Pues al sur del golfo de Tehuantepec se nota movimiento, aunque no ciclonico claro esa. De todos modos comenzaremos a estar atentos a cualquier movimiento.

Hoy comienza ya la temporada de huracanes del Pacífico Este de 2009 :D1 :D1 :D1 Veremos a ver qué nos depara este año. Me gustaría ver un ciclón de estos de larguísimo recorrido, que empieza en esta cuenca y se pasa a la del Pacífico Oeste tras rozar las Hawai Todavía no han actualizado información en el Centro Nacional de Huracanes, pero habrá que estar atentos hoy, para ver si se hacen efectivos esos cambios que se anunciaban

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml

¡Comenzamos! / Here we go!

Primera predicción del tiempo tropical para la Cuenca del Pacífico Este, en su temporada de huracanes de 2009 :D1

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 151140
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT FRI MAY 15 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TODAY MARKS THE FIRST DAY OF THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE
SEASON...WHICH WILL RUN UNTIL NOVEMBER 30.  LONG-TERM ANNUAL
AVERAGES OF TROPICAL STORMS AND HURRICANES IN THIS BASIN ARE 15 AND
9 RESPECTIVELY.

THE LIST OF NAMES FOR 2009 IS AS FOLLOWS:

NAME           PRONUNCIATION    NAME            PRONUNCIATION
-------------------------------------------------------------
ANDRES         AHN DRASE-       MARTY
BLANCA         BLAHN- KAH       NORA
CARLOS                          OLAF            OH- LAHF
DOLORES                         PATRICIA       
ENRIQUE        ANH REE- KAY     RICK
FELICIA        FA LEE- SHA      SANDRA
GUILLERMO      GEE YER- MO      TERRY
HILDA                           VIVIAN
IGNACIO        EEG NAH- CIO     WALDO
JIMENA         HE MAY- NA       XINA            ZEE- NAH
KEVIN                           YORK
LINDA                           ZELDA           ZEL- DAH

THIS PRODUCT...THE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...BRIEFLY DESCRIBES
SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND THEIR POTENTIAL FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  BEGINNING THIS
YEAR...THE OUTLOOK WILL ALSO CONTAIN CATEGORICAL PROBABILITIES OF
FORMATION...I.E. LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...MEDIUM...30 TO 50
PERCENT...OR HIGH...GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT FOR EACH DISTURBANCE
DESCRIBED.  THE ISSUANCE TIMES OF THIS PRODUCT ARE 5 AM...11 AM...5
PM...AND 11 PM PDT.  AFTER THE CHANGE TO STANDARD TIME IN
NOVEMBER...THE ISSUANCE TIMES ARE 4 AM...10 AM...4 PM...AND 10 PM
PST.

IN PREVIOUS YEARS...THE SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
COULD BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME TO DESCRIBE SIGNIFICANT DISTURBANCES
IN BETWEEN ISSUANCES OF THE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK.  THE
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED AND
WILL NO LONGER BE ISSUED.  INSTEAD...A SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER
OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED TO PROVIDE UPDATES...AS NECESSARY...IN
BETWEEN THE REGULARLY SCHEDULED ISSUANCES OF THE TROPICAL WEATHER
OUTLOOK. SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS WILL BE ISSUED UNDER
THE SAME WMO AND AWIPS HEADERS AS THE REGULAR TROPICAL WEATHER
OUTLOOKS.

A STANDARD PACKAGE OF PRODUCTS...CONSISTING OF THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...THE FORECAST/ADVISORY...THE CYCLONE
DISCUSSION...AND A WIND SPEED PROBABILITY PRODUCT...IS ISSUED
EVERY SIX HOURS FOR ALL ONGOING TROPICAL CYCLONES.  IN
ADDITION...A SPECIAL ADVISORY PACKAGE MAY BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME
TO ADVISE OF SIGNIFICANT UNEXPECTED CHANGES OR TO MODIFY WATCHES
OR WARNINGS.

THE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE IS A BRIEF STATEMENT TO INFORM OF
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN A TROPICAL CYCLONE OR TO POST OR CANCEL
WATCHES OR WARNINGS.  IT IS USED IN LIEU OF OR PRECEDING THE
ISSUANCE OF A SPECIAL ADVISORY PACKAGE.  TROPICAL CYCLONE
UPDATES...WHICH CAN BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME...CAN BE FOUND UNDER
WMO HEADER WTPZ61-65 KNHC...AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCUEP1-5.

ALL NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TEXT AND GRAPHICAL PRODUCTS ARE
AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV

USERS WILL NOTICE A SLIGHT CHANGE TO REFERENCES TO THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE IN NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER PUBLIC
PRODUCTS THIS YEAR. EVEN THOUGH THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE CATEGORY
(1-5) IS DETERMINED SOLELY BY THE HURRICANE'S MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED...THE SCALE TRADITIONALLY HAS ALSO INCLUDED STORM SURGE
RANGES AND FLOODING REFERENCES. ON AN EXPERIMENTAL BASIS FOR THE
2009 TROPICAL CYCLONE SEASON...THESE STORM SURGE RANGES AND
FLOODING REFERENCES WILL BE REMOVED FROM THE DESCRIPTIONS FOR EACH
CATEGORY. WITH THIS MODIFICATION...THE SCALE HAS BEEN RENAMED THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  THERE HAVE BEEN NO CHANGES TO
THE WIND SPEED THRESHOLDS OF THE SCALE. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON
THIS EXPERIMENTAL CHANGE AND ON HOW TO PROVIDE COMMENTS...PLEASE
SEE /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

http://HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/INFOSERVICECHANGES/SSHWS.PDF

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/FRANKLIN/PASCH

Tranquilito el Pacífico este.¿Que raro?

Pudiera ser que esa onda tropical sobre américa central emergiera sobre aguas caribeñas................................... El GFS ve una posible tormenta tropical fuerte partiendo hacia Cuba, a partir de una perturbación que nacería próxima a esa zona.

  Asi amanecio el Pacifico Este

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON JUN 8 2009

CORRECTED TYPO

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA HAVE INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION OVERNIGHT.
CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT AND THIS
SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.  THERE IS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/BLAKE
NNNN

habra que vigilar tambien el pacifico oeste - filipinas con la 98W --20kts-1007mb