Cazatormentas
Foro de Meteorología => Seguimiento de huracanes, tifones y ciclones => Mensaje iniciado por: Gale en Agosto 24, 2015, 23:25:59 pm
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Dejamos este hilo listo, ya que parece evidente que lo usaremos pronto... evil
Hora local de Caracas 4:45pm
Ya tiene pinta de Depresión Tropical y más aún una tormenta con nombre, la cual se llamará Erika y probablemente así sea declarada hoy mismo. A abrir tópico, ya por nuestro foro está listo ;D ;D:
(http://i17.photobucket.com/albums/b74/eparra74/Image_000012_1.jpg) (http://s17.photobucket.com/user/eparra74/media/Image_000012_1.jpg.html)
(http://i17.photobucket.com/albums/b74/eparra74/1_12.jpg) (http://s17.photobucket.com/user/eparra74/media/1_12.jpg.html)
Localización: 14.5°N 45.2°W
Vientos m+aximos: 40 kt Ráfagas: 50 kt
Presión Minima Central: 1003 mb
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Hora local deCaracas 10:45pm
Lo que esperaba, directo a Erika sin pasar por DT :D1 :D1 :D1:
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.4N 47.7W
ABOUT 955 MI...1535 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
(http://i17.photobucket.com/albums/b74/eparra74/a_1.jpg) (http://s17.photobucket.com/user/eparra74/media/a_1.jpg.html)
(http://i17.photobucket.com/albums/b74/eparra74/Image_000013_1.jpg) (http://s17.photobucket.com/user/eparra74/media/Image_000013_1.jpg.html)
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Jim Cantore @JimCantore 39 minHace 39 minutos Ver traducción
NHC conservative w/intensity forecasts for good reason keeping #Erika a TS at this point. Big spread in model output
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CNPWkngUEAE8Nze.jpg)
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CNPWknlUcAABlQG.jpg)
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El CNH se decide a mejorar las perspectivas de intensidad....
000
WTNT45 KNHC 250838
TCDAT5
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA DISCUSSION NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052015
500 AM AST TUE AUG 25 2015
The cloud pattern of Erika has not changed much overnight, with the
convection located near the center and in the southern semicircle.
The latest Dvorak estimates are T2.5/35 kt from TAFB and SAB, and
the initial intensity remains 40 kt based on the earlier buoy data.
Erika will be moving over warming SSTs with light to moderate shear
for the next 36 to 48 hours, and the NHC forecast shows steady
intensification during this time. After that, Erika could encounter
increasing westerly shear due to interaction with an upper-level low
near Hispaniola and there is the potential for land interaction with
the Greater Antilles. The HWRF and LGEM models show more
strengthening during this time, while the GFDL and SHIPS models are
less aggressive. There is also disagreement among the global models.
The GFS weakens Erika to a trough by 5 days while the ECMWF has
trended stronger and the UKMET continues to show a more robust
cyclone. The NHC intensity forecast has been adjusted upward a bit
at days 4 and 5 and is close to or a bit below the IVCN intensity
consensus. Due to the large spread in the guidance, the intensity
forecast at days 3-5 is of even lower confidence than usual.
The initial motion estimate of 275/17 is based largely on
continuity, given the difficulty locating the center with infrared
imagery. The track guidance is in good agreement through 36 hours,
as Erika should be steered westward to west-northwestward south of
the subtropical ridge. At 48 hours and beyond, there are two
distinct camps of track guidance. The UKMET, HWRF, and GFDL
show a deeper system that moves northwestward, while the GFS, ECMWF,
and GEFS ensemble mean show a weaker cyclone and a more west-
northwestward motion. The NHC forecast has been nudged a bit
to the right this cycle and remains close to the ECMWF and GEFS
ensemble mean. This track is to the right of the GFS but well left
of the TVCA multi-model consensus. Given the divergence in the
guidance, confidence in the track forecast late in the period is
low.
Based on the new forecast, Tropical Storm Watches have been issued
for portions of the Lesser Antilles.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 25/0900Z 14.6N 49.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 25/1800Z 15.2N 51.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 26/0600Z 16.0N 54.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 26/1800Z 16.9N 57.9W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 27/0600Z 17.6N 61.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 28/0600Z 19.3N 66.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 29/0600Z 21.5N 71.0W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 30/0600Z 24.0N 75.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
$$
Forecaster Brennan
(http://www.cazatormentas.net/foro/seguimiento-de-huracanes-tifones-y-ciclones-en-el-mundo/tormenta-tropical-erika-05l-atlantico-rdp-agosto-2015/?action=dlattach;attach=29161;image)
[archivo adjunto borrado por el administrador]
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Wx Expert @Expert_Wx 2 hHace 2 horas Ver traducción
00z run of the ECMWF is very concerning. It agrees with the HWRF and has a Category 4 hurricane off the SE Coast.
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CNQOpwgVAAEC2dC.jpg)
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CNQOpwvUEAEIL27.jpg)
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Hora local de Caracas 7pm
Erika sigue moviéndose al O rumbo al Caribe, la trayectoria estimada sobre el N de las Antillas Menores:
(http://i17.photobucket.com/albums/b74/eparra74/Image_000028_1.jpg) (http://s17.photobucket.com/user/eparra74/media/Image_000028_1.jpg.html)
(http://i17.photobucket.com/albums/b74/eparra74/1_13.jpg) (http://s17.photobucket.com/user/eparra74/media/1_13.jpg.html)
(http://i17.photobucket.com/albums/b74/eparra74/rbtop-animated_1.gif) (http://s17.photobucket.com/user/eparra74/media/rbtop-animated_1.gif.html)
RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:
UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* ST. KITTS Y NEVIS
* ANGUILLA
* SABA...SAN EUSTATIUS Y SAN MAARTEN
* GUADALUPE...SAN MARTIN...Y SAN BARTHOLOME.
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Ojo a las previsiones ::)
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CNUC8iWVAAAJctX.png)
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Tremendo borbotón convectivo sobre el centro de circulación de niveles bajos de Erika... aunque todavía es aparente una cierta falta de verticalidad. Con todo y con eso, parece que poco a poco se está reforzando.
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CNVltSwWwAAEP4T.jpg:large)
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Esa falta de verticalidad se ve mejor en el microondas, con el grueso convectivo desplazado ligeramente al SSE respecto del vórtice en niveles bajos:
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CNVmz5gWIAALyxy.jpg:large)
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Hora local de Carcas 12m
Continúa moviéndose al Oeste:
RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...16.1 NORTE 57.6 OESTE
CERCA DE 285 MI...460 KM AL ESTE DE ANTIGUA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE O 280 GRADOS A 17 MPH...28 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1005 MILIBARES...29.68 PULGADAS
(http://i17.photobucket.com/albums/b74/eparra74/b_1.jpg) (http://s17.photobucket.com/user/eparra74/media/b_1.jpg.html)
(http://i17.photobucket.com/albums/b74/eparra74/a_2.jpg) (http://s17.photobucket.com/user/eparra74/media/a_2.jpg.html)
VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA:
EL GOBIERNO DE FRANCIA HA CAMBIADO LA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA
TROPICAL A UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA SAN MARTIN Y SAN
BARTHOLOME.
RESUMEN DE AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS EN EFECTO:
AVISOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EFECTO PARA
* ANGUILLA.
* SABA Y SAN EUSTATIUS
* SAN MAARTEN
* SAN MARTIN
* SAN BARTHOLOME
* MONSERRAT
* ANTIGUA Y BARBUDA
* SAN KITTS Y NEVIS
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Se observa un gran número de outflows que no es un buen síntoma para Erika: es signo de aire seco perjudicando su convección, por lo que me temo que esa explosión convectiva se verá seguida de grandes lagunas, ya lo verás.
Por otro lado la discusión del CNH hace alusión a fuerte cizalladura en los próximos 3 días, por lo que lo va a tener difícil para salir viva a encarar Florida, momento en que sí lo tendría más fácil para intensificarse...
Queda observar, como siempre :D
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Hora local de Caracas 1pm
Por mención de Pedro, en la IR Dvorak se confirma la falta de verticalidad y por ende desacoplamiento:
(http://i17.photobucket.com/albums/b74/eparra74/3_1.jpg) (http://s17.photobucket.com/user/eparra74/media/3_1.jpg.html)
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En las últimas horas mis previsiones se han cumplido, más de lo esperado... La cizalladura y el aire seco se están cargando el ciclón...
(https://lh5.googleusercontent.com/-eKTqkSab1Rg/Vd4p7mANUVI/AAAAAAAADNY/jLsNfkBsK1c/w720-h480-no/erikab.gif)
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ECMWF, GFS y GEM ¿por dónde pasará Erika? ¿Volverá el europeo a llevarse el gato al agua?
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CNWzQYEXAAAgcii.png)
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CNWzQYDW8AA00My.png)
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CNWzQYFWoAAN7p5.png)
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Hora local de Caracas 11:15pm
Se ha pegado otro borbotón convectivo, esta vez acoplada con el vórtice, pero no me convence aún. Sigue moviéndose al O:
(http://i17.photobucket.com/albums/b74/eparra74/l_1.jpg) (http://s17.photobucket.com/user/eparra74/media/l_1.jpg.html)
(http://i17.photobucket.com/albums/b74/eparra74/k_1.jpg) (http://s17.photobucket.com/user/eparra74/media/k_1.jpg.html)
(http://i17.photobucket.com/albums/b74/eparra74/j_1.jpg) (http://s17.photobucket.com/user/eparra74/media/j_1.jpg.html)
(http://i17.photobucket.com/albums/b74/eparra74/m.gif) (http://s17.photobucket.com/user/eparra74/media/m.gif.html)
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Pues lo cierto es que se ha intensificado algo gracias al mantenimiento de esa convección tan intensa y amplia...
(https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/-NdXwk15XLVc/Vd71L4An78I/AAAAAAAADO4/euCQ8mngQ9Q/w720-h480-no/dagthrt.gif)
000
WTNT45 KNHC 270856
TCDAT5
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA DISCUSSION NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052015
500 AM AST THU AUG 27 2015
Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Erika has
strengthened overnight, although it is not clear as to how much. The
central pressure dropped to around 1001 mb around 0540Z, but was
up to 1003 mb on the next fix about an hour later. The highest
850-mb flight-level winds sampled by the aircraft were 48 kt, which
would correspond to an intensity of around 40 kt. However, the
aircraft found SFMR winds of 45 to 55 kt near the center. Based on a
blend of these data, the initial intensity has been conservatively
raised to 45 kt for this advisory. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter
aircraft will be investigating Erika again later this morning.
Aircraft data and satellite imagery show that Erika is still a
sheared tropical cyclone, with the deepest convection found east and
southeast of the center due to about 20 kt of westerly shear. The
models show the environment remaining unfavorable for significant
strengthening in the first 48 hours, with shear associated with an
upper-level trough west of Erika expected to increase to 25 to 30
kt. Given this, most of the intensity guidance shows little change
during the first couple of days and so does the NHC forecast. After
that time, the upper trough weakens and Erika should encounter a
more favorable upper-level pattern and warmer SSTs, which should
support intensification assuming that the cyclone survives the next
48 hours. The HWRF and GFDL are much stronger than the statistical
models this cycle, but the GFS and ECMWF now keep Erika weaker than
they did previously. The NHC forecast has been adjusted upward
slightly late in the period, but is well below the intensity
consensus given the large uncertainty and spread in the guidance.
Aircraft fixes and radar data from Guadeloupe were helpful in
finding the low-level center and determining an initial motion of
280/14. The steering flow from the subtropical ridge to the north
should result in a west-northwestward heading for the next 2 to 3
days. After that time, the spread in the guidance increases as the
cyclone moves between the southwestern edge of the ridge and a
mid/upper-level trough over the southeastern U.S. and Gulf of
Mexico. The models are in poor agreement on the eventual structure
and track of Erika late in the period. The ECMWF is weaker this
cycle and is on the left side of the dynamical model envelope. The
GFS, HWRF, and UKMET are all farther east but have trended west
this cycle. Given the large spread and the continued run-to-run
variability, little change was made to the NHC track forecast. The
new NHC forecast is closest to the latest GFS model prediction at
day 3 and beyond.
One should remember to not focus on the exact forecast track,
especially at the long range where the average NHC track errors
during the past 5 years are about 180 miles at day 4 and 240 miles
at day 5.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 27/0900Z 16.8N 61.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 27/1800Z 17.6N 63.5W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 28/0600Z 19.0N 66.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 28/1800Z 20.3N 69.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 29/0600Z 21.5N 71.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 30/0600Z 24.0N 76.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 31/0600Z 26.5N 78.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 01/0600Z 29.0N 79.5W 75 KT 85 MPH
$$
Forecaster Brennan
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¿Me lo parece, o está más al S de lo previsto?
Es decir, según los modelos debería haber pasado algo más al N de Guadalupe&cia, pero no ha sido así. Ahora sin embargo le dan un quiebro algo brusco hacia el NW, lo que lo llevaría muy próximo a la trayectoria inicial antes de cruzar dichas islas.
Veremos a ver si no decide no girar lo suficiente y se encuentra con su final demasiado pronto...
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Hora local de Caracas 12pm
A pesar del aspecto que presenta, sigue desacoplada. ElCNH se mantiene reacio a ajustar trayectoria, la sigo viendo rumbo al O, las horas confirmarán pronósticos:
(http://i17.photobucket.com/albums/b74/eparra74/a.gif) (http://s17.photobucket.com/user/eparra74/media/a.gif.html)
(http://i17.photobucket.com/albums/b74/eparra74/b_2.jpg) (http://s17.photobucket.com/user/eparra74/media/b_2.jpg.html)
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La que ha liado la lluvia en la pequeña isla de Dominica, sobre la que está pasando Erika y su increíble convección...
https://www.youtube.com/v/lZh8tcphb9Q
https://www.youtube.com/v/dO0fm2OsI8c
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Después del daño causando en Dominica, Erika nos guiña el ojo :o :o :o
(https://lh5.googleusercontent.com/-kIUGOojd4Qk/Vd9fCqfrVpI/AAAAAAAADPo/EPNs8boJdQA/w720-h480-no/erik.gif)
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Impresionantes los videos Pedro, y esa imagen final del ojo medio tapado ! parece que Erika va a por mas !
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Más vídeos de Dominica.... :o :o :o :o :o :o
https://www.youtube.com/v/RrYUInFB0ZM
https://www.youtube.com/v/SPBBK_7Lers
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Brutal. :o
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Erika mantiene una convección muy activa pero muy pobre organización. Es un bonito ejemplo de cómo un ciclón tropical pobremente organizado puede provocar grandes problemas, tan solo por su potencial de generar lluvia torrencial.
Ahora mismo asediando Puerto Rico en donde agradecerán la lluvia que está cayendo, si no va a más...
(https://lh5.googleusercontent.com/-1HGdNfk6ibA/VeAWmwTCg8I/AAAAAAAADQY/Z0HQPiSZwTA/w720-h480-no/fjhnfn.gif)
000
WTNT45 KNHC 280304
TCDAT5
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052015
1100 PM AST THU AUG 27 2015
The center of Erika is not easy to locate tonight, and it
appears that a few smaller swirls are rotating within a larger
gyre. In fact, one of these small swirls moved near St. Croix
producing tropical storm force wind gusts during the past few
hours on the island. Due to the lack of an inner core, the initial
position is based on a mean center of circulation. Despite the poor
organization, the reconnaissance plane currently in Erika was able
to measure 700 mb flight-level winds of 59 kt well to the southeast
of the alleged center. Based on the SFMR, these winds are not at the
surface, and the initial intensity is kept at 40 kt. The central
pressure is not falling, which is another indication that Erika is
not strengthening. The NHC forecast calls for no change in intensity
during the next 36 hours, given the fact that cyclone will be
moving through a very hostile shear environment, and will also feel
the effects of land. Once in the Bahamas, however, the upper-level
flow is expected to become more favorable, and if Erika survives, it
has the opportunity to strengthen some. The NHC forecast is very
close to the intensity consensus and is similar to the previous one.
The best estimate of the initial motion is toward the west or 270
degrees at 15 kt, and this estimate is highly uncertain. Erika
should begin to turn toward the west-northwest during the next
several hours around the periphery of the western Atlantic
subtropical ridge, and should reach the Central Bahamas between 36
and 48 hours. By then, the cyclone will be located on the
southwestern edge of the ridge, and should begin to turn to the
northwest with decreasing forward speed. Most of the track
guidance, including the ECMWF and the GFS global models, show a
tropical cyclone approaching southeast Florida in about 3 days and
moving northward near or over the east coast of Florida during the
latter portion of the forecast period. There is unusually high
uncertainty in this forecast, especially at days 3 to 5, given that
the cyclone has to recover from shear and from the effects of
land for this to occur.
The greatest short-term threat posed by Erika continues to be
very heavy rainfall over portions of the northern Leeward Islands
tonight, and over the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Friday.
These rains could produce flash floods and mud slides.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 28/0300Z 16.6N 65.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 28/1200Z 18.2N 67.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 29/0000Z 19.7N 70.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 29/1200Z 21.1N 73.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 30/0000Z 22.5N 75.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 31/0000Z 25.2N 79.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 01/0000Z 27.3N 80.2W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 02/0000Z 29.5N 80.7W 75 KT 85 MPH
$$
Forecaster Avila
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Por otro lado, el CNH plantea un cambio de rumbo que no lo termino de ver... Aún lo veremos metiéndose en aguas del GOM, en vez de afectar desde el sur a Florida...
(http://www.cazatormentas.net/foro/seguimiento-de-huracanes-tifones-y-ciclones-en-el-mundo/tormenta-tropical-erika-05l-atlantico-rdp-agosto-2015/?action=dlattach;attach=29171;image)
[archivo adjunto borrado por el administrador]
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Viendo las primeras imágenes del visible, aunque la convección sigue siendo muy intensa y extensa, me surgen muchas dudas de si Erika sigue siendo un ciclón tropical, porque da la impresión de que el centro de circulación de niveles bajos se ha disuelto y no aparece bien definido...
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CNfylfZWIAAS4VM.png:large)
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A ver si lo que quede de Erika llega a Cuba, porque allí tienen una situación complicada (http://www.radiorebelde.cu/noticia/cuba-adopta-medidas-contra-intensa-sequia-audio-20150828/) por culpa de la sequía :o :o :o :o
Importantes medidas adopta el país ante una sequía intensa que azota la nación, cuya situación hidrológica es la peor de los últimos 114 años.
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Lo de Dominica ha sido un auténtico desastre: 27 muertos ya...
Emergency crews have reached the isolated village of Petite Savanne which appears to have been the hardest hit in Dominica. At least 27 people are reported dead there, with many bodies recovered. Eight other deaths occurred across the island for a storm total of at least 35 fatalities.
"If confirmed this will be the most deadly natural disaster in Dominica in recent history surpassing the death toll of Hurricane David in 1979 when 32 persons lost their lives. "
http://www.thedominican.net/2015/08/twenty-seven-dead-in-dominica.html (http://www.thedominican.net/2015/08/twenty-seven-dead-in-dominica.html)
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El centro de Erika se encuentra muy cerca de la costa sur de Rep. Dominicana...
Cancillería RD @MIREXRD 2 hhace 2 horas
.@COE_RD ratifica ALERTA ROJA para todo territorio nacional por paso de #TormentaErika
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CNgbF5gUEAAq5yZ.jpg:large)
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Cerquita cerquita el centro de Erika de la costa sur de Rep. Dominicana... Si se acierta con el pronóstico de ruta, mucha de la convección que arrastra al suroeste terminará pasando por la Española... Peligro potencial
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CNg5IufXAAA4E2E.png:large)
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Aquí vemos el sistema de tormentas que arrastra. Si el centro vira al noroeste, arrastrará al SCM pudiendo barrer toda la isla y a ambos países, Rep. Dominicana y Haití... Así que mucho peligro...
(https://lh5.googleusercontent.com/-dn-IWz-F_zw/VeChTQdkytI/AAAAAAAADRI/VfhI17bjHpg/w720-h480-no/efbdgf.gif)
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Tal como se esperaba, las tormentas asociadas a Erika han dejado lluvias torrenciales en la Española, dese Rep. Dominicana a Haití, aunque no he encontrado datos al respecto.
El centro aparente parece estar cerca del este de Cuba. Mientras tanto, la pobre organización del ciclón hace que el CNH esté ajustando en cada actualización el rumbo previsto. Ahora, si sobrevive como ciclón a la cizalladura, se internará en aguas del GOM.
(https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/-uWBC_4614X8/VeGC0EtH85I/AAAAAAAADSs/p_yNLWRkRHQ/w720-h480-no/rfgvaerd.gif)
(http://www.cazatormentas.net/foro/seguimiento-de-huracanes-tifones-y-ciclones-en-el-mundo/tormenta-tropical-erika-05l-atlantico-rdp-agosto-2015/?action=dlattach;attach=29177;image)
[archivo adjunto borrado por el administrador]
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Parece que Erika está exhalando su último aliento... al menos si no resurge después de sus cenizas, cosa que cada vez se ve menos probable...
000
WTCA45 TJSJ 291226
TCPSP5
BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL ERIKA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 18A
CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL052015
TRADUCIDO POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
800 AM EDT SABADO 29 DE AGOSTO DE 2015
...ERIKA APARENTA ESTAR DISIPANDOSE...
...UN AVION CAZAHURACANES ESTA INVESTIGANDO EL SISTEMA...
RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 8:00 AM EDT...1200 UTC
-------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...21.0 NORTE 75.5 OESTE
CERCA DE 55 MI...90 KM AL ESTE NORESTE DE HOLGUIN CUBA
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...40 MPH...65 KM POR HORA
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 290 GRADOS A 20 MPH...31 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1010 MILIBARES...29.82 PULGADAS
(https://scontent-mad1-1.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xpl1/v/t1.0-9/11954627_965302120158912_7880293773925696150_n.jpg?oh=747c653b25819941c5ec535908a9ebfd&oe=5666F840)
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Efectivamente... se indica que Erika ha perdido su identidad como ciclón tropical... El CNH va a emitir una nota especial en breve.
Erika has dissipated as a tropical cyclone. NHC will issue a Special Advisory shortly. Tropical storm watches/warnings are being discontinued. www.hurricanes.gov (http://www.hurricanes.gov)
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Y con este panorama de cizalladura, no doy ni un duro por la regeneración de Erika. DEP!
A por el siguiente, que probablemente será FRED al otro lado del Atlántico...
(https://scontent-mad1-1.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xlp1/v/t1.0-9/11952012_10207556230524566_390031515660383351_n.jpg?oh=b37dfd3676af5ccae3870e05d356b4b1&oe=5675DD60)
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¿Dónde acabará Erika? ::)
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CNmxN0EWoAAkuXy.png)