Sistema Tropical 96P





25 kts - 1004 mb














Saludos!!! 

Tropical Low 
Location          :near 4S 93E
                   southwest of Sumatra, approximately 1000 kilometres north   
northwest of the Cocos Islands.
Central Pressure  :1004hPa
Recent movement   :slowly west southwest

DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL
  Tuesday   : low
  Wednesday : low
  Thursday  : low

REMARKS - Most likely movement of the low is towards the southwest or west
southwest. The system is likely to persist as a weak tropical low over the next
three days but conditions are not favourable for development into a tropical
cyclone within the next three days.

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De momento parece que esta perturbación no tiene potencial de desarrollo según los servicios meteorológicos australianos...

parece que se dirige Papua-Nueva Guinea ¿no?

cada vez se ve mas organizado

IDQ10810
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: This message is issued daily for the information of interested parties.
Media are NOT required to broadcast this message.

TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOK
for the Coral Sea West of Longitude 160 East
Issued at 2:30pm on Tuesday the 13th of November 2007

A tropical low, 1000hPa was located near 11S 149.5E at 1pm [EST] moving
west-southwest at about 10 knots. A high located over southern Australia is
pushing a firm ridge to the south of the low.

Although the low is in a
favourable environment, development to the north side is expected to be slow due
to close proximity to New Guinea land mass.

The probability of the low developing into a tropical cyclone over the next
three days is:

Wednesday: Medium
Thursday: Medium
Friday: Medium

Tropical Cyclone outlooks issued by Brisbane can be accessed through the
Bureau's Home Page http://www.bom.gov.au

Cada vez tiene mejor aspecto... Veremos a ver qué se forma de ahí... Los valores de cizalladura no son del todo malos, aunque parecen suficientes para retrasar el desarrollo...

Pues ya es un Ciclón Tropical, con categoría de Tormenta Tropical.

Se espera que golpee, la costa Este de Australia, como Categoría 1.



Saludos.  G:

 :O* :O* :O*