El INVEST 92L muestra un buenísimo aspecto hoy... A punto de encarar la Península del Yucatán, se encuentra organizando la convección y estoy seguro de que el nivel de probabilidad subirá a rojo en la próxima actualización de productos del NHC. Aún hay posibilidades ciertas de que se convierta en depresión tropical antes de alcanzar la Península. Buenas cantidades de lluvia pueden recibir, aunque no se convierta en depresión... Adjunto la última imagen del visible:
Efectivamente has acertado!
. Le dan serias posibilidades al 92L... aunque de aquella manera...
1. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 375 MILES EAST OF CHETUMAL
MEXICO IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...AND THAT THE WIND CIRCULATION
IS BECOMING BETTER DEFINED. IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE...A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TODAY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH
CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. INTERESTS IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO AND BELIZE SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER
PORTIONS OF JAMAICA...CUBA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...AND BELIZE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM
THIS AFTERNOON.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.