Historial de este Tifon que empezó su formación como Depresión Tropical el día 27 de septiembre.
Actualmente es un CATEGORIA 4 y los modelos adelantan que llegará a ser un CAT 5 en las próximas horas. Lleva aparejados vientos de 150 mph (más de 240 km/h)
Date: Time: Lat: Lon: Wind(mph): Pressure: Storm Type:
09/27 18 GMT 9.70 145.60 35 N/A Tropical Depression
09/28 18 GMT 9.70 145.60 35 N/A Tropical Depression
09/28 0 GMT 9.40 144.60 35 N/A Tropical Depression
09/28 6 GMT 9.30 144.10 35 N/A Tropical Depression
09/28 12 GMT 9.30 142.80 40 N/A Tropical Storm
09/29 0 GMT 8.20 139.60 45 N/A Tropical Storm
09/29 6 GMT 7.80 138.90 50 N/A Tropical Storm
09/29 12 GMT 8.00 138.20 50 N/A Tropical Storm
09/30 0 GMT 9.00 136.80 75 N/A Category 1
09/30 6 GMT 9.90 135.30 85 N/A Category 1
09/30 12 GMT 10.60 133.90 85 N/A Category 1
09/30 18 GMT 11.30 132.50 115 N/A Category 3
10/01 18 GMT 11.30 132.50 115 N/A Category 3
10/01 0 GMT 11.80 131.10 150 N/A Category 4
10/01 6 GMT 12.40 129.60 150 N/A Category 4
El útimo aviso sobre Parma.
Tropical Storm Public Advisory
408
wtpn33 pgtw 010900
msgid/genadmin/navmarfcstcen Pearl Harbor hi/jtwc//
subj/tropical cyclone warning//
rmks/
010900z position near 12.7n 129.0e.
Super Typhoon (STY) 19w (parma) located approximately 520 nm east-
southeast of Manila, Philippines, has tracked west-northwestward at
16 knots over the past six hours. Sty 19w has maintained intensity
as a super typhoon over the past six hours, and is forecast to
further intensify prior to landfall on the northeastern coast of
Luzon near tau 48. Land interaction will cause the system to weaken
below super typhoon status after tau 48 as the system enters the
Luzon Strait. An approaching midlatitude trough will weaken the
subtropical ridge (str) causing sty 19w to enter a region of
competing steering in the Luzon Strait. The available model guidance
is in fair agreement with landfall on Luzon near tau 48. GFDN is the
southern outlier, making landfall in central Luzon, with JGSM and
GFS (avno tracker) models remaining clear of the Luzon coast. After
landfall there is more uncertainty in the model fields, with EGRR
and ECMWF turning to the south into the South China Sea and NOGAPS
continuing into the Luzon Strait towards Mainland China. Further
complicating the forecast in the extended period is Typhoon (TY) 20w
(Melor) to the east. While not currently forecast to directly
interact with sty 19w, the uncertainty introduced into the model
fields by TY 20w must be addressed. It is possible that the presence
of TY 20w will modify (in conjunction with the approaching mid-
latitude trough) the steering ridge for 19w, causing sty 19w to
become quasi-stationary in the Luzon Strait, or possibly turning
sharply into the western coast of Luzon (as hinted by ECMWF and EGRR
model trackers). Maximum significant wave height at 010600z is 29
feet. Next warnings at 011500z, 012100z, 020300z and 020900z. Refer
to typhoon 20w (Melor) warnings (wtpn34 pgtw) for six-hourly updates.
<a href="
http://picasaweb.google.es/lh/photo/XsSTNb-gK7WhRW2QxCfmPg?feat=embedwebsite"><img src="
http://lh4.ggpht.com/_5k66C2DoE0E/SsScagnRhiI/AAAAAAAAC4g/zTvbkZgl8SA/s800/parma_track.gif" /></a>
<a href="
http://picasaweb.google.es/lh/photo/x_FnrKIOl1U2LyCgdwDH-Q?feat=embedwebsite"><img src="
http://lh5.ggpht.com/_5k66C2DoE0E/SsScapLm_ZI/AAAAAAAAC4k/eZ-vQdTKDlU/s800/parma_sat.jpg" /></a>
<a href="
http://picasaweb.google.es/lh/photo/ou0pENeCH3J6pawPlVJPpg?feat=embedwebsite"><img src="
http://lh3.ggpht.com/_5k66C2DoE0E/SsScaqewPnI/AAAAAAAAC4o/qCuBThXWTj8/s800/parma.gif" /></a>
Tema: Supertifon PARMA - cat 4 - pacifico oeste camino tambien a filipinas (Leído 1063 veces)