Ya la tenemos, Tormenta Tropical Michael.


000
WTNT33 KNHC 041436
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132012
1100 AM AST TUE SEP 04 2012

...TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL FORMS IN THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...
...MICHAEL POSES NO THREAT TO LAND...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.0N 43.5W
ABOUT 1220 MI...1965 KM SW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN
INTENSIFIED AND BECAME TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL. AT 1100 AM
AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.5 WEST. MICHAEL
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. A GENERAL
SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT TWO
DAYS...KEEPING THE CYCLONE OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC WATERS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

Se perderá en el mar, lo más seguro, pero algún modelo lo manda a la peninsula, pocas posibilidades pero ahí están...

Yo creo que en la próxima actualización lo pondrán como huracán... La imagen del satélite es muy clara

YA ES CATEGORÍA 2  :D1 :D1 :D1 :D1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE MICHAEL SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132012
100 AM AST THU SEP 06 2012

...MICHAEL RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM AST...0500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.4N 42.0W
ABOUT 1045 MI...1680 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.76 INCHES


Y además con muchas posibilidades de convertirse en un MAJOR en las próximas horas!




Os imaginais si llegamos a tener dos MAJOR simultáneamente en el Atlántico? 

Impresionante la evolución de MICHAEL............. Se ha pasado los pronósticos del GFS de hace unos días por todo el forro, convirtiéndose en un monstruo!

000
WTNT43 KNHC 060500
TCDAT3

HURRICANE MICHAEL SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132012
100 AM AST THU SEP 06 2012

MICHAEL HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED WITH A SMALL WELL-DEFINED EYE
BECOMING EVIDENT IN RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE INITIAL WIND
SPEED IS SET TO 90 KT...IN LINE WITH SPECIAL 0415 UTC DVORAK
CLASSIFICATIONS FROM TAFB AND SAB. THE INTENSITY FORECAST HAS BEEN
ADJUSTED UPWARD FOR THE FIRST FEW DAYS OF THE PERIOD...AND IS
CLOSEST TO THE EXPERIMENTAL GFDL AND HWRF MODELS BASED OFF OF THE
ECMWF FIELDS. THE FORECAST IS THEN BLENDED BACK TO THE PREVIOUS ONE
BY DAY 5. NO CHANGES TO THE TRACK FORECAST WERE REQUIRED...AND ONLY
SMALL ADJUSTMENTS TO THE WIND RADII WERE REQUIRED THROUGH 36 H.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  06/0500Z 29.4N  42.0W   90 KT 105 MPH
 12H  06/1200Z 29.8N  41.7W  100 KT 115 MPH
 24H  07/0000Z 30.5N  41.5W  100 KT 115 MPH
 36H  07/1200Z 31.0N  41.6W  100 KT 115 MPH
 48H  08/0000Z 31.5N  42.0W  100 KT 115 MPH
 72H  09/0000Z 32.7N  43.0W   95 KT 110 MPH
 96H  10/0000Z 34.0N  44.5W   80 KT  90 MPH
120H  11/0000Z 35.5N  46.0W   65 KT  75 MPH

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BRENNAN

Se convertirá en un "major" Y ahora el GFS lo lleva a rozar el oeste de Azores :O* :O* :O* :O*