Antes decía que el Sistema 98S podría ser el resurgimiento de la tormenta tropical 17S............. Pero no es así... Sea como sea, tiene una pinta brutal

CATAPUM!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!![/b][/size]



 

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 12
Issued at 3:45 am WDT on Wednesday, 13 February 2008
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

A Cyclone WATCH continues for a developing tropical low for coastal areas from
Pardoo to Kalumburu.

At 3:00 am WDT a tropical low was estimated to be
375 kilometres north northwest of Broome and
610 kilometres north northeast of Port Hedland and
was near stationary.

The low has intensified overnight and may develop into a tropical cyclone later
today. Gales are not expected in coastal areas today, however, gales could
develop in coastal areas between Pardoo and Kalumburu Wednesday night or on
Thursday.

Details of tropical low at 3:00 am WDT:
Centre located near...... 15.1 degrees South 120.4 degrees East
Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
Recent movement.......... near stationary
Wind gusts near centre... 85 kilometres per hour
Severity category........ below cyclone intensity
Central pressure......... 988 hectoPascals

FESA-State Emergency Service advises that there are no community alerts at
present. Communities between Pardoo and Kalumburu should listen for the next
advice.

The next advice will be issued by 10:00 am WDT Wednesday 13 February.
Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by
dialling  1300 659 210

La cizalladura ha bajado ligeramente, y ronda los 20-30kt. Es por esto, que la explosiones convectivas (terriblemente intensas, los topes son extremadamente frios--color blanco de la imagen infrarroja en multicolor) quedan confinadas al W del sistema. Pero el LLCC es bueno, asi que es cuestión de tiempo que dicha convección rodee al sistema

DEPRESIÓN-TORMENTA-CICLÓN TROPICAL CAT.1 (Escala Australiana)

996mb-30/35kt













NICHOLAS está al caer 

P.D.: el NW de Australia me tiene contento 

no es la regeneracion de la 17S....esta estaba algo más al oeste ,disipandose,cuando se formó la 98S.

no es la regeneracion de la 17S....esta estaba algo más al oeste ,disipandose,cuando se formó la 98S.

Aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa, Con razón. Se me hacía raro ver a 17S y a 98S en la misma imagen. Los dos eran sistemas independientes ::)Entonces cuando murió 17S le ayudo a 98S a seguir desarrollandose hasta der clasificada como Tormenta Tropical :O*

Oficialmente aún no es NICHOLAS pero parece que las perspectivas para la intensificación de este ciclón son buenas y, atendiendo a los datos de la NRL/Navy y lo que dice la técnica DVORAK, me he permitido ponerle el nombre... Si recula, pues le quitamos el nombre

12/1430 UTC    15.2S  120.2E    T2.5/2.5              98S

Buen pedo ha pegado este sistema, con un impresionante borbotón convectivo Me he quedado de piedra viendo las animaciones que has puesto, Torre beer

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TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 12
Issued at 3:45 am WDT on Wednesday, 13 February 2008
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

At 3:00 am WDT a tropical low was estimated to be
375 kilometres north northwest of Broome and
610 kilometres north northeast of Port Hedland and
was near stationary.

The low has intensified overnight and may develop into a tropical cyclone later
today. Gales are not expected in coastal areas today, however, gales could
develop in coastal areas between Pardoo and Kalumburu Wednesday night or on
Thursday.

Details of tropical low at 3:00 am WDT:
Centre located near...... 15.1 degrees South 120.4 degrees East
Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
Recent movement.......... near stationary
Wind gusts near centre... 85 kilometres per hour
Severity category........ below cyclone intensity
Central pressure......... 988 hectoPascals

© Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2008, Bureau of Meteorology

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No sé de qué hora exactamente (UTC) serán estos datos

tienen diferencia de horario con UTC o Z de entre + 8 , +9:30 y +10 horas de oeste de australia,centro y este

Entonces, con esa diferencia, se supone que los datos son de las 12:45 o 13:45 UTC, más anticuados que la leche

Cita de: angetotti en Febrero 12, 2008, 22:19:49 pm

Se dirigirá hacia Australia

Tarde o temprano si. No obstante, el estado del NW de Australia está dominado por grandes desiertos. No es muy poblado

Eso es muy bueno  Si se convierte en un Ciclón Tropical potente, no causará tanto daño

CICLÓN TROPICAL CAT. 1 NICHOLAS (TS S.S)

993mb-40kt

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 14
Issued at 3:50 pm WDT on Wednesday, 13 February 2008
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

A Cyclone WARNING has been declared for coastal areas from Kuri Bay to
Bidyadanga.
A Cyclone WATCH continues for coastal areas from Bidyadanga to Pardoo.

At 3:00 pm WDT Tropical Cyclone Nicholas, was estimated to be
425 kilometres north northwest of Broome and
700 kilometres north northeast of Port Hedland and
moving east northeast at 8 kilometres per hour.

Nicholas has shown no signs of intensification during the day but in the longer
term it is still likely to intensify.  Nicholas is currently heading towards the
east northeast, however, it is forecast to take a more southerly movement.

Gales are not expected in coastal areas this afternoon or tonight, however, it
is possible gales could develop in coastal areas between Kuri Bay and Pardoo
later on Thursday or on Friday. Pilbara residents are advised that although the
Pilbara coast west of Pardoo is not under threat in the next 48 hours, there is
still a risk in that area over the weekend.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Nicholas at 3:00 pm WDT:
Centre located near...... 14.4 degrees South 120.8 degrees East
Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
Recent movement.......... towards the east northeast at 8 kilometres per hour
Wind gusts near centre... 100 kilometres per hour
Severity category........ 1
Central pressure......... 980 hectoPascals

FESA-State Emergency Service advises that there are no community alerts at
present. Communities between Pardoo and Kuri Bay should listen for the next
advice.

The next advice will be issued by 7:00 pm WDT Wednesday 13 February.
Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by
dialling  1300 659 210


A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone

NICHOLAS ya tiene el LLCC totalmente sumergido bajo un manto de convección profunda. En la animación Vis/Swir, se observa como ya gira ordenadamente en el sentido de las agujas del reloj. La cizalladura continua descendiendo, y la tormenta ya se encuentra bajo 10-20kt. Este bicho llegará a los 100kt sin problema: