Mediterranean cyclone Andrea:CYCLONIC LOW 999 hpa JUST NORTH OF BALEARIC ISLANDS THE 08/06 UTC, DEEPENING GRADUALLY
995 hpa , THEN MOVING TO SOUTHEAST, EXPECTED
990hpa BETWEEN MINORCA AND SARDINIA THE 09/06 UTC. (METAREA3W / HIGH_SEAS_WARNING / 0857)
Estofex:
A
level 1 was issued across the western Mediterranean Sea for marginally
severe wind gusts and excessive convective rainfall.
A
level 1 was issued across the southern Iberian peninsula for
excessive convective rainfall.
Several imbedded vorticity maxima will support SFC
cyclogenesis along the SFC front, resulting in a southward shift of this front over the western Mediterranean regions late in the period.
The subtropical air south of the boundary is essentially moist-neutrally stratified, with weak CAPE indicated by the models ahead of the upper vorticity maxima.
A somewhat weaker
cyclone will exist farther upstream over the western Mediterranean.
Especially in the WAA regime of the cyclone, convectively-augmented precip may
exceed severe probabilities.
Davvero un ottimo inizio di ciclogenesi, vorticita' davvero alta.
Gia' oggi pomeriggio stavo osservando il piccolo nucleo che immaginavo si sarebbe invorticato in maniera rapidissima.
Vedremo come andra' la seconda fase ;-)
Mediterranean cyclone Andrea :