Cazatormentas
Foro de Meteorología => Seguimiento de huracanes, tifones y ciclones => Mensaje iniciado por: Gale en Agosto 16, 2009, 10:56:57 am
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Pues eso, hemos pasado de un Atlántico absolutamente tranquilo, a surgir sistemas y ciclones como setas :P :P Nuevo sistema en seguimiento, y con una pinta buenísima. Nivel rojo de desarrollo para el CNH:
(http://images.meteociel.fr/im/5418/91l_loo2.jpg)
DATOS DE SATELLITE Y RADAR INDICAN UNA PEQUENA AREA DE BAJA PRESION
AL ESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO...CENTRALIZADA A 80 MILLAS AL SUROESTE
DE TAMPA...ESTA ORGANIZANDOSE MEJOR Y PUDIERA DESARROLLAR UNA
CIRCULACION CERRADA EN LA SUPERFICIE. LA CONDICIONES ESTA FAVORABLES
PARA ALGUN DESARROLLO ADICIONAL Y EXISTE UNA ALTA
PROBABILIDAD...MAYOR DE 50 PORCIENTO...QUE ESTE SISTEMA PUDIERA
CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLON TROPICAL EN ALGUN MOMENTO DEL DIA. ESTE
SISTEMA SE ESPERA SE MUEVA HACIA EL NOROESTE O NORTE-NOROESTE A UNAS
15 MPH HOY. INTERESES A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA DE FLORIDA DEBERIAN
MONITORIAR DE CERCA EL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA.
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ya es 04L
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Pues es verdad ;D ;D Gracias, Deltaforce ;)
000
WTNT44 KNHC 160858
TCDAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042009
500 AM EDT SUN AUG 16 2009
DATA FROM THE WFO TAMPA RADAR INDICATE THAT THE DISTURBANCE IN THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY BETTER ORGANIZED
OVERNIGHT. A QUIKSCAT PASS NEAR 00Z SUGGESTED THAT THERE PROBABLY
WAS A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION. GIVEN THIS...ADVISORIES ARE BEING
INITIATED ON A NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION. ALTHOUGH THERE WAS A SHIP
REPORT FROM A CARNIVAL CRUISE LINE VESSEL OF 40 KT...THIS REPORT IS
NOT CONSIDERED TO BE REPRESENTATIVE OF THE SURFACE WINDS. DOPPLER
VELOCITIES FROM THE TAMPA RADAR ALSO DO NOT SUPPORT TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...THE EXCELLENT RADAR PRESENTATION
AND DEEP CONVECTION SUGGESTS THAT STORM STATUS IS LIKELY TO BE
ATTAINED SOON. VERTICAL SHEAR IS VERY LOW...AND THE INTENSITY
GUIDANCE FROM THE HWRF AND GFDL SUGGEST A MIDDLE-RANGE TROPICAL
STORM BY LANDFALL. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT SOME ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING PRIOR TO LANDFALL BUT AFTER THE 12 HOUR 45 KT
FORECAST INTENSITY SHOWN BELOW IS LIKELY.
THE INITIAL MOTION IS 330/13. THE CYCLONE IS MOVING AROUND THE
PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THIS
APPROXIMATE TRACK UNTIL LANDFALL. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS CLOSE TO
A CONSENSUS OF A FAIRLY TIGHTLY CLUSTERED GUIDANCE SUITE.
THIS IS A VERY SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE...AND ITS EFFECTS ARE LIKELY
TO REMAIN RATHER CLOSE TO THE PATH OF THE CENTER.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 16/0900Z 27.7N 83.9W 30 KT
12HR VT 16/1800Z 29.2N 85.0W 45 KT
24HR VT 17/0600Z 31.0N 86.7W 40 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 17/1800Z 33.0N 87.5W 20 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND
48HR VT 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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:O*
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1812369766.gif) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1812369766.html)
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Los radares de Florida ya lo captan:
(http://www.cazatormentas.net/fotos/nik09/dt.gif)
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radar animado del valle del bajo mississippi , por donde se supone que va a entrar :
radar de tampa bay - florida keys - animado:
http://radar.weather.gov/radar_lite.php?rid=tbw&product=NCR&loop=yes
radar del valle del bajo mississippi - animado :
http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/southmissvly_lite_loop.php
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El sistema se vé saludable, pero pequeño y compacto, es probable que se intensifique a Tormenta tropical, pero no debería tener tiempo para desarrollar mucho más, antes de entrar en Tierra :-[
(http://img197.imageshack.us/img197/8393/cocor.jpg) (http://img197.imageshack.us/i/cocor.jpg/)
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no pense que iba a intensificarse pero en fin
si logra llegar a Claudette pues bien
8) 8) 8) 8) 8) 8)
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Se espera que toque tierra esta tarde ó noche a lo largo de la costa de Florida, sin embargo, se prevé que fortalesca a tormenta tropical Claudette, antes de que se adentre a tierra.
Tormentas tropicales y depresiones tropicales no debe tomarse a la ligera, ya que todavía puede causar mucho daño y las inundaciones que producen las precipitaciones pueden crear mortales deslizamientos de lodo. ::)
(http://img198.imageshack.us/img198/3554/florida0.gif) (http://img198.imageshack.us/i/florida0.gif/)
Emiten advertencia de tormenta tropical para la Florida
http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/sp/us/6574519.html
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Actual
radar y sat
(http://img228.imageshack.us/img228/4521/radar0.jpg) (http://img228.imageshack.us/i/radar0.jpg/)
Movimiento
(http://img195.imageshack.us/img195/1923/movi.gif) (http://img195.imageshack.us/i/movi.gif/)
Webcam Tampa W de florida
(http://img411.imageshack.us/img411/4253/towercam.jpg) (http://img411.imageshack.us/i/towercam.jpg/)
Parte meteorologico de la zona EL TIEMPO EN FLORIDA (http://www.accuweather.com/video-on-demand.asp?video=1670024770&title=Breaking Weather News)
Veremos si llega a tocar tierra como Tormenta Tropical. ::)
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en la pagina el nooa ya la mencionan como CLAUDETTE
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si señor...no es un record el hecho que hay 3 TT nombrados al mismo tiempo en el atlantico,despues de comenzar tan tarde ??? ;D ;D
(http://fotos.vivito.net/fotosend-1786666110.jpg) (http://fotos.vivito.net/pic-1786666110.html)
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Pues se cumplieron la previciones 8)
Se esperan acumulaciones de 7,5 a 12,5 centímetros de agua (de tres a cinco pulgadas), con chubascos aislados que podrían generar 25 centímetros de agua (hasta 10 pulgadas) en el NW de Florida, dijeron los meteorólogos. :P
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Tormenta Claudette es un fenómeno inusual por la rapidez de su formacion
[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YweQit5ebT4[/youtube]
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Claudette sigue golpeando la costa EEUU...
(http://img37.imageshack.us/img37/7167/claudeteradar.gif)
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000
WTNT44 KNHC 170247
TCDAT4
TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042009
1000 PM CDT SUN AUG 16 2009
CLAUDETTE HAS NOT BECOME BETTER-ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
HOURS. DOPPLER RADAR VELOCITIES STILL SUPPORT AN INTENSITY OF
40-45 KT SO THE ADVISORY INTENSITY REMAINS AT 45 KT. MODERATE
WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR HAS BEEN IMPINGING ON THE STORM...AND
APPARENTLY PREVENTING THE CYCLONE FROM STRENGTHENING.
HOWEVER...RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM
CONTINUES TO GENERATE SOME STRONG CONVECTION MAINLY OVER THE
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE CIRCULATION...AND IT IS IN THESE
CONVECTIVE REGIONS WHERE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY
OCCURRING AT THE SURFACE. WITH LANDFALL NOW IMMINENT...THE WINDOW
OF OPPORTUNITY FOR CLAUDETTE TO STRENGTHEN IS QUICKLY CLOSING.
THE CENTER WOBBLED A LITTLE TO THE WEST A FEW HOURS AGO BUT NOW IS
MORE OR LESS BACK ON TRACK...ALBEIT AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER FORWARD
SPEED. INITIAL MOTION IS ABOUT 315/10. THE TRACK FORECAST AND
REASONING ARE ESSENTIALLY UNCHANGED. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MOVE AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL HIGH
PRESSURE AREA UNTIL DISSIPATION OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED
STATES. THIS OFFICIAL FORECAST IS BASICALLY AN UPDATE OF THE
PREVIOUS ONE.
THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THIS SYSTEM IS LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
INLAND FLOODING. PLEASE REFER TO STATEMENTS...WATCHES...AND
WARNINGS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 17/0300Z 30.2N 86.1W 45 KT
12HR VT 17/1200Z 31.3N 87.2W 40 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 18/0000Z 33.0N 88.3W 30 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 18/1200Z 35.0N 88.9W 20 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND
48HR VT 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
(http://img44.imageshack.us/img44/449/claudette2.jpg)
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Jeff Masters, en su blog, comparaba a CLAUDETTE con el huracán HUMBERTO (http://www.cazatormentas.net/foro/seguimiento-de-huracanes-tifones-y-ciclones-en-el-mundo/huracan-humberto-categoria-1-(golfo-de-mexico)/), de la temporada 2007, que se formó en parecidas circunstancias y rapidez.
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CLAUDETTE ya ha tocado tierra de forma oficial. Adjunto último boletín del CNH:
000
WTNT44 KNHC 170851
TCDAT4
TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042009
400 AM CDT MON AUG 17 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT CLAUDETTE
MADE LANDFALL AROUND 0510 UTC...ALONG THE EASTERN END OF SANTA ROSA
ISLAND...JUST SOUTHEAST OF FORT WALTON BEACH FLORIDA. DOPPLER
VELOCITIES HAVE GRADUALLY BEEN DECREASING AND THERE HAVE NOT BEEN
ANY RECENT REPORTS OF STRONG WINDS NEAR THE CENTER. HOWEVER...
IT IS POSSIBLE THAT 35 KT WINDS ARE STILL OCCURRING IN THE STRONG
CONVECTION OVER WATER TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ON THIS
BASIS...CLAUDETTE IS BEING MAINTAINED AS A TROPICAL STORM WITH AN
INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KT. CLAUDETTE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER THIS MORNING AS THE CENTER MOVES FARTHER
INLAND.
CLAUDETTE IS FORECAST TO MOVE AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE AREA OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES.
THE NEW TRACK FORECAST IS A LITTLE WEST OF THE PREVIOUS NHC
ADVISORY...NEAR THE MIDDLE OF THE LATEST MODEL ENVELOPE.
THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THIS SYSTEM IS LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
INLAND FLOODING. PLEASE REFER TO STATEMENTS...WATCHES...AND
WARNINGS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 17/0900Z 30.9N 87.0W 35 KT
12HR VT 17/1800Z 32.1N 88.0W 25 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 18/0600Z 33.9N 88.9W 20 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 18/1800Z 35.8N 89.3W 20 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND
48HR VT 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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Creo que unas de las regiones mas afectada por esta Tormenta es Panama City.
Aquí dejo una Webcam.
http://www.beachview.com/panama_city_beach.htm
Gale ó otro compañero me podria decir por favor, como está afectando esta tormenta a las costa Americana??
Estoy buscando info y no encuentro nada ???
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Ya encontre algo por aquí :D
La tormenta tropical 'Claudette', ha descargado unos 130 milímetros de lluvia a lo largo del litoral de Florida y mantiene vientos con velocidades de 85 kilómetros por hora, ha alcanzado la costa del estado de Florida (Estados Unidos).
Ahora comenzará a perder fuersa.
TORMENTA CLAUDETTE (http://www.europapress.es/internacional/noticia-tormenta-tropical-claudette-alcanza-costa-florida-20090817094938.html)