Mirad Estofex que dice para la zona 1
...E Spain, Balearic Islands, W Mediterranean...
A well-defined cold front that stretches from the N Maghreb States towards central France will move northeastward. As the upper trough overspreads the western Mediterranean and parts of Spain, some hundred J/kg of CAPE will be created in an environment with 30 m/s deep layer shear and up to 20 m/s low level shear. Especially in the north of the Balearic Islands, southeasterly winds near the center of the surface depression will lead to SRH3 in order of 400 J/kg. Organized multicells and supercells will develop during the afternoon which will tend to cluster into one or two large MCSes. Those storms will likely be accompanied by isolated large hail, severe gusts and possibly an isolated tornado. The tornado / severe gust threat will decrease in the late evening but torrential rainfall may lead to flash floods, especially along the Spanish coast.
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