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Previsiones estacionales otoño/invierno 2024-2025

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jota:
Arrancamos más temprano que nunca  :P


--- Citar ---November-December  Possible 500 hpa geopotential anomalies configuration as yielded from a statistical analog model with 40 approximate months for late autum .  A negative NAO with +ve EA-WR and +v NCP and -CasHK with Urals high are possible configurations through the 60 days. he attached re-analysis considers only strictly +AMO analogs with other factors (circumstances ) held constant .It shows that  the pattern is even more plausible. Many teleconnectivity indices were included in this analysis , not AMO only.





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alb_Ronda:
Último día de julio y soñando ya con un otoño-invierno decente. Ni el mayor cambio climático podrá impedirnos soñar ;D

jota:

--- Citar ---Following the contention of Autumn (Urasia) snowfall ( cold) during October predicts winter outlook by
@judah47 . Letting the cluster analysis decide the best 15 analog seasons for Autumn 2024 the below configuration emerges, this is conditional on a persistent +AMO in winter



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Javi_coco:
Si miramos el CFS...

https://www.nutesca.com/index.php/el-tiempo/modelos/pronostico-climatico-estacional-cfsv2

jota:
Si esta anomalía se cumple, septiembre podría ser un mes de DANAS, como no....

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