Eastern Spain
In the wake of the Mediterranean short-wave trough, a weak ridge affects eastern Spain. Easterly surface winds will advect Mediterranean moist air onshore, where it overlaps with steeper lapse rates due to diurnal heating. Upslope flow and convergence may assist initiation of some storms during the day. With westerly winds aloft, strong 0-3 km vertical wind shear is forecast, supporting well-organized storms. Supercells may produce very large hail. Severe wind gusts and excessive rain are not ruled out. Tornadoes seem to be most likely in the northern portions of the level 1 region. A level 2 was not issued due to the expected isolated nature of severe storms.
Los de ESTOFEX prevén atmósfera favorable para la organización de la convección dentro del nivel 1. Posibilidad de formación de alguna supercélula, con granizo grande, lluvia torrencial, vendavales e incluso riesgo de algún tornado.
Indican que no han metido nivel 2 porque la convección será aislada, no generalizada, en la zona.