Bueno, esto es lo que ve estofex para hoy...
SYNOPSIS
Quite vigorous upper-level zonal flow is covering the northern parts of Europe ... with lifting lead vort max being associated with strong SFC low centered over the N Baltic Sea. Upper cut-off low is persisting over the W Maghreb States and the SW Iberian Peninsula. This overall pattern is not expected to change on Friday ... except that next ... comparatively weak ... Atlantic system will reach the British Isles late in the period. Quiescent SFC conditions should persist over central Europe and the Mediterranean regions.
.. southern Spain ...
Indications are that TSTMS may be elevated given no SFC-based model CAPE where convective precip is simulated. Though LLS should be quite robust ... severe threat may be substantially reduced. If storms tap BL air however ... chance of an isolated tornado or two appears to exist. Threat should be too conditional for a categorical risk however.
Y su traduccion por el traductor de El Mundo...
.. España del sur...
Las indicaciones son que TSTMS no puede ser elevado dado ningún CABO SFC-BASADO modelo donde convective precip es simulado. Aunque LLS sea la amenaza bastante robusta ... severa considerablemente puede reducir. Si la llave de tormentas BL el aire sin embargo ... la posibilidad de un tornado aislado o dos aparece existir. La amenaza debería ser demasiado condicional para un riesgo categórico pese a todo.