TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 09W (NINE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 99 NM
WEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI)
SHOWS THAT TD 09W HAS NOT IMPROVED IN STRUCTURE OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS AS THE BROKEN FORMATIVE BANDING ALONG THE LEADING WESTERN EDGE
CONTINUES TO FLARE AS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)
REMAINS POORLY DEFINED AND DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. A 120356 GMI 36GHZ
MICROWAVE CONCURS WITH THE MSI LOOP AS THE CONVECTION IS POORLY
ORGANIZED AROUND A SLOPPY LLCC. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A
MODERATE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY WEAKLY DIFFLUENT EASTERLY
OUTFLOW AND LOW TO MODERATE (10 TO 15 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
(VWS). THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION DUE TO THE
POOR ORGANIZATION OF THE LLCC SEEN IN THE MSI LOOP WHILE POSITION
FIXES FROM ALL AGENCIES REMAIN WIDELY SPREAD. THE CURRENT INTENSITY
REMAINS ASSESSED AT 30 KNOTS BASED ON THE POOR STRUCTURE OF THE
SYSTEM AND AS DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND RJTD REMAIN
AT 30 KNOTS. TD 09W CONTINUES TO TRACK ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY
OF A DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) THAT IS ANCHORED TO THE
NORTH OF THE SYSTEM.

6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
   TROPICAL STORM (TS) 09W (RAMMASUN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 324 NM
NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR)
DEPICTS FLARING CONVECTIVE BANDING ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF A
LOOSELY WRAPPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AS AN ISOLATED
BURST OF CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED. A 131056Z SSMIS 91GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL TURNING ASSOCIATED WITH
THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME DISPLACED TO THE WEST OF THE LLCC THAT HAS
SLIGHTLY INCREASED IN DEFINITION OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A CONTINUED MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT
CHARACTERIZED BY DIFFLUENT EASTERLY OUTFLOW AND MODERATE (15 TO 20
KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE
CURRENT POSITION WHICH IS BASED UPON THE AFOREMENTIONED SATELLITE
IMAGERY ALONG WITH POSITIONAL FIXES FROM PGTW AND RJTD. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS BASED UPON CONGRUENT DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM
ALL REPORTING AGENCIES. TS 09W IS QUICKLY TRACKING WEST ALONG THE
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) THAT IS ANCHORED
NORTH OF THE SYSTEM.

6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
   TYPHOON (TY) 09W (RAMMASUN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 435 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) SHOWS TY 09W HAS SLOWED AND CONTINUED TO
CONSOLIDATE AS CONVECTION HAS FURTHER DEEPENED AND HAS SINCE
DEVELOPED AN IRREGULAR 15NM EYE. A 141044Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGE ALSO SHOWS INCREASED STRENGTHENING AS THE EYEWALL STRUCTURE
HAS BECOME MORE DEVELOPED AND AS CONVECTIVE BANDING ALONG THE
SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE HAS INCREASED. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AS VIGOROUS EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CONTINUES
WHILE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) REMAINS AT LOW (05 TO 10 KNOTS)
LEVELS. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED UPON THE IRREGULAR EYE FEATURE
SEEN IN THE EIR LOOP WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE CURRENT INTENSITY HAS
BEEN INCREASED TO 75 KNOTS BASED ON THE INCREASED ORGANIZATION
OBSERVED IN THE AFOREMENTIONED SATELLITE IMAGERY WHILE DVORAK
INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND RJTD HAVE INCREASED TO 77 KNOTS.
TY 09W REMAINS ON A GENERALLY WESTWARD TRACK DESPITE A WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD DEFLECTION IN THE PAST 6 HOURS DUE TO A SLIGHT
AMPLIFICATION IN THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
(STR) THAT IS ANCHORED TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM.