A weather station in Wakulia County, 4 miles east of Saint Marks, Florida, recorded 12.99" on rain in just 12 hours, bringing the 48-hour rainfall total at the site to 20.96". Several other stations in Wakulia Country also recorded rainfall amounts in excess of 20 inches, and the heavy rains caused moderate to major flooding on area rivers.
000WTNT44 KNHC 270301TCDAT4TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEBBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 15NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL0420121100 PM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012THE CENTER OF DEBBY MADE LANDFALL IN THE FLORIDA BIG BENDREGION AT AROUND 2100 UTC. SINCE THAT TIME...THE CENTER HAS TURNEDSOUTHEASTWARD...POSSIBLY DUE TO INTERACTION WITH A GUST FRONT FROMTHE MOST RECENT CONVECTIVE BURST AND A MESOSCALE VORTICITY CENTEROVER NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA. THE CIRCULATION HAS ALSO BECOMEELONGATED WITH THE CENTRAL PRESSURE RISING TO AROUND 1000 MB. THEINITIAL INTENSITY OF 30 KT IS BASED ON COASTAL OBSERVATIONS AND THECHANCE THAT SOME STRONGER WINDS MAY EXIST OVER THE WATER.THE INITIAL MOTION IS 125/6. A DEEP-LAYER TROUGH IS NORTH ANDNORTHEAST OF DEBBY...AND AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONTAL ZONE EXTENDSFROM SOUTHERN GEORGIA EAST-NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE ATLANTIC. WHILETHE LARGE-SCALE MODELS FORECAST THESE FEATURES TO WEAKEN DURING THENEXT 72 HR...THEY AGREE THAT THERE WILL BE ENOUGH WESTERLY STEERINGFLOW TO ALLOW THE CENTER TO CROSS FLORIDA AND REACH THE ATLANTICDURING THE NEXT 24 HR OR SO. THE MODELS DIVERGE AFTER THAT. THENOGAPS AND CANADIAN MODELS SHOW THE CENTER STALLING OFF THE U. S.COAST...WHILE THE GFS...UKMET...ECMWF...GFDL...AND HWRF MOVE ITEAST-NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE ATLANTIC AT VARYING SPEEDS. THEFORECAST TRACK GOES WITH THE LATTER SCENARIO. THE NEW FORECAST ISADJUSTED SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK BASED ON THE INITIAL POSITIONAND MOTION...AND IS A BIT FASTER. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THATADDITIONAL ADJUSTMENTS TO THE TRACK FORECAST MAY BE NECESSARY IFTHE CENTER RE-FORMS WHILE CROSSING FLORIDA.DEBBY IS CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR...DRYAIR ENTRAINMENT...AND LAND INTERACTION. THIS COMBINATION SHOULDPERSIST UNTIL THE CENTER REACHES THE ATLANTIC. IN 36-48 HR...THEGFS...UKMET...AND ECMWF FORECAST AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO INTERACTWITH THE CYCLONE...WHICH COULD REDUCE THE SHEAR AND PROVIDEFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. HOWEVER...DEEP-LAYER DRY AIRSHOULD STILL BE NEAR DEBBY AT THAT TIME...WHICH COULD PREVENT THEMORE FAVORABLE DYNAMICS FROM STRENGTHENING THE SYSTEM. THUS...THENEW INTENSITY FORECAST IS ALMOST IDENTICAL TO THE PREVIOUSFORECAST.FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDSINIT 27/0300Z 29.0N 82.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 27/1200Z 29.3N 81.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 24H 28/0000Z 29.7N 80.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...OVER WATER 36H 28/1200Z 30.3N 77.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 48H 29/0000Z 30.7N 75.6W 35 KT 40 MPH 72H 30/0000Z 32.0N 72.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 96H 01/0000Z 35.0N 69.0W 45 KT 50 MPH120H 02/0000Z 39.0N 62.0W 45 KT 50 MPH$$FORECASTER BEVEN