La convección no es tan intensa, pero rodea completamente a la circulación. Yo creo que ya merece ser nombrada, aunque sabiendo del NHC, me reservo a mi opinión

En esta imagen, mucho más amplia, podems observar cómo TONY está siendo "acariciado" por un frente frío. Detrás, profunda vaguada planetaria que lo impulsará hacia el noreste... Pero, a la vez, como la vaguada va circundada por la corriente en chorro, la cizalladura asociada lo destruirá. Prestaremos atención a la humedad transportada porTONY y que será incorporada a la nueva depresión

Recién actualizado el abanico de productos del CNH sobre TONY Ésta se ha fortalecido un poco más y ya está acelerando hacia el noreste

000
WTNT44 KNHC 240857
TCDAT4

TROPICAL STORM TONY DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192012
500 AM AST WED OCT 24 2012

CONVENTIONAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TONY HAS STRENGTHENED
A BIT THIS EVENING.  ALTHOUGH THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION IS SITUATED
JUST BENEATH THE SOUTHEASTERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION...DUE TO
INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR...THE CLOUD CANOPY HAS EXPANDED AND
THE TOPS HAVE COOLED TO -70C.  BASED ON THE OVERALL CLOUD PATTERN
IMPROVEMENT...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS RAISED TO 40 KT...AND ALSO
CORRESPONDS WITH A BLEND OF THE TAFB AND SAB SATELLITE INTENSITY
ESTIMATES. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.  THEN...TONY SHOULD COMMENCE A SPIN DOWN TREND DUE TO THE
AFOREMENTIONED SHEAR AND COOLER WATERS. THE MET-9 RGB AIR MASS
IMAGERY INDICATES A COLD STABLE MID-LATITUDE AIR MASS WITH DRY
DESCENDING AIR ALOFT PRECEDING A RAPIDLY APPROACHING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY FROM THE NORTHWEST OF THE CYCLONE. CONSEQUENTLY...
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS INDICATED IN THE FORECAST IN 36
HOURS...AND AGREES WITH THE LARGE-SCALE MODELS. DISSIPATION OF THE
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR AROUND THE 96 HOUR
PERIOD.

INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 060/14.  TONY IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN
THIS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT 2 DAYS AS THE CYCLONE MOVES FURTHER IN THE STRONG
MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. AFTERWARD...TONY SHOULD GRADUALLY TURN BACK
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IN RESPONSE TO THE SOUTHWESTERLY
MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW PRODUCED BY A LARGER BAROCLINIC LOW OVER
THE NORTH ATLANTIC.  THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE
PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE TVCA MULTI-MODEL
CONSENSUS AND THE FLORIDA STATE SUPERENSEMBLE MODEL.

THE WIND RADII AT DAY 2 AND 3 HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY BASED ON
INPUT FROM THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  24/0900Z 27.4N  47.9W   40 KT  45 MPH
 12H  24/1800Z 28.5N  45.4W   45 KT  50 MPH
 24H  25/0600Z 29.7N  42.1W   45 KT  50 MPH
 36H  25/1800Z 30.7N  38.9W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  26/0600Z 31.9N  35.6W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 72H  27/0600Z 36.0N  33.0W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 96H  28/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS

Noticia en portada donde se analiza un poco más: http://www.cazatormentas.net/index.php/noticias-de-meteorologia-mainmenu-2/61-noticias-sobre-huracanes-ciclones-y-tifones/2972-nace-la-tormenta-tropical-tony-y-pone-rumbo-a-las-azores.html

Pues, Houston, tenemos un problema, porque TONY está perdiendo las características tropicales, a tenor de lo que dice el CNH y lo que se ve directamente a través de los satélites meteorológicos

000
WTNT44 KNHC 242041
TCDAT4

TROPICAL STORM TONY DISCUSSION NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192012
500 PM AST WED OCT 24 2012

THE SATELLITE APPEARANCE OF TONY HAS DETERIORATED RAPIDLY DURING THE
PAST SEVERAL HOURS. THE CLOUD PATTERN HAS TAKEN ON A COMMA-LIKE
SHAPE MORE BEFITTING OF AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE...AND CLOUD TOP
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED CONSIDERABLY. SATELLITE DATA ALSO SHOW THE
LOW-LEVEL CENTER PARTIALLY EXPOSED ON THE SOUTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE
DEEP CONVECTION. DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS ARE 2.5 AND 3.0 FROM SAB
AND TAFB...RESPECTIVELY. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS KEPT AT 45 KT IN
AGREEMENT WITH DVORAK CI VALUES. THE COLD FRONT SEEN APPROACHING
TONY FROM THE NORTHWEST EARLIER APPEARS TO BE OVERTAKING IT...WITH
RELATIVELY COOLER AND DRIER AIR WRAPPING AROUND SOUTH SIDE OF THE
CIRCULATION. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THAT EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION
IS UNDERWAY AND WILL BE COMPLETE IN ABOUT 12 HOURS OR SO. THE NHC
FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE LAST ONE...WITH EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION
NOW SHOWN WITHIN 12 HOURS...GIVEN CURRENT TRENDS.

TONY HAS ACCELERATED FURTHER...AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS
065/22.  THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO BE STEERED GENERALLY EAST-
NORTHEASTWARD IN A DEEP-LAYER WESTERLY FLOW OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST SHOULD OCCUR AFTER 48 HOURS AS THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
ROTATES CYCLONICALLY AROUND A LARGE BAROCLINIC LOW FORMING OVER
THE NORTH ATLANTIC.  THE NHC FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO BUT FASTER THAN
THE PREVIOUS ONE...AND IS JUST AHEAD OF THE DYNAMICAL MODEL
CONSENSUS.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  24/2100Z 29.6N  42.5W   45 KT  50 MPH
 12H  25/0600Z 30.7N  39.5W   45 KT  50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24H  25/1800Z 31.9N  35.6W   45 KT  50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  26/0600Z 33.4N  31.6W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  26/1800Z 35.0N  28.7W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 72H  27/1800Z 38.0N  24.0W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 96H  28/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

De todas maneras, seguiremos la baja que quedará después de TONY.