CMC recula y ya no ve nada, a ver si la tendencia esta temporada va a ser la de ver fantasmas a largo plazo un día sí, uno no.
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON MAY 13 2013TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC.LOW PRESSURE NEAR 07N93W IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. THE LOW HAS STRENGTHENED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS WITH THE HELP OF SHEAR VORTICITY ASSOCIATED WITH GAP WINDS FROM THE GULFS OF TEHUANTEPEC AND PAPAGAYO...AND CONVECTION REMAINS ACTIVE ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER AS MENTIONED ABOVE. THE LOW IS WITHIN A BAROTROPICALLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WHICH IS FAVORABLE FOR THE CONTINUED GROWTH OF THIS FEATURE...AND THE EVENTUAL BREAKDOWN OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. MODEL GUIDANCE IS DEPICTING A BREAKDOWN OF THE MONSOON TROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THE BREAKDOWN OF THE MONSOON TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD PROPAGATING DISTURBANCE...IN THIS CASE A CARIBBEAN WAVE THAT PROPAGATED INTO THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...HAS BEEN ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLOGENESIS. IT STILL REMAINS TO BE SEEN WHETHER THE MONSOON TROUGH WILL BREAK DOWN...AND IF WE WILL SEE TROPICAL CYCLOGENESIS IN THIS CASE...BUT IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO WATCH OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
BEGINNHC_ATCFinvest_ep902013.investFSTDARU0400100000201305140052NONENOTIFY=ATRPEND INVEST, EP, E, , , , , 90, 2013, DB, O, 2013051318, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , EP902013EP, 90, 2013051218, , BEST, 0, 63N, 927W, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, EP, 90, 2013051300, , BEST, 0, 64N, 935W, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, EP, 90, 2013051306, , BEST, 0, 65N, 944W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, EP, 90, 2013051312, , BEST, 0, 66N, 949W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, EP, 90, 2013051318, , BEST, 0, 67N, 953W, 20, 1008, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, EP, 90, 2013051400, , BEST, 0, 69N, 956W, 25, 1007, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALLTTAA00 KNHC DDHHMMTROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKNWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL500 AM PDT WED MAY 15 2013FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMLOCATED ABOUT 625 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO HAVEBECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVERNIGHT...AND IT APPEARS THAT A TROPICALDEPRESSION COULD BE FORMING. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...ADVISORIESCOULD BE INITIATED LATER TODAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...80PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
BEGINNHC_ATCFinvest_ep912013.investFSTDARU0400100000201305221651NONENOTIFY=ATRPENDINVEST, EP, E, , , , , 91, 2013, DB, O, 2013052212, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , EP912013EP, 91, 2013052112, , BEST, 0, 99N, 960W, 15, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 150, 90, 0, 0, EP, 91, 2013052118, , BEST, 0, 100N, 970W, 15, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 150, 80, 0, 0, EP, 91, 2013052200, , BEST, 0, 101N, 980W, 15, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 150, 70, 0, 0, EP, 91, 2013052206, , BEST, 0, 102N, 990W, 15, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 150, 60, 0, 0, EP, 91, 2013052212, , BEST, 0, 103N, 1000W, 15, 1009, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 150, 60, 0, 0,ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/inves ... 013.invest
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKNWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL1100 AM PDT WED MAY 22 2013FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS DEVELOPED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH OFACAPULCO MEXICO...AND GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AS IT MOVESWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS ALOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THENEXT 48 HOURS.ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THENEXT 48 HOURS.$$FORECASTER STEWART
EP, 91, 2013052300, , BEST, 0, 104N, 1018W, 20, 1009, DB