Tal y como se ve la luna asi velada,creo que tenemos una gran capa de altoestratos hace un rato eran cirroestratos con un halo lunar completo...el viento soplan furiosamente posiblemente con rachas de 90 o 100 km/h de Levante(lo que hace que esa enorme masa nubosa de tormentas,del golfo no se aproxime tanto al oeste,de momento)
ATENCIONNN SUR DE PORTUGAL;GOLFO DE CADIZ Y HUELVA!!! AQUI ESTA EL BICHO.(lleva sistema convectivo de mesoscala).
Aqui esta las estructuras SCM incluida:
Tambien empiezan a aparecer rayos en el mapa de rayos por el golfo de Cadiz.
ESTOFEX(06h DOMINGO a 06h LUNES):
outhwestern Iberian Peninsula ...
Weak instability is simulated to be present in a warm/moist plume that is expected to overspread western Iberia on Sunday. Though bulk of convection should remain off shore, isolated thunderstorms will likely occur over the peninsula as well. Very weak low-level lapse rates suggest that storms may struggle to lift SFC-based parcels and consequently remain somewhat elevated.
If surface-based air is ingested, kinematic fields suggest that chance for an isolated mesocyclone or two exists. However, deep shear is expected to remain rather weak, so mesocyclonic structures are unlikely to persist long enough to become organized to a significant degree. It thus seems that even surface-based storms would have limited potential for severe weather. However,
probability for marginally severe hail as well as for a brief/weak tornado is somewhat enhanced, but not sufficiently large to warrant a categorical risk.