Quiero abrir este hilo en referencia a las posibles supercélulas que pueden formarse hoy en Francia, Países Bajos e incluso alemania. El informe de ESTOFEX lo dice todo. La situación puede ser potencialmente peligrosa en esas zonas, sobretodo hoy por la tarde.
El informe de ESTOFEX:
"A level 3 was issued for NW France and BENELUX for very large hail, damaging wind gusts, tornadoes and excessive precipitation."
"Very dangerous setup will develop over the region by the late afternoon hours. With pronounced overlap of low-level moisture and steep mid-tropospheric lapse rates, models agree on the development of high to extreme CAPE values, with Central France towards BENELUX and NW Germany having the highest odds of seeing 3000 J/kg of MLCAPE by the late evening. As 500 hPa winds between 15 to 25 m/s overlap with backed low-level flow thanks to the presence of the surface trough, strong DLS (20-25 m/s) is forecast. By the late evening, with the enhancement of the low-level wind field with deepening trough, SREH values will increase especially over NW France / BENELUX (with values over 300 m2/s2 possible). Such setup will be very conducive for intense supercells / bow-echoes, capable of very large hail and damaging wind gusts. Towards the evening (beyond 18 UTC), as LLS strengthens, tornadoes will become a threat as well, especially if isolated supercells manage to persist into this time frame."
Apuntan que lo peor llegaría a altas hora de la tarde, pudiendo formarse supercélulas...
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