000
WTPZ32 KNHC 162033
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072011
200 PM PDT TUE AUG 16 2011

...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.8N 99.6W
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.6 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20
KM/H.  AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE THE COAST OF MEXICO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  THE
DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TONIGHT AND THEN A
HURRICANE BY THURSDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTS OF THE
MEXICAN STATES OF OAXACA...GUERRERO...AND MICHOACAN DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG