Cazatormentas
Foro de Meteorología => Seguimiento de huracanes, tifones y ciclones => Mensaje iniciado por: Fox Cane en Agosto 22, 2012, 17:21:13 pm
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000
WTNT35 KNHC 221451
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102012
1100 AM AST WED AUG 22 2012
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...12.4N 36.3W
ABOUT 860 MI...1385 KM WSW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.3 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26
KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
LATER TODAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/ZELINKSY
(http://img14.imageshack.us/img14/122/vis0lalow.jpg)
(http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT10/refresh/AL1012W5_NL+gif/145229W5_NL_sm.gif)
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Hora local de Caracas 9:30pm
A esta hora presentando algunos problemitas para mantener la convección en el centro. En la siguiente visible se ve minimizado detrás de Isaac:
(http://i1111.photobucket.com/albums/h470/eyestormeric2/x-11.jpg)
Animada:
(http://i1111.photobucket.com/albums/h470/eyestormeric2/y-12.gif)
RESUMEN DE LAS 5:00 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMACION
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LOCALIZACION...13.1 ORTE 37.4 OESTE
CERCA DE 920 MILLAS...1475 KM AL OESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...OESTE NOROESTE O 295 GRADOS A 16 MPH...26 KM/H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1007 MILIBARAS...29.74 PULGADAS
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Tenemos la TS JOYCE.
AL, 10, 2012082312, , BEST, 0, 149N, 416W, 35, 1006, TS
(http://img834.imageshack.us/img834/9656/vis0lalo.jpg)
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Toma ya...Te has adelantado al CNH en su publicación :D1 :D1
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Pues a durado poco Joyce como TT. La bajan a Depresion Tropical y en sus pronosticos ya no ven intensificacion alguna :-\
Y la verdad es que el aspecto que tiene es horrendo :-X Vemos como esta totalmente expuesto. Se ve claramente el remolino de nubes bajas totalmente descubierto. La conveccion se le ha desplazado toda al norte del sistema :-\
(http://img577.imageshack.us/img577/2335/joycejc.jpg)
E aire seco que le esta entrando por todos los lados es lo que le esta afectando sobretodo
(http://img32.imageshack.us/img32/9481/airesecojoyce.png)
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Este año el SAL está teniendo mucho que decir en el desarrollo tropical :O* :O* :O* :O* :O* No perdamos de vista esos restos, aunque ningún modelo los revitalice :P