FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHINA 160 NM RADIUS OF 12.9N 94.5W WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICALCYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TOBE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 271330Z INDICATES THAT ACIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 94.5W. THE SYSTEM ISMOVING WESTWARD AT 01 KNOTS.
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALLTTAA00 KNHC DDHHMMTROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKNWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL1100 AM PDT THU MAY 27 2010FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..1. THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILESSOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY.THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION ANDENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SOME GRADUALDEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURINGTHE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE LITTLE OR DRIFTSLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND HAS THEPOTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...FLOODING...AND MUDSLIDES OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA...ESPECIALLY OVER ELSALVADOR...SOUTHERN HONDURAS...AND COASTAL GUATEMALA. THERE IS AHIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICALCYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THENEXT 48 HOURS.$$FORECASTER STEWART/PASCHNNNN