Estos ciclones tropicales en el GOM siempre son super interesantes... Vaya pasada este HERMINE. El avión cazahuracanes ha encontrado vientos de 47 KT, según la última actualización de datos del CNH, de modo que han establecido su intensidad en 50 KT. Sigue muy próximo a la costa, y se espera que toque tierra muy pronto, porque se está moviendo más rápido de lo estimado inicialmente. Sin embargo, a pesar de todo esto, se sigue intuyendo la existencia de un eyewall, o al menos que el ciclón sigue intentando construirlo, pero ya le queda muy poco tiempo para conseguir consolidarlo. Adjunto dos imágenes muy reveladoras, de lluvia y de microondas...

Se acaban de actualizar los datos:

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.1 WEST. HERMINE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON
THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER WILL MAKE LANDFALL ON THE COAST OF
NORTHEASTERN MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT...AND MOVE INLAND
OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS ON TUESDAY AND INTO CENTRAL TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE...AND HERMINE COULD APPROACH HURRICANE STRENGTH PRIOR TO
LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES.

En resumen, que HERMINE ha seguido intensificándose, y se encuentra muy cerca de la categoría de huracán. Impactará el centro esta noche en la costa noreste de México.

HERMINE ya ha entrado en tierra, perdiendo potencia, pero originando lluvias diluviales

 Time             Lat   Lon   Wind(mph)  Pressure  Storm type
------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 GMT 09/06/10  20.7N 95.2W     30       1003     Tropical Depression
09 GMT 09/06/10  21.6N 95.0W     40       1001     Tropical Storm
15 GMT 09/06/10  23.4N 95.8W     50        998     Tropical Storm
21 GMT 09/06/10  24.5N 97.0W     60        992     Tropical Storm
03 GMT 09/07/10  25.5N 97.5W     60        991     Tropical Storm
09 GMT 09/07/10  27.0N 98.0W     50        993     Tropical Storm

000
WTNT45 KNHC 070850
TCDAT5
TROPICAL STORM HERMINE DISCUSSION NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102010
400 AM CDT TUE SEP 07 2010

THE CENTER OF HERMINE MOVED THROUGH THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY EARLIER
THIS MORNING AND PRODUCED SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND
GUSTS TO NEAR HURRICANE FORCE AT SEVERAL REPORTING SITES.  THE
HIGHEST WINDS REPORTED IN THE INTENSE CONVECTIVE BAND NORTH OF THE
CENTER WERE 48 KT WITH A GUST TO 63 KT...OCCURRING AT VALLEY
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IN HARLINGEN TEXAS AROUND 0600 UTC.  SINCE
THAT TIME...THE BAND OF CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED...AND THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 45 KT.  THE GUST FACTOR IS BEING HELD A
LITTLE HIGHER THAN NORMAL BASED ON THE EARLIER OBSERVATIONS. THE
OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS IN LINE WITH THE SHIPS AND LGEM
DECAY OVER LAND AND SHOWS HERMINE WEAKENING TO A DEPRESSION LATER
TODAY.  GLOBAL MODEL FIELDS SUGGEST THAT THE CYCLONE SHOULD BECOME
ABSORBED BY A WARM FRONTAL ZONE BY 72 HOURS.

HERMINE HAS BEEN MOVING JUST A LITTLE EAST OF...AND FASTER THAN...
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK AT 340/15.  THE FORECAST REASONING HAS
NOT CHANGED...AND THE CYCLONE IS STILL EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN NORTHWARD ACROSS TEXAS DURING THE NEXT
36 HOURS.  HERMINE WILL TURN NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS OKLAHOMA IN
48 HOURS AS IT MOVES AROUND THE NORTHERN SIDE OF THE MID-LEVEL
RIDGE.  THE NEW FORECAST TRACK LIES ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE
GUIDANCE ENVELOPE FOR THE FIRST 12 HOURS DUE TO THE RECENT MOTION OF
THE STORM BUT IS VERY CLOSE TO THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS
THEREAFTER.

AS HERMINE WEAKENS TODAY...THE PRIMARY HAZARD WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL
THAT IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL PART OF THE
UNITED STATES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      07/0900Z 27.0N  98.0W    45 KT...INLAND
 12HR VT     07/1800Z 28.7N  99.0W    35 KT...INLAND
 24HR VT     08/0600Z 30.9N 100.1W    30 KT...INLAND
 36HR VT     08/1800Z 33.3N 100.2W    25 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48HR VT     09/0600Z 36.1N  99.0W    25 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72HR VT     10/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER BERG/BROWN

Es increíble... la imagen del radar sigue mostrando una estructura a modo de ojo para HERMINE... 

La adjunto con el attach (sólo se puede ver la imagen siendo usuario registrado e iniciando sesión en el foro):

Ya ha desaparecido del mapa de alertas del NOAA