Magnífico seguimiento, mesovortice
Me he puesto al día en un abrir y cerrar de ojos. Espero que nos volvamos "a ver" pronto
No obstante, podemos seguir la evolución de ex-BILL hacia Europa.
000
WTNT63 KNHC 232125
TCUAT3
HURRICANE BILL TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032009525 PM AST SUN AUG 23 2009
...NUMEROUS CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR ATLANTIC CANADA...AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS MADE THE FOLLOWING
MODIFICATIONS TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR HURRICANE BILL.
FOR NOVA SCOTIA...
A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN COAST FROM
LISMORE TO BRULE. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM HUBBARDS TO ECUM
SECUM HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN
EFFECT FROM ECUM SECUM TO BRULE.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN COAST FROM
BRULE TO MALAGASH. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM AVONPORT TO FIVE
ISLANDS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN
EFFECT FROM BRULE TO MALAGASH.
THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM ECUM SECUM TO POINT TUPPER HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
FOR PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND...
A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM SAVAGE HARBOUR TO WOOD
ISLANDS EAST. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
VICTORIA TO WOOD ISLANDS EAST AND FROM SAVAGE HARBOUR TO LOWER
DARNLEY.
FOR NEWFOUNDLAND...
A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM BURGEO TO STONES COVE
AND FROM BONAVISTA TO FOGO ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW
IN EFFECT FROM BURGEO EASTWARD AROUND THE AVALON PENINSULA AND
NORTHWARD TO FOGO ISLAND.
A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PARSONS POND TO BURGEO
ON THE WEST AND SOUTH COAST AND FROM FOGO ISLAND TO HARBOUR DEEP ON
THE NORTHEAST COAST.
FORECASTER BRENNAN/BERG
Y el último boletín sobre BILL, el nº34:
000
WTNT43 KNHC 232036
TCDAT3
HURRICANE BILL DISCUSSION NUMBER 34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032009500 PM AST SUN AUG 23 2009
BILL IS GRADUALLY WEAKENING WHILE LOSING SOME OF ITS TROPICAL
APPEARANCE. THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION HAS BEEN GRADUALLY
DETERIORATING...WITH THE CLOUD PATTERN BECOMING MORE ASYMMETRIC AND
THE DEEPEST CONVECTION CONFINED TO THE NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE.
DVORAK T-NUMBERS OF 3.5 AND 4.0 FROM TAFB AND SAB...RESPECTIVELY
...AND THE ASSUMPTION OF A CONTINUED SLOW WEAKENING AS BILL
TRAVERSES COOLER WATERS...YIELD AN INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65
KT FOR THIS ADVISORY.
THE FORECAST CALLS FOR STEADY WEAKENING...
AND EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETE WITHIN 24
HOURS...IN AGREEMENT WITH THE GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE. BY 96 HOURS
BILL IS PREDICTED TO HAVE MERGED WITH A LARGER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
NEAR THE BRITISH ISLES.
BILL HAS CONTINUED TO ACCELERATE...AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE
IS NOW 050/030. SOME FURTHER ACCELERATION IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT
24-36 HOURS AS THE CYCLONE BECOMES FULLY EMBEDDED WITHIN STRONG
WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTING OUT OF
THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. BEYOND 36 HOURS...SOME SLOWING OF THE
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED AS THE EXTRATROPICAL REMNANT OF BILL
INTERACTS WITH THE LARGE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER THE NORTHEAST
ATLANTIC. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST REPRESENTS AN UPDATE OF THE
PREVIOUS ADVISORY...WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.
LARGE AND DANGEROUS SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH BILL WILL CONTINUE
IMPACTING THE CANADIAN MARITIMES DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...WHILE SWELLS ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES WILL CONTINUE
TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 23/2100Z 45.1N 60.8W 65 KT
12HR VT 24/0600Z 47.7N 54.5W 60 KT
24HR VT 24/1800Z 50.0N 43.8W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 25/0600Z 51.5N 32.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 25/1800Z 52.5N 21.0W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 26/1800Z 57.0N 5.0W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH