Tropical Storm Public Advisory 980
wtxs31 pgtw 130900
msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor hi//
subj/tropical cyclone warning//
ref/a/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor hi/122221z Dec 07//
ampn/tropical cyclone formation alert//
rmks/
1. Tropical cyclone 06s warning nr 001
01 active tropical cyclone in southio
Max sustained winds based on one-minute average
---
warning position:
130600z --- near 14.7s 68.8e
movement past six hours - 230 degrees at 11 kts
position accurate to within 060 nm
position based on center located by satellite
present wind distribution:
Max sustained winds - 035 kt, gusts 045 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
repeat posit: 14.7s 68.8e
---
forecasts:
12 hrs, valid at:
131800z --- 14.9s 68.4e
Max sustained winds - 040 kt, gusts 050 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
radius of 034 kt winds - 045 nm northeast quadrant
045 nm southeast quadrant
045 nm southwest quadrant
045 nm northwest quadrant
vector to 24 hr posit: 260 deg/ 03 kts
---
24 hrs, valid at:
140600z --- 15.0s 67.8e
Max sustained winds - 045 kt, gusts 055 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
radius of 034 kt winds - 055 nm northeast quadrant
055 nm southeast quadrant
055 nm southwest quadrant
055 nm northwest quadrant
vector to 36 hr posit: 270 deg/ 03 kts
---
36 hrs, valid at:
141800z --- 15.0s 67.2e
Max sustained winds - 050 kt, gusts 065 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
radius of 034 kt winds - 065 nm northeast quadrant
065 nm southeast quadrant
065 nm southwest quadrant
065 nm northwest quadrant
vector to 48 hr posit: 260 deg/ 03 kts
---
extended outlook:
48 hrs, valid at:
150600z --- 15.1s 66.5e
Max sustained winds - 055 kt, gusts 070 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
radius of 050 kt winds - 030 nm northeast quadrant
030 nm southeast quadrant
030 nm southwest quadrant
030 nm northwest quadrant
radius of 034 kt winds - 065 nm northeast quadrant
065 nm southeast quadrant
065 nm southwest quadrant
065 nm northwest quadrant
---
remarks:130900z position near 14.7s 68.7e.
Tropical cyclone (tc) 06s (noname) located approximately 490 nm
south-southwest of Diego Garcia, has tracked southwestward at 11
knots over the past 06 hours.
Tc 06s has consolidated over the past
06 hours, reaching an intensity of 35 knots. The current intensity
is based on satellite Dvorak estimates of 35 knots from pgtw and
knes, 30 knots from fmee and a 130107z Quikscat image showing 40 knot
winds around the low level circulation center (LLCC).
The system is
currently tracking generally
west-southwestward under competing
steering influences of subtropical ridging to the southeast and low
to mid-level near equatorial ridging to the north.
The available
dynamic model aids are in general agreement with a westward track,
however, this forecast favors the WBAR solution.
This warning super-
sedes and cancels ref a, navpacmetoccen 122221zdec2007 tropical
cyclone formation alert (wtxs21 pgtw 122230). Maximum significant
wave height at 130600z is 12 feet. Next warnings at 132100z and
140900z.//
35kts 996mb
Tema: Ciclón Tropical CELINA (TS) - (Hemisferio Sur-Madagascar) (Leído 1684 veces)