Los del equipo ESTOFEX esto es lo que dicen:
... Iberian Peninsula ... NW Mediterranean ...
Air mass beneath the southern and eastern periphery of the Iberian upper low, as well as beneath its center, is weakly unstable, and rather weakly capped. Convection may first develop over the southern parts of the peninsula early in the day, but main activity should shift to the off shore regions as the unstable air mass deepens with the eastward progression of the upper low ... and as DCVA-related forcing for ascent increases during the day. Model guidance suggests that there will be a small overlap of decent DLS and CAPE over the N parts of the W Mediterranean, as well as over NE Spain. In addition, LLS is simulated to become rather favorable (10 m/s) along the Spanish NE coast. Well-organized multicellular storms and mesocyclones may occur, posing a threat ranging from large hail and severe wind gusts to isolated tornadoes. Given rather late timing and lack of isolation, storms may struggle to persist as they move inland, but the at least coastal regions should be affected by the severe threat. Bulk of activity may remain off-shore, however.
Consideran la posibilidad de que se formen multicélulas bien organizadas en la zona de Riesgo 1 en su mapa, e incluso se desarrollen mesociclones, dando riesgo de tornados aislados.
Tema: ESPECIAL--> Situacion tormentosa generalizada: 7-11 de Mayo de 2008... (Leído 19764 veces)