que le da 30%-50%.
(http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo/two_epac.gif)
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA HAVE INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION OVERNIGHT.
CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT AND THIS
SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. THERE IS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/BLAKE
NNNN
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Que bién a esta le dan mas posibilidades que a la de la zona de honduras... ::)
¿pero por lo que se ve se dirige hacia tierra no? de ser así tendría poco tiempo para intensificarse.... :(
por cierto,¿como se le asigna a cada tormenta el numerito? ejemplo,esta es la "91E" ???
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Hola a todos colegas espero que hayan tenido un fin de samana tranquilo , ojo con el area que esta en honduars pudiera ser que la corriente en chorro le de oportunidad esta semana para su desarrollo la corriente en chorro debe hacer un dibujo mas al norte en los proximos dias y las zonas de bajas presiones pudiera ser Ana si las condiciones finalmente se hacen favorables para el desarrollo aunque todavia no es un invets esta mostrando signos de desarollos esta mañana y es cuestion de tiempo que lo declaren no se que creen ustedes amigos asi que queda abierto el topic para la futura ANa.
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El JTWC lanza una formación tropical para este sistema.
El NHC vuelve a subir al 30%-50%.
(http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo/two_epac.gif)
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
1. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM HAS
THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
NNNN
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Casi todos los modelos lo llevan a México.
(http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/ep200991_model.gif)
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NHC sube al 50%, sse crea seguro.
(http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo/two_epac.gif)
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
1. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD BE
FORMING ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA. IF THIS DEVELOPMENT TREND IS CONFIRMED BY VISIBLE IMAGES
OR ADDITIONAL MICROWAVE DATA...ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED LATER
TODAY. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
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uff mas del 50%...esto se pone interesante!!!!
a ver si hay suerte.. Andrés!!! ;D
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El NHC rebaja las posibilidades, se acerca a aguas no tropicales. :(
(http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo/two_epac.gif)
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
1. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN
ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH...AND INTO AN ENVIRONMENT LESS
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
NNNN
Y los modelos lo siguen llevando a México.
(http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/ep200991_model.gif)
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Este sistema ya no se va a desarrollar............ Muchas espectativas le dio ayer el CNH :P