|
Buscas algun articulo o informacion? usa nuestro buscador Síguenos también en: Follow @ecazatormentas |
Mensajes recientes
La calima estará presente estos próximos días...
Precipitaciones previstas para los próximos días a partir de mañana martes, debido a la afectación de una baja fría aislada que se situará al suroeste peninsular.
Rainfall & Flood Risk Outlook | 17 April → 2 May
(32 Analog Seasons | ML + Statistical Composite | 3-day moving windows)
A clear chronological progression is observed, with rainfall activity shifting from the Western Mediterranean → Central → Eastern regions over time.
17–22 April (Early Phase)
Focus on Eastern Spain & Balearic region
Extension into Northern Algeria / Western Mediterranean
Elevated convective activity and localized flood risk
22–28 April (Peak Phase)
Intensification over Italy, Sardinia, Sicily
Strong signals over Tunisia & Central Maghreb
Recurrent low-pressure systems and organized rainfall bands
27 April – 2 May (Late Phase)
Eastward shift toward Adriatic & Western Balkans
Continued activity over Central Mediterranean
→ Multi-day rainfall accumulation and flooding potential Primary High-Risk Zones:
Eastern Spain
Northern Algeria & Tunisia
Italy (central & southern regions)
Adriatic & Balkans (late period)
Early May : Western Spain and Portugal as well as Northern Italy and Spain may still get high odds of torrential rainfall for the period extending between late April and 3rd of May.
Rainfall & Flood Risk Outlook | 17 April → 2 May
(32 Analog Seasons | ML + Statistical Composite | 3-day moving windows)
A clear chronological progression is observed, with rainfall activity shifting from the Western Mediterranean → Central → Eastern regions over time.
17–22 April (Early Phase)
Focus on Eastern Spain & Balearic region
Extension into Northern Algeria / Western Mediterranean
Elevated convective activity and localized flood risk
22–28 April (Peak Phase)
Intensification over Italy, Sardinia, Sicily
Strong signals over Tunisia & Central Maghreb
Recurrent low-pressure systems and organized rainfall bands
27 April – 2 May (Late Phase)
Eastward shift toward Adriatic & Western Balkans
Continued activity over Central Mediterranean
→ Multi-day rainfall accumulation and flooding potential Primary High-Risk Zones:
Eastern Spain
Northern Algeria & Tunisia
Italy (central & southern regions)
Adriatic & Balkans (late period)
Early May : Western Spain and Portugal as well as Northern Italy and Spain may still get high odds of torrential rainfall for the period extending between late April and 3rd of May.
